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Why do so many people in the United States support Trump?
The word "shock" may be more appropriate-it is also a word frequently used by observers in the increasingly fierce political competition in the United States. Not long ago, people who ate in luxury restaurants in Manhattan put Donald? Donald (Donald)
Trump) as a joke; His angry populist campaign slogan is so inflammatory that it seems unlikely to have wide appeal.
Outside the United States, these slogans seem to make people feel more unfamiliar. I attended the World Economic Forum (WEF) held in Davos in June+10, 5438. Confused European and Asian leaders kept asking me questions about Trump. When one of the most famous political experts in the United States announced at a private luncheon that Trump might even win the election, the idea shocked everyone present.
However, as the key vote approaches, Trump's popularity seems to be getting higher and higher: according to CNN data, his supporters and Republicans now exceed 40%. More strikingly, a poll conducted by ABC shows that 64% of Republicans and pro-Republicans predict that Trump will win the Republican and Republican presidential nominations. Although Trump's critics may insist that this only shows that only dissatisfied voters with low education or low income support him, poll data show that this assertion is no longer tenable. With the increasingly fierce competition, there is a question worth asking: Why do knowledgeable people like Frank lean in this direction-especially such people are not alone. (Editor's Note: The English version of this article was published on 65438+ this year1October 29th. After that, Trump was defeated by Cruz in the first primary election in Iowa and the party. )
What is the charm of Trump? In Frank's view, there are three key factors. The first one is the simplest: Americans like to support winners, or at least those who show confidence in winning. Therefore, the stronger and more memorable Trump's "brand" is, the higher his support rate in the polls and the more attractive he looks.
Taiwan Province Province, China
Beijing competes with Taiwan Province's "February 28th" historical view.
Zhu Jianling: The Kuomintang will not be popular in Taiwan Province Province, which will make Beijing no longer worry about the position of the Kuomintang and compete for the "228" historical view. This move has multiple meanings.
Secondly, Frank and others are not very worried about Trump's lack of political experience in Washington. After all, as Frank explained to me, business leaders can't be experts on everything in their own companies. They make up for this deficiency by listening to good advice. Frank believes that if Trump enters the White House, it will be his advisers who will manage the policy. Frank insisted, "He is a businessman, and he will get things done."
The third reason why Frank supports Trump is the most intriguing: he will not believe Trump's controversial political slogans. In some ways, this seems a bit strange; Trump is popular with some voters precisely because they like his inflammatory remarks, such as immigration. But Frank believes that these (usually shocking) remarks are just a marketing argument, made by a shrewd businessman who knows the importance of catching the media's attention. But it is precisely because Trump is a businessman that he becomes pragmatic (just trying to get things done). Once he is in power, he will not always say inflammatory remarks; That's what they said anyway.
In other words, when listening to Trump's speech, voters such as Frank did not judge him according to the usual standards of political campaigns, but adopted the framework they used when watching reality shows or consumer marketing; They regard outspoken slogans as a kind of "show". Here, cultural boundaries are blurred, which affects people's reactions.
Now, I dare say that many readers of the Financial Times are scared when they see this. We don't know how common Frank's (somewhat cynical) views are, because most opinion polls don't provide many details of voters' support for him. But if many voters, like Frank, turn to support Trump, then three points are worth noting.
First of all, we should all pay close attention to who Trump will eventually choose (and exclude) as his adviser. Second, people who try to attack Trump should not only pay attention to his slogan; It may be more useful to attack his ability as a businessman. The third point is that anyone who only regards Trump as a populist (whether in new york, Washington or Davos) is stupid. Indeed, the "Trump bubble" may soon burst; Many high-profile candidates in the past have disappeared. But some of his strategies as a businessman are coming into the hearts of Americans. American politics is rarely so brilliant or so unpredictable.
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