What is the year-end red envelope market on the stock?

The red envelope market at the end of last year refers to the company creating wealth for shareholders.

Usually, every business cycle of a listed company is one year, and as a joint stock limited company, it is to create wealth for the shareholders who hold shares, and the embodiment of creating wealth is to pay dividends to shareholders every year. This is a situation. On the other hand, the Lunar New Year in China is around February of the following year, so before the stock market rises, everyone can make money from the stocks they buy, just like giving everyone a red envelope years ago.

Inventory:

A stock is a certificate of ownership issued by a joint-stock company. It is a kind of securities issued by joint-stock companies to shareholders as holding certificates in order to raise funds and obtain dividends and bonuses.

Stock is the main long-term credit tool in the capital market, which can be transferred and traded. With it, shareholders can share the company's profits, but also bear the risks brought by the company's business mistakes.

Stock is a kind of valuable securities, which is a stock certificate issued by a joint-stock company to investors when raising capital, representing the ownership of the joint-stock company by its holders (that is, shareholders). Buying stocks is also a part of buying a company's business, which can develop and grow together with the enterprise.

This kind of ownership is a comprehensive right, such as attending the shareholders' meeting, voting, participating in the company's major decisions, collecting dividends or sharing the dividend difference. , but also bear the risks brought by the company's business mistakes. Getting regular income is one of the important reasons for investors to buy stocks, and dividends are the main source of regular income for stock investors.

There are three main analysis methods for stock investment:

Basic analysis, technical analysis and evolution analysis. They are interrelated and have important differences.

The interrelation is mainly manifested in the specific application level of investment decision-[1] Technical analysis should be supported by basic analysis, so as to avoid "seeking fish from the edge of a tree" and bring technical analysis and basic analysis into the basic framework of evolutionary analysis to improve its scientificity, applicability, timeliness and reliability.

The important difference is mainly reflected in how to understand the philosophical level of the relationship between people and the market-technical analysts believe that the market is right, the stock price trend already contains all useful information, and its basic idea is to "follow the trend and correct mistakes in time"; Basic analysts believe that their analysis is correct, and market errors often occur. Their basic idea is to take advantage of market mistakes to "buy at a low price and hold for a long time"; Evolutionary analysis holds that there is no universal, unchangeable and unified standard to judge whether the market and investors are right or wrong in terms of time and space, or in terms of form and content, but largely depends on the co-evolution process of human weakness and market ecology. Its basic idea is "all considerations based on biological instinct and evolutionary law".

It should be emphasized that due to the serious influence of mechanistic thinking and various preconceived theories or methods, investors have many misunderstandings and dilemmas in stock trading decision-making, among which the most common misunderstanding is that complex problems are simplified in epistemology and simple problems are complicated in methods; The main dilemma is that the validity of technical analysis is normal, and its scientificity and reliability are widely questioned, while the objectivity of basic analysis is obviously different, and its applicability, accuracy and feasibility are also severely challenged.

(1), fundamental analysis:

Based on the traditional economic theory, the basic analysis method takes the enterprise value as the main research object, and makes a detailed analysis of the macro-economic situation, industry development prospects and enterprise operating conditions that determine the intrinsic value of enterprises and affect the stock price, so as to roughly calculate the long-term investment value and safety margin of listed companies, and compare them with the current stock price to form corresponding investment suggestions. According to the basic analysis, it is impossible to accurately predict the trajectory of stock price fluctuations, so we can only buy stocks and hold them for a long time with sufficient safety margin.

(2) Technical analysis:

The technical analysis method is based on the traditional securities theory, with the stock price as the main research object and the main purpose of forecasting the fluctuation trend of the stock price, and analyzes the fluctuation law of the stock market from the historical chart of the stock price change. Technical analysis holds that market behavior is all-encompassing, and stock price fluctuations can be quantitatively analyzed and predicted, such as Dow theory, wave theory, Gann theory and so on.

(3) Evolutionary analysis:

Evolutionary analysis method is based on the theory of evolutionary securities, taking the life motion property of stock market fluctuation as the main research object, starting from the aspects of metabolism, profit-seeking, adaptability, plasticity, stress, variability and rhythm of the stock market, dynamically tracking the direction and space of market fluctuation, and providing opportunities and risk assessment methods for stock trading decision-making. Based on the essential attributes of stock market fluctuation, evolutionary analysis holds that all kinds of complex causal relationships or phenomena of stock market fluctuation can be found from the basic principles of life movement, and their logical relationships and reasonable explanations can provide convincing basis for stock trading decisions.