The important thing in life is to learn how to judge the truth first.

Our generation is facing an unprecedented challenge, that is, too much knowledge and information.

Having a lot of information is no longer a problem, but how to distinguish and use them.

I had little knowledge before. Even if you can't tell the difference, you can finally confirm it by trying one by one.

In ancient times, it was necessary to ask which way to go out and how long it would take to get there. The village chief said to take the west, and Wang Po said to take the south. Both of them said differently. What should I do?

You see, officials in the village are more authoritative and knowledgeable. It should be right to listen to him.

I was thinking that Wang Po watched me grow up, and she shouldn't lie to me.

In contrast, one is based on experience and the other is based on emotion. In the end, by contrast, you decided to listen to the village chief.

You can forget it, even if you try both ways, you can always get there by walking once.

But now it's not just Wang Po, but also Li Po, Zhang Po and Zhao Po. Everyone said a way, and everyone tried but couldn't get there.

Since you can't believe it all, who should you trust and how can you judge who is right?

Now it's not a question of how much knowledge you learn, but how do you know that what you believe is right? What do you use to distinguish authenticity?

Learning to judge knowledge is the primary task of our life.

Imagine if there is something wrong with the standard of judging knowledge, what terrible results will it bring, just like there is something wrong with the money detector itself. Can you still believe the money detected?

And this ability to distinguish knowledge is a method of critical thinking and how to judge authenticity.

When I was a child, the bottom layer was teachers and parents. Even if mistakes are found, they are ultimately responsible for solving the problem. No one in the society knows everything, but this habit still affects us, so we project them on the experts, the big V leaders.

But we can't all expect others to help us distinguish. The only person in life who is ultimately responsible for you is yourself.

Then how can we be critical and not blindly believe? How to choose credible information to use and find a big V concern? If you choose the wrong person, how to correct it?

You can't count on others, which may be the coldest truth in the world.

And critical thinking is the existence of solving these problems.

What is critical thinking?

There may be many explanations, but the following abilities are good for you:

1, can define and analyze concepts;

2, will analyze the structure of the argument;

3, can find the premise hypothesis implied in the argument;

4. Logical fallacies can be avoided;

5, can judge the credibility of information;

6. Different possibilities can be considered;

7. Be more demanding-you can convince others with rigorous arguments.

There are many such standards, just a few abilities that I think are important. If you are interested in critical thinking, I recommend reading Critical Thinking Tools and Learning to Ask Questions. These two books can basically get started.

Today we will talk about three underlying logics;

Masters like the underlying logic, and many things look lively in nature. After understanding these framework concepts, it is very simple to understand.

First, the basis of critical thinking is not principle, but rich knowledge.

Critical thinking is different from other disciplines. It does not exist to solve a specific problem, nor is it a tool. To put it bluntly, it can't directly help you solve the problem.

It can affect how you look at a problem, but critical thinking can't help you solve specific problems, how to do it and how to look at it.

For example, recently, because the epidemic has spread all over the world, especially recently, the number of confirmed cases in all countries has surpassed that in China. Then, on the internet, people spread how stupid and flustered this reaction was, as if the country were going to collapse.

Moreover, every share has been blown up these days. Luckin Coffee made a fake, and then it spread everywhere that Ruixing is the light of domestic products, cut the leeks of the American people, and invited the people of China to drink low-priced coffee. Everyone is very happy to hear it. In the case that the company does not know whether it can exist, all major physical stores have exploded.

This logic itself is the same as robbing the rich to help the poor, robbing the American people and helping China consumers. Sounds like great motivation logic.

But this problem is not logic, but knowledge. To put it bluntly, it is ignorance.

Listen, Rui Xing is like chopping up the American people and giving the benefits to everyone. But they don't know that although Ruixun is listed in the United States, other suppliers, equipment vendors, store employees and upstream and downstream are all from China.

He doesn't know how integrated the global economy is now. This is no longer a zero-sum game. It's that simple. Luckin Coffee is only listed in the United States, with shareholders all over the world. Not only did they not cut leeks, but they also dragged domestic upstream and downstream suppliers into the pit, and then other listed companies in China suffered heavy losses.

Recently, every share has been blown, and many people tell jokes and make jokes. The logic is that as long as America is bad, it is good for us.

In the past month, China Ping An fell by 13%, Weibo by 19%, Alibaba by 10% and Baidu by 2 1%. Companies with falling share prices need to improve their financial reports to maintain their share prices.

Layoff is one of the few options to reduce costs when the demand for epidemic situation is suppressed; Calculate the decline of your company's share price during the epidemic. Maybe unemployment is not far away from us.

These are the results of simple logical judgments. You see, one of the uses of knowledge is self-calibration. Logic alone is useless. A lot of background knowledge is needed to assist in using critical thinking to make judgments.

Critical thinking is not for trouble or doubt. Not only logical deduction, but also for environment, knowledge and people.

Second, critical thinking is not to keep you from making mistakes, but to correct them immediately after you make them.

The history of human knowledge is a process of constant mistakes.

Keep putting forward new knowledge, and then prove it wrong, and then continue trial and error, experiment, failure, improvement and experiment.

We live not to make mistakes, but to correct them. The purpose of evolution is not to be the strongest, but to better adapt to survival.

Just like wolves and sheep on the grassland, in order to survive, wolves run faster and escape, wolves who can't catch sheep will starve to death, and sheep who run slowly will be caught. However, the whole grassland ecology has established a balance, each species has its own advantages, and each species has the ability to resist risks.

This ability to resist risks is the reward after error correction.

Critical thinking is not directed at anyone or any problem, and its existence is the process of our cognitive evolution.

It doesn't exist to judge who you are. It doesn't matter how right you are now, nor does it matter to use critical thinking to find mistakes. What matters is the speed of error correction.

Critical thinking is the ability to help you provide a perspective, re-examine the process of events and objectively analyze problems.

Third, it can't give you a definite result, it can only judge the probability of things happening, and then you continue to bet on high probability events.

There is no definite way to solve all the problems in this world.

Some people always expect a way to help them solve the problems they encounter in life, so they live in pain. Trying to control everything can only be painful.

It seems that everyone likes this sentence. As long as I do something ... I can get something. ...

Everything is a law of cause and effect, and you can get a reward if you pay. Once your efforts are useless, people will easily collapse. We must face up to the real world. The essence of the real world is random probability, and everything is uncertain.

A master will never find what 100% is sure to do, because there is nothing in this world.

The real master is to abstract events into probabilities. Then find something with a high probability, keep gambling, and slowly improve the probability of winning.

For example, people who study have a higher probability of success in the future than those who don't study, so smart people will gamble on knowledge. The more they know, the higher the probability of success in the future.

If you can keep betting on the winner, as long as you keep betting, the probability of winning is high.

Just like writing an article to come up with explosions, the probability of insisting on writing is higher than that of people who don't write often, so I insist on writing. As long as I write, there is a probability of explosions in good articles.

So people often ask him what is the significance of doing this and what is the use of reading these books. He can tell a lot of truth, and he may be right. He just doesn't understand probability. People who can't bet on high probability won't succeed.

Having said that, in the final analysis, I hope everyone can achieve their goals. Critical thinking is an essential ability of modern people, and it is also a set of thinking framework when we face an increasingly complex world. It can help you check the evolution of events and the process of thinking and reasoning.

The best tool to help you judge the truth of logical facts.

Final summary:

The principle is not important, but the multi-dimensional knowledge angle is important.

It's not to prevent you from making mistakes, it's more important to correct them immediately.

Critical thinking can't give you a definite result, but it can give you a judgment on the probability of events.

A successful person is a person who keeps betting on high probability events.