Do you think the future will really be dominated by electric vehicles?

New energy transformation, electric vehicles replacing fuel vehicles, although the slogan is loud, it has been a vision in the industry for a long time. Vision is our best wishes for the future. I no longer have this problem when driving this car. Let’s talk about electric bicycles, which are battery bicycles. If there is no fuel tank, you don’t need to refuel. In addition, with the very popular battery swap mode now, you can go directly to the nearest store to replace the battery. In recent years, new energy has developed very rapidly, and the topic has remained high. At the same time, many countries have announced timetables for banning fuel vehicles. Norway has announced that it will ban fuel vehicles as early as 2025. Some states in the Netherlands, the United States, India and Israel have set the time for 2030. France, the United Kingdom and Spain have also stated that they will ban fuel vehicles from 2040. China also has a similar ban on the sale of fuel vehicles, which makes people start to think, is the future really a world of fuel vehicles?

The bullet train still has many key technologies to overcome! The technical difficulty lies in the density of the batteries. As we all know, the higher the battery technology, the more sufficient the specific power, and the longer the driving distance of the car. Clearly, current battery technology still needs improvement. The hundreds of kilometers of running distance advertised by electric vehicles are mostly under specific conditions, but such ideal conditions are unlikely to exist in normal use. Persistent traffic jams in cities and the use of air conditioning in winter and summer can cause driving distances to drop dramatically, so battery technology needs to improve.

We also need to overcome the issue of battery life. Anyone who has ever driven a car knows that the battery in your car only lasts three to four years. However, if batteries are used more frequently in electric vehicles, battery life becomes more of a concern. Electricity is cheaper than gasoline, but replacing the entire battery once a year costs more than a gasoline car. So now in the EV market, most people who have never built a car are doing it, and many of them are just doing it to make money. It can also be seen from the performance of major car brands, which shows that at this stage, the gap between electric vehicles and gasoline and diesel vehicles is still large, and does not even pose a threat, and it will be difficult to completely occupy the market in the short term.

Of course, with the advancement and improvement of battery technology, future cars will definitely be cleaner and have longer driving ranges. But at this stage, it is difficult to say how long it will take to realize it. At least electric vehicles are far from mature, and it will take another 10 years in the foreseeable future. In China, at this stage, everyone except NIO is in desperate situation, and the current situation of NIO is not good. Electric vehicles may become a major market in China in at least 10 to 15 years! But we cannot predict what new technologies will emerge.