Will the war break out when NATO draws a red line?

Will the war break out when NATO draws a red line?

1. Can the West accept the "red line"?

Russia's red line to NATO is that it cannot expand eastward, especially Ukraine and Georgia cannot join NATO, and offensive weapons cannot be deployed in Ukraine and areas bordering Russia.

Is the red line harsh?

It's not harsh at all Who wants a cannon to stay at home every day? Russia's "red line" is very firm, giving the United States and NATO two security drafts respectively.

The red line drawn by Russia is that NATO cannot continue to expand eastward, especially Ukraine and Georgia, and cannot deploy offensive weapons in Ukraine or other countries bordering Russia.

Russia has a very tough attitude towards the United States and NATO, demanding that NATO and the United States stop hostile actions against Russia. There are many things, such as NATO conducting military exercises without announcement, sending warships and planes to provoke NATO to stop deploying armaments in Ukraine.

This time, Russia issued a statement different from the previous one, pointing out the problem directly to the United States. We can't build military bases in countries that joined the Soviet Union before, nor can we engage in their military facilities, let alone cooperate.

Russia is not only opposed diplomatically as before. Russia said that if these agreements were rejected, the crisis would escalate.

This is the most difficult time in Russia since the disintegration of the Soviet Union. The United States thought that the disintegration of the Soviet Union was the boss, and it did whatever it wanted in the world, even ignoring Russia.

It is true that Russia can't compete with the United States regardless of its size or strength. But now, a resurgent Russia has reappeared. Russia today is not as weak as Russia in Yeltsin's time. It dares to challenge the United States, even makes the United States stop, and makes the United States realize that this is not the old Russia.

Russia's request is very reasonable. It would be strange if a weak country, unable to stand up to the United States, made tough demands, but it is understandable for Russia to do so for its own security. It is difficult for the United States and NATO to agree or not accept Russia's proposal. Because NATO will split, it will be very troublesome to coordinate.

If Biden accepts, Biden will be described by * * * and the Party as "communicating with Russia". It can be seen that Russia's red line has been drawn, and neither the United States nor NATO can accept it.

Putin has struggled with the West for more than 20 years. Of course he knows what the United States thinks, but why did Putin do this?

This is the greatness of Putin. If you, the United States and NATO don't accept it, then Russia will seize this reason and take further measures. Do not rule out war.

Russia cannot be crushed by the United States and NATO every day. This is not the character of a fighting nation. However, Russia has taken the initiative to take further measures against these demands put forward by the West, which has to be said to be a move. You press me, I press you in the opposite direction.

2. Avoid playing tricks behind the United States.

Some people will say that if Russia hits Ukraine, is Russia sure to win?

Actually, this is not a problem. Russia will definitely win the battle against Ukraine in many ways. For example, Putin recently announced that "genocide" is taking place in Donbass. Russia will investigate and take further action.

Look at Putin looking for evidence. This is the reason for going to war. The United States has no reason to go to war with foreign countries. For example, fighting Iraq, holding a bottle of washing powder is called a weapon of destruction. Russia has long learned the operation of the United States.

America is a teacher. He has taught many students. I thought teachers would always be teachers, and Russia has learned a lot.

It is also said that Russia now has the strength to fight against the West, but NATO is, after all, a military alliance of Western countries. Although Russia is strong, its heroes are hard to beat. In the face of these wolves, can polar bears beat wolves?

In fact, Russia will think of everything that worries Russia. Otherwise, Russia could not draw a red line between the United States and NATO so rashly.

However, if Russia hits Ukraine, will the United States create trouble for Russia in other directions? For example, strike Syria in the Middle East and rekindle the war in Syria?

In fact, Russia must have anticipated this problem. The Syrian war has been fought for so many years, and Russia has not paid less. However, Russia has long mastered the experience and laws of Syrian operations. Even if the United States goes to war in Syria, it is impossible to distract Russia.

Israel attacked Syria and even directly attacked the capital Damascus. It is believed that Syria and Israel may go to war. If they fight, Russia will definitely send troops.

This underestimates Russia. The relationship between Russia and Israel is different from that between the United States and Israel. Israel can't follow the United States to create trouble for Russia.

Russia must find ways to avoid the escalation of the Syrian-Israeli conflict. As long as the United States does not send troops to Syria, it cannot disrupt Russia in this way.

3. Can NATO unite?

After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, NATO continued to expand, and most countries of the former Soviet Union were pulled in. Russia has been very angry. Used to be my brother. Now that you've brought my brother to you, it's obviously against your eldest brother.

Although Ukraine has not joined NATO, it has been playing tricks with NATO, such as NATO training Ukrainian troops and constantly providing Ukraine with some equipment. While saying that he would not threaten Russia. This is equivalent to someone putting a gun in front of your house and telling you: I won't hit you.

How can NATO fool Russia with such a pretentious statement? Therefore, in recent years, Russia has not competed with western countries. NATO engages in exercises, and Russia also sends military aircraft. The United States took its younger brother to the Black Sea, and Russian warships and planes were also sent there.

Russia also divides NATO countries. For example, Russia and Germany have good relations. Although Germany is not a military power, its words are very heavy. There is also the relationship between Russia and France, and France will not easily get into the American chariot.

Putin also spoke to British Prime Minister Johnson, directly indicating Russia's demands. It is said that Britain said that if Russia attacked Ukraine, Britain would leave it alone.

Russia doesn't even care about other NATO countries. In Russia's eyes, those countries are not vegetables, and they are cannon fodder countries that dare to help Ukraine.

As far as NATO is concerned, it is not monolithic or United. Turkey, for example, is a typical country, and has a general relationship with the United States and other member States.

When the new German defense chief visited Lithuania recently, the Lithuanian defense chief also said: The United States should punish Russia and help Ukraine. Germany's new defense chief said: We should talk to Russia. Lithuania's defense minister even told a joke to the earth people: Lithuania will provide deadly weapons to Ukraine. I wonder what weapons Lithuania has to kill Russia. By then, Russia has built a nuclear power plant on the border of Baili, only 50 kilometers away from the Lithuanian capital. Lithuanians have nightmares every day.

As far as the current situation in Ukraine is concerned, if Russia goes to war, NATO cannot intervene at all, because Ukraine is not a NATO country. The United States can't get involved. You know, Russia is going to die together. Russia's nuclear missiles are America's heavyweight rivals. Unless America doesn't want to live on earth either.

As far as NATO is concerned, no matter how many member countries there are, it is not a United organization. There are not many countries that the United States can mobilize, unless a country does not want to live on the earth.

For the final outcome, some people think that Russia can't fight. This is a bargaining price for Russia. If the price is high, there is room for bargaining.

Unless Putin is joking, this kind of joke can't be made casually. If this price is not accepted by the west, Putin's support rate will also decline.

The United States and NATO now need to seriously face Russia's "red line."