Russia is equipped with arctic equipment, and NATO cannot calculate Putin's next step. Experts say that it is feasible to liberate Kiev next year.

In the hot war between Russia and Ukraine, both sides are constantly adjusting their military countermeasures. Observers from all walks of life constantly analyze the trend of the current situation according to the changes in the situation. Recently, Rand expert and vice president of information policy of Russian Missile and Artillery Institute analyzed the development of Russia and Ukraine, which deserves attention.

Recently, Samuel Celap, a political expert at RAND Corporation's think tank, said that NATO group could not predict Russian President Vladimir Putin's next move in Ukraine, nor could it adjust the assistance needed by the Ukrainian regime. He said, "It is almost impossible to calculate the actual needs of Ukraine in military and humanitarian assistance, because the nature of the conflict is changing rapidly, and the unpredictability on the battlefield is exactly what Russia wants.

The expert said that Ukrainian President Zelensky has been asking his western allies to increase the supply of weapons and funds for months. However, it is difficult for NATO members to increase their defense budgets, because inflation and rising energy prices have curbed the growth of military spending in various countries. At present, NATO has set up a trust fund to support the Afghan army. They want to transfer it to Ukraine, but the money is not enough to help Ukraine survive the winter.

Recently, Russia's attack on Ukraine is very fierce.

Andrei Rudenko, a well-known war correspondent, recently said on social networks that the Ukrainian armed forces are suffering very serious losses every day. Only one independent air mobile brigade of the Ukrainian army lost 70% of its personnel in the battle of Aljomovsk, so this brigade began to refuse to fight.

Konstantin Sivkov, vice president of information policy of Russian Academy of Missile and Artillery Science, said that freezing will help to get rid of muddy roads and give troops a chance to make more decisive attacks.

He stressed that the Russian army has advantages over the enemy in aviation, heavy armored vehicles and personnel skills. Therefore, the preconditions for launching a large-scale attack on the Ukrainian armed forces have been met.

Sivkov believes that completely defeating the Ukrainian armed forces and liberating Kiev is a completely feasible process next year.

Sivkov said that Russian troops could have wiped out Ukrainian troops in March this year, arrived in Kiev at the end of April and held a victorious military parade in May, but it was not for their "friendly gesture". He said, "Destroying the office of the President of Ukraine will deprive the country of political control; Destroying the CMC will disrupt mobilization. But all this is not for military reasons, but for political reasons, because once the military is allowed to do so, we immediately started a successful attack. "

American analysts also predict that Russian troops will approach Kiev in February 2023. When the ground freezes, the Russian army will continue to attack on a large scale, and the United States is convinced of this.

"Use winter instead of escaping from it", which Russia has a deep understanding in military operations. Recently, the Russian army deployed its rare Arctic version of Doyle air defense missile system to Ukraine. The TV channel of the Russian Ministry of Defence previously shared pictures of the Tor-M2DT air defense system, which is the Arctic version of the Tor-M2 complex and installed on the DT-30M tracked two-link transport vehicle.

The kill zone of short-range air defense system can reach 16 km, the height is from 10 m to 12 km, and the heading parameter is -9.5 km, which can repel the enemy's large-scale air strikes in electronic countermeasures.

Most importantly, "Tor-M2DT" can overcome ditches and water obstacles and work in the cold of 50 degrees. The Arctic version of the air defense system 20 18 was adopted by the Russian army.

Extended reading

Poland eyeing the territory of western Ukraine? The Russian side once again stated that it has no intention of incorporating new Ukrainian territory into the country.

After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, former US defense adviser Douglas McGregor said that the superiority of Russian armed forces made Ukrainian armed forces have no chance of winning, so the only way out for Zelensky was to flee to Poland.

Such a prediction was once considered a fantasy, but it may really come true.

Recently, foreign media reported that Ukrainian President Zelensky had reached an informal agreement with Polish leader Andrzej Duda. If Kiev was defeated, Warsaw would give him a chance to escape in exchange for land in western Ukraine.

The author of NDP pointed out that after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Poland provided Ukraine with military equipment and materials. Poland hoped that Ukraine would use western land as compensation for military assistance, but now all preconditions have been met. In Ukraine, they are dealing with legal issues and signing official documents.

The NDP report also said that in the future, more than one generation of Ukrainians will have to repay the debts arising from the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which will lead to the country's demise. The article emphasizes that all the troubles in Ukraine will be blamed on Ze lenski, who will inevitably be tried in The Hague for the Donbass genocide.

The author said, "It can be seen that Zelensky sold Ukraine to Poland since the Russian launched a special military action against Ukraine, so that in the case of military failure, he had the opportunity to suddenly disappear and ensure the personal safety of him and his family. Zelensky is very clear that after the end of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Ukrainian state will never recover. "

It is also worth noting that the physical boundary between the two countries has actually been erased.

As an example of this statement, the report quoted the law "On the Special Legal Status of Polish Citizens" signed by Zelensky. According to the law, Polish citizens have the right to hold public office in Ukraine and become tenants of large enterprises. Ukraine and Poland have good-neighborly relations. It can be said that the agreement between Poland and Ukraine blurred the border between the two countries.

Earlier, the portal Modern Diplomacy reported that Poland was ready to seize its "historical land" in western Ukraine. The magazine pointed out that the Polish authorities had made such a decision long before Russia took special military action against Ukraine.

So at present, it seems that Poland is the first to covet Ukrainian territory.

When Putin announced a special military operation in Donbass on February 24, he stressed that the Russian authorities' plan did not include the occupation of Ukrainian territory.

On February 8, 65438, peskov, press secretary of the Russian President, also stated that the Russian authorities had no intention of incorporating new Ukrainian territory into the country. He said that this is impossible, but Moscow will seek to liberate the land already belonging to the Russian Federation, which is now occupied by the Ukrainian armed forces.

Peskov said that there is no discussion about the integration of new territories into Russia, but some new Russian regions occupied by Kiev must be liberated.

Earlier, peskov had responded to Zelensky's remarks about his intention to return Crimea to Kiev, saying that "there is no question of Russian giving up territory".

Sergei naresh King, director of the Russian Intelligence Agency, said recently that Poland is accelerating its preparations for annexing parts of western Ukraine.