The national football team defeated Australia in the first game of the top 12. What is the probability of the national football team qualifying from the group?

In the "we global football" odds website, the national football team is not favored, and the probability of elimination in the top 12 is as high as 85%! The probability of directly qualifying for the World Cup is only a pitiful 3%! This probability is very objective, but I still want to watch football, because watching football gives me a little thought and hope. Not to mention that 3% is equal to nothing. The probability of winning a lottery ticket is far less than this. Don't people have no chance when they buy it? Have you missed it?

The top 12 matches require a full ten games. It is impossible for the Chinese team to score points in every game, not to mention that Australia is better than China. Scoring points is an accident, and losing points is the norm. The key for the Chinese team to qualify is to "abuse their food" and try to score points against strong teams, rather than fighting against Japan, Australia, and Saudi Arabia, all demanding a tie and victory. Losing to Australia is actually part of the plan now. After all, losing to Australia in an away game is acceptable. We fans are not angry because we lost points to Australia, but we are angry because we lost completely in terms of content! If you play well, hit the content, and try hard but still lose, then that’s no problem!

But now because of problems with head coach Li Tie, the national football team lost to Australia! If Li Tie doesn't change his mind and makes the same mistake, the national football team will continue to lose! There is no doubt that if Li Tie continues to use Li Tie, the national football team will be 100% eliminated!

What is the difference between Li Tie’s script and Gao Hongbo’s four years ago? It was pure luck that I got into the top 12, but I was blown away. To be honest, this blame cannot be said to be entirely the head coach's fault, but don't expect them to make any great contributions. They will never be able to compare with Lippi or Milu after studying for a lifetime.

I just hope that the national football team can play a few good games, so that I can get up in the middle of the night and be happy a few times, and then I will be satisfied. 0:3 Australia last night, who knows, I didn’t watch it for the last ten minutes and crawled back into bed.

Because there is a sense of despair, it is not a question of whether there is a threat in the frontcourt, but a complete inability to pass the ball effectively, and the back line is always moved forward and beaten behind, causing constant rumblings in the penalty area. My little heart can't bear it anymore.

I hope that in the next game, or even the following games, the Chinese team should position themselves correctly. With the current weak organizational skills in the frontcourt, they should try not to think about controlling the ball and advancing. The only effective tactical plan is to defend intensively in the backcourt and look for opportunities to counterattack by setting up 451, 541 and the like.

But the bosses and the media have a gambler mentality. They always feel that if they win baccarat once, they can win a second time, without looking at the difference in strength. In 2002, I finally made it to the World Cup, but I was still dreaming about how to win for the third time. The joke about Brother Pingtu has never left me. It’s better to wake up early and go to youth training to lay the foundation. Increase the overall people's income so that more people can choose to play football to make a living, purify the soil of football and reduce team corruption, and reduce the involvement of bureaucrats in the specific practices of on-the-spot matches. If you do it slowly like this, um, it will probably be fruitful in thirty years. Think about it, how many years did it take for Japan to enter the World Cup for the first time since its economy took off? Originally, the fans were expecting a miracle, but if they keep playing like this, it would be better if the national football team does not create black history.