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Which method is more reliable, missile hitting aircraft carrier or aircraft carrier hitting aircraft carrier?

Anti-ship ballistic missile is the most likely anti-ship missile to cause heavy damage to aircraft carrier at present. Compared with common anti-ship cruise missiles, anti-ship ballistic missiles have many advantages.

First, the scope is long. At present, there are two kinds of anti-ship ballistic missiles in China with long range, among which Dongfeng -2 1D has a range of about 2,000 kilometers and Dongfeng -26 has a range of nearly 4,000 kilometers. Because of its long range, the anti-ship ballistic missile launching platform can launch attacks calmly outside the operational radius of the other aircraft carrier battle group and other weapons. In contrast, at present, the range of mainstream anti-ship cruise missiles is only 500 ~ 600 kilometers at most, which means that its launch platform may encounter intensive interception attacks from other fighters, escort ships and air defense missiles before successfully launching anti-ship cruise missiles, and the success rate of anti-aircraft carriers is not high.

Second, the flight speed is high and it is difficult to intercept. As a member of ballistic missiles, an important feature of anti-ship ballistic missiles is that most of the flight time is hypersonic flight outside the atmosphere or at the edge of the atmosphere. The CM-40 1 anti-ship ballistic missile exhibited by China at Zhuhai Air Show last year has a maximum flight speed of Mach 6 and an average speed of Mach 4. Even the supersonic anti-ship cruise missile has a maximum speed of only Mach 4, which is obviously inferior to the anti-ship ballistic missile in power and range. It should be noted that CM-40 1 is actually only a low-end export-oriented anti-ship ballistic missile.

And China's own anti-ship ballistic missile needs range, speed and accuracy? Up a flight of stairs? CM-40 1 can't be compared at all, especially their terminal strike speed has exceeded the ability of existing air defense and anti-missile interception systems. When many people pay attention to anti-ship ballistic missiles, they often pay attention to the range, warhead weight, speed and other data of anti-ship ballistic missiles, and rely on these data to explain how anti-aircraft carrier capabilities of anti-ship ballistic missiles are, which is actually unreasonable.

As an ultra-long-range missile used to attack moving targets, any anti-ship ballistic missile needs the information provided by other platforms to complete the anti-aircraft carrier combat mission. In order to support the anti-aircraft carrier operations of anti-ship ballistic missiles, a country must invest a lot of manpower and material resources to build a sound and reliable maritime reconnaissance/search and guidance system, which involves reconnaissance satellites, navigation satellites, special aircraft and long-endurance unmanned patrol aircraft, and sometimes they are more worthy of attention than anti-ship ballistic missiles themselves.

The advantage of aircraft carrier lies in its high maneuverability and comprehensive attack and defense system. At present, offensive aircraft carriers can maneuver in a wide range at a speed of about 1 1,000 km/day and night, which can counter land-based anti-ship ballistic missiles to some extent. The carrier battle group can use its high-speed maneuverability to do many things, such as relying on high-speed maneuverability to get rid of tracking and implement tactical deception. For example, high-speed maneuvering can mobilize the land-based aviation and missile forces of the other country, so that they can pay attention to one thing and lose sight of another. So the most ideal anti-aircraft carrier weapon is the aircraft carrier itself.