Why is it getting harder and harder to find a job in an epidemic? If the epidemic continues, what will happen to the employment situation?

It's getting harder and harder to find a job.

Industries that need direct contact, such as catering, hotels, tourism, etc. Affected at both ends in three days, the whole industry is depressed and the demand is naturally small.

In the construction industry, the dividend of real estate disappears, and many real estate-related jobs are difficult to do, and it is even harder to find a job.

Biochemical recycled materials, the traditional direction to find a job.

Finance is hard to find.

Internet, originally the best way to find a job, should be to solve the biggest employment industry (white-collar workers). Because of the epidemic and the environment, big factories will also lay off employees.

That is the reality.

If you want to find a better job in this environment, you can only go all out and make preparations early.

I wrote an article about whether the internet can still be accessed, and I put it directly here:

Whether you are already a factory employee or a young man looking for a job in the Internet industry, there should be various negative information shocks in the near future.

In the capital market, many Internet stocks have fallen back to "before liberation" in the past six months. Under the tightening of regulatory and compliance policies, most "nouveau riche" are afraid to go public rashly, and even many giants have begun to "cut off their tails" and take the initiative to reduce their shares in other companies they control.

The labor market has become more active recently. This year, the hot search for the year-end awards of major manufacturers has disappeared, but the news of layoffs has increased. For example, there is news on the internet recently that a department of a large factory with thousands of people has laid off many people, even the proportion has reached 30%, but this news has not been confirmed, so the company name is not written here.

This article talks to you about the current situation and trend of industry development in the post-epidemic environment, as well as the inside story of layoffs in big factories behind the news of layoffs, and talks about things actually related to your career development.

First, the recognition and disapproval in the big environment

First of all, in the face of the overall environment, no matter what industry, say two words first: "recognition."

In the past, we were used to high-speed growth, and even took it for granted that it would continue to grow, but we didn't know that compared with other countries in the post-epidemic era, China's economic growth rate in the past few years has been amazing.

However, these are cyclical, and it is impossible for the macro-economy and even the Internet industry as a whole to maintain rapid growth, and there will be fluctuations. "Recognizing clearly" is to calm yourself down and face the changing world rationally. But there must also be a "denial" of your situation.

"This is the best time and the worst time." Young people in every era will encounter special problems in a specific background. We can't control the development of the times, we can only change ourselves.

We will still have our own opportunities in the big environment.

"A trip to the world, look at the sun", has come anyway. In this big environment and background, it is better to take a closer look, find some small trends and opportunities, and let yourself toss again.

Just like practitioners in the field of K 12 teaching and training, when the situation of the whole industry changed last year, it was actually the wisest choice for someone to change careers resolutely. If you are anxious because others say that it is cold winter and the environment is not good, you will even miss various opportunities. In the end, I still have to pay the bill myself. Others are just whispering and trying.

Many people like to create anxiety, because it is easier to talk about it. The purpose of this article is to tell you the truth and make you understand that the whole environment is not easy. Simple anxiety makes no sense. After all, for most ordinary people, we always have to work no matter which direction we are engaged in or where we are.

No matter what kind of environment, we need to face it ourselves and try to find our own opportunities. For example, a classmate of Zhiqun worked as a construction worker for six years, and later switched to a product manager. Currently engaged in building information work.

The construction industry is not without opportunities. In the process of change, where the industry efficiency can be improved, there will be opportunities. If you are still doing what you did 20 years ago, be careful. You may become a "cost" in industry change.

Second, why do Internet companies have to lay off employees?

The era when big factories supported wars by fighting has passed, and expansion and contraction are common patterns.

Let's talk about the current stage of big factories. I still remember that when the wave of mobile Internet is in the ascendant, many companies will create a grand vision of subverting the industry and changing the world.

However, big manufacturers have experienced the era of burning money with competing companies to grab traffic. The giants are sticking to their positions, and everyone is facing the problem of slowing down the traffic increment. Just be steady at this time, there is no need to "support the war with war."

Think analogously about such a question: how many soldiers should the emperor raise in the era of competing for the Central Plains? The pattern of interests in the world has been set, and he is safe and secure. How many soldiers should the emperor raise? History tells us that once the momentum of the world is stable and land is available in all directions, the core thing for the emperor to do next is to make preparations for leveling the world and collecting rents from generations, and his right hand is to disarm and cut the town.

Corresponding to the current layoffs, it is also logical-big factories don't have so many new businesses and new growth. Some project departments of many head companies even have a small number of formal employees+some interns+a large number of outsourcing teams to complete the task.

Let's talk about the model of internal expansion and contraction of the company. At the beginning of the year, big manufacturers should make plans, and they will try new directions of business growth and core business strengthening, so in the first half of the year, you will see them hiring people and expanding their teams.

By the year-end inventory in the second half of the year, at this time, they will look at the output of business expansion in the previous year. If many businesses are too inefficient or even unnecessary, they will start to control manpower and start to tighten business.

Such expansion and contraction is an objective law within the company. It is almost impossible for any enterprise to predict every wave of changes very accurately. This is a crazy exploration process, trying to expand, then collecting and then trying again.

In this process, marginal businesses and businesses with unclear development are naturally "optimized". This is why some departments are still trying to recruit people in companies that have laid off employees or tightened recruitment. Some companies should not have so many people in the first place. Too many people, reduced human efficiency and insufficient business progress.

Large population and low efficiency are acceptable at some stages, which is called development cost. For example, in the so-called "window" of the capital market, all kinds of capitals will rush to throw money at people here.

But at a certain stage, even if there is money, the capital will be cautious and the company will tend to be conservative. The next step is to lay off employees, reduce costs and ensure that the company is risk-free.

Third, will the Internet have an industry dividend?

Looking at the macro trend, informatization and digitalization are still the development direction of the industry in the future.

If the career choice is put on the highway of further digitalization and informatization of the whole society, the whole electronic information technology industry, including the narrow Internet industry, will still be full of opportunities and significance.

Look around again. As long as many people use mobile phones, smart devices (such as smart cars) and some tools and means of the Internet to solve problems in various industries in the future, the world is still not so perfect, and there are still opportunities.

If the Internet increased by 10 times in the golden age ten years ago, it increased by three times in the silver age, and it may only increase by 1.5 times or even1.or1.0/kloc-0 in the black iron age.

But what does this increase of 1. 1 times and 1.05438+0 times mean? It means much better than many industries.

As long as it is still growing, it has actually outperformed many industries.

Many industries have not grown at all, or even shrunk, and even some of the growth is in the fields and stages of integration with digitalization, informationization and the Internet.

This is the so-called "internet plus" in the past, and the development of the Internet industry has greatly exceeded this category. Let's not talk about so-called "pure internet companies" today. Internet has increasingly become an infrastructure, a tool to improve efficiency or a way of thinking, which has penetrated into all walks of life.

The word "Internet" is also one-sided. Digitalization, informatization and internetization must be the general trend of all industries.

Therefore, if we really talk about the dividend of the Internet, we should consider all kinds of new opportunities arising from the integration of various industries and the Internet. Since the outbreak of the epidemic, the Internet has accelerated its popularity in various industries with the naked eye, and many new opportunities have emerged in the process of this change.

Generally speaking, if a person can seize the opportunity and look for the dividends of 1. 1 times and 1.0 1 times combined with the Internet in various industries, he can realize the rapid growth of his career development with high probability.