After seven years of futures trading, I lost 4.2 million. Why am I still losing money after learning all the skills?

After seven years of futures trading, I lost 4.2 million. Why am I still losing money after learning all the skills?

Actually, your question is not about technology. Technology is only a part of futures trading. What is the most important thing? Trading strategy, trading rules, fund management and so on.

Actually, I'm just like you I have been doing futures for some time. 20 14 began to contact futures. In fact, futures seem to have opportunities every day, and there are many varieties, but I don't have many varieties. Why is my experience limited? I was still at work before, so I didn't have time to look at the market. If I do short-term futures, this is very important.

Many varieties of futures are particularly affected by the external market, especially the chemical sector, precious metals sector, agricultural products and so on. These varieties are particularly disturbing. As long as there are big fluctuations in the external market, it is always faced with gaps and high opening and low walking. If your risk is not well controlled, you will lose everything.

To give a simple example: the external crude oil market plummeted by 6% recently, and then soared by 6%, which basically restored all the declines. If you are doing the inner plate, empty orders, chasing empty orders, the band list means that this loss can be imagined. Among the leveraged varieties, the importance of fund management is often pursued by many investors. In fact, there is no holy grail in this market. There is only a high probability method, maybe you have learned a lot of skills. But I don't know what technology has a high probability method in what market. On the contrary, you have been operating heavily with a small probability, resulting in losses. Technology is not the key for you to beat the market, there are many factors. Since you have technology, I won't talk about technology.

Why can't you make money after learning so many skills? The main points are as follows:

1. Lack of fund management strategy: In fact, fund management strategy is very important for investing in futures. If you don't manage the fund well, it will be difficult for you to succeed. In this market, I have never heard that an investor with a heavy position can survive in this market for a long time. None of them are gamblers and can never make a stable profit.

So what is the fund management strategy? Then I'll talk about my personal investment experience for reference only. If you invest 654.38+ million in futures, I will choose to divide this 654.38+ million into 654.38+00 equal parts, that is, each equal part is 654.38+00,000, but it doesn't mean that you will lose 1 10,000 at one time. If you lose 654.38+00,000 at a time, then you lose 654.38+00.

What kind of products can ten thousand funds operate? Thread, sugar, soybean meal, etc. These varieties will do. Every time you open a position, you only trade one hand and only do one hand. Before you have a stable profit, you can only trade one hand. Maybe you will think, how to make money from such a small position?

This is the idea of many investors. If you open 10 hand at a time, stop 20-30 points at a time and lose 2000-3000 yuan at a time, then your 10000 fund will lose almost 30%. How many times do you have the chance to try and make mistakes?

You can only control the loss between 5- 10% at a time. If you lose money more than three times in a row, stop trading until you find the cause of the mistake and correct it.

Our fund management must be combined with our trading strategy.

Second, there is no clear trading plan: In fact, I have been talking about the importance of trading plans, but many investors do not have trading plans. In this way, how do you make money when the market goes up and down, and how do you make money? If you make money today, your subconscious will chase it next time. The next time you chase, the market will often give you a painful lesson.

What is a clear plan? You have to be clear about what kind of product you want to trade, and then you have a prediction about the general trend of this product, how it will go and how many trends it will have. If the market conforms to this trend, what signal should we use to enter the market to be long or short? After shorting, at what point should we close the position, or what signal should we use?

How to open a position, and then at what point to increase or decrease the position, how much money to invest, where to set the stop loss, what to do after the stop loss, and how to make a profit, rather than not knowing what to do after the stop loss. When we make a list, you should consider the next market, how to go and make a new plan.

Third, there is no trading discipline: when there is a selling signal in the market, you don't sell, but turn a small loss into a big loss, or make multiple orders against the trend, or add positions against the trend, and intraday trading will not trade against the trend. These are the big taboos of trading. I have always emphasized the trend, which is the reason.

There are two ways to follow the trend: look big and do small, and the other is a fixed cycle. If you do the day, then I suggest you fix the cycle, or you can choose to look big and do small. Everyone is different, but our purpose is the same. We just want to make money in the market. What's the purpose of looking big and doing small? It is periodic resonance, so the probability is the largest.

I have always adhered to the trading discipline of homeopathy, light warehouse and stop loss.

Fourth, you have made a trading mistake: in fact, you have been improving yourself technically. This is a mistake. You should look inward. Seeking inward is to correct your wrong trading habits and cultivate good trading habits. What is a good habit?

Maybe you will find yourself making mistakes all the time, including heavy positions, day trading, chasing up and down, etc. If you don't keep changing them, you will never make a profit. You have been improving your technology, and technology is only part of the deal. If you reverse your mistakes, you will succeed. Even if you have 100 mistakes, as long as you can correct them seriously.

5. Summarize more, think more and think more: In fact, there is a lot of work to be done in futures trading, not just watching the fluctuations on the disk or being ecstatic about your own profits and losses. These are meaningless, but the real meaning is that you can constantly sum up, or through the market, sum up and learn from your own mistakes. In fact, learning from your own mistakes is the key to a person's growth.

Many investors have never thought about summing up or re-listing, so how do you make money? Is it possible to make money by opening the market and tapping the keyboard? After making so much money, no one will go to work, and there will be no such market, the 28 th Law.

What do we think after listing:

Analysis of their own trading records reveals many problems. Is there an implementation plan? Is there a fund management strategy? Did you make the mistake of chasing up and killing down? Why is this list profitable? Can the profitable list be copied all the time and make money all the time?

Will you lighten up or close your position the next day? Do you want to add more positions? Where to add positions, whether to stop losses and so on.

Make a plan for the next day, and don't make any list until you have a plan. If there is, it means that the probability of long-term stable profit is particularly small, and the probability of failure without a plan is particularly large. No one who trades by his temperament can succeed.

If this article is helpful to you, there are many technical dry goods in it to spread the correct investment concept. Welcome to follow, like and forward @ 丫丫丫丫丫丫丫丫 has been helping a boss to do futures operations, both domestic futures and international futures. I am in charge of the overall operation of an account of domestic futures, but I usually only give him some advice for his reference or buy and sell according to his wishes, because my boss is a very stubborn person who doesn't understand technology at all, and the external leverage is too great. I usually don't make up my mind if I don't do it well. After all, it is the boss's money. He has the final say. To tell the truth, he really doesn't understand technical analysis at all. He just looks at trends and often looks in the wrong direction. But he can make money in most cases for the simple reason that he has money and his position is lighter than the principal. For example, he sees more gold, but he often can't buy good positions. As a result, he bought it and fell down. But he has enough margin to carry it. Maybe he will turn into a profit the next day or the third day, and then close his position to make money. I have experienced that he spent more than ten days making money from a corn list. His principle is not to make money as much as possible and not to open positions (of course, sometimes people who have done futures know that you may not be able to make money if you look at the general direction, because you may be out because of a small shock). No matter how skilled a futures trader is, it is impossible to judge the direction of futures every time. The winning rate of 60% to 70% is already very high, not to mention the weakness of human nature-fear and greed, so the most important thing is fund management. Technology can't be learned immediately, but everyone can manage money. As long as the discipline can be strictly enforced and the position is too heavy, it will add a lot of subjective judgments and it is easier to fail. The futures market plays with human nature. Maybe you got off the bus before you saw it clearly. I think this is the biggest reason for your failure. Besides, your skills should be far from home. Of course, I'm not saying that my boss did the right thing here. After all, he is very rich, unlike people with general economic ability. I just emphasize the importance of fund management. Playing futures, especially off-site, should not be too heavy. In addition, as a person with average economic ability, if you want to do futures, you really need excellent technical ability. In fact, I personally prefer technology plus mentality and risk control, so that you can win. After all, ordinary people are different from the rich.

Because the word "futures trading technology" is broad and profound.

Futures trading technology is too general and broad.

What is futures trading technology? Fundamentally speaking, it is a technology to deal with risks and benefits. Techniques for dealing with risks and benefits can be divided into: stop loss, take profit, admission, fund management and other options.

Each option can be subdivided into many branches.

For example, fund management, is there a win or loss? Is it a scattered position? Do you want to increase or decrease the position? Is it floating profit to increase the position or reduce the cost? There are too many links involved.

Moreover, as I have said, it is trading cognition that determines the trading behavior of a futures trader.

The so-called cognition is the degree of understanding, which is actually a subjective vocabulary. Such as stop loss. Many people think they know how to stop losses, but in fact?

In fact, there is only one word, stop loss, and there are several levels of internal meaning behind it.

Hate stop loss, avoid stop loss, admit the rationality of stop loss, understand the homology of profit and loss, unconditional stop loss, actively embrace stop loss and so on. What is his cognitive level? Can't simply judge.

We humans always tend to overestimate our own strength. It can be recalled that whenever our trading cognition breaks through a layer, we always feel that we have no doubt. However, after a while, when the disorderly market trend hits your cognitive loophole again and you lose a lot, you will find that I didn't understand it before.

I think there is a saying: if you didn't feel stupid a year ago, you may not have made progress for a long time …

The subject here actually said that you have learned all the trading techniques, which is actually likely to overestimate your own strength. Is your understanding really in place? Maybe you need someone to evaluate it for you.

Actually, I've had a similar experience before. When some losses are serious, I occasionally wonder if it has nothing to do with me, but this market can't make money at all. However, after crossing that hurdle, after careful and calm analysis, I still failed to do it in some aspects. At least, up to now, I still firmly believe that the essence of the market is to have a profitable way.

So the reason why you suffered heavy losses is because you didn't really learn all about futures trading. You may think that you have mastered all the technologies just because of your cognitive limitations, but in fact, you may be a lot worse. Your trading skills need to be improved.

This should be the truth you lost.

I don't know what your total capital is, but you have lost so much. Isn't this a sign of your overconfidence?

what do you think?