How long can Ukraine last?

In view of the escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine's predicament is increasingly precarious. Personally, from the current point of view, Ukraine can last up to 3-6 months.

First, the initial unfavorable situation in Russia has supported Ukraine to the present. Russia wanted a quick victory from the beginning, but war is not what you want. Moreover, Ukraine began to prepare from 20 14 Crimea, so Russia wanted to make a quick decision at first, but Ukraine's resistance was very successful.

Second, Ukraine is weak one after another. At present, Russia has made careful preparations. After introspection and adjustment, we have adapted to the routine of Ukraine, adjusted the style of play, and gained the battlefield advantage. It's getting more and more handy now.

On the other hand, in Ukraine, the flight of refugees led to a shortage of troops. The front-line charge led to serious attrition of troops. At present, a new round of national mobilization is under way, and it is estimated that the effect will not be good. Ukraine's offensive is mainly maintained by mercenaries, and Ukraine's will to resist may be supported by the offensive wave. If the front fails, it may be a complete failure.

Third, Europe and the United States care too much about Ukraine. At present, there are variables in countries such as Europe and the United States. First of all, the attitude of the United States towards Ukraine changed in the mid-term elections. Although it will not stop supporting Ukraine, its support and efficiency will be greatly reduced.

European countries are trapped by inflation and domestic economic pressure, and the scale of resistance demonstrations is growing. There are more than 65438+ 10,000 demonstrations in Germany every week, and the support for Ukraine will also decline.

Prediction of the development of the Russian-Ukrainian war At present, Ukraine's resistance has basically reached its peak. At present, Russia and Ukraine are massing heavily in Hellson, and it is estimated that a formal war will soon begin. Moreover, the 3 1000 recruits added by Russia have not yet been put into the battlefield, which may be due to careful preparation before the decisive battle.

Therefore, when the war in Hellson is over, the Russian army is likely to annihilate most of the Ukrainian effective forces. By then, the Russian army will give full play to its advantages in heavy armor, and it is expected to occupy Odessa, nikolayev and other states.

At this time, the opportunity for a truce came, and then Europe and the United States began a formal truce peace talks. Russia withdrew from the newly occupied country and promised not to join NATO. It is expected that the Russian-Ukrainian crisis will be completely lifted within six months.