What do you think of the situation in Syria?

First of all, Syria is located in the west of the Asian continent and on the east coast of the Mediterranean. It is one of the "core" countries in the "heartland" of the Arab world, and it is also the goal of big countries to compete for the Middle East. Many neighboring countries also have very sensitive political status. Therefore, the conflict that broke out in Syria this time is also regarded as the core of the Middle East conflict. The actions taken by the United States against Syria inevitably remind us of the scene before the Libyan war broke out. Will the United States and European powers launch the fourth war against Syria except Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya? Looking back on the ruling course of the Assad family for nearly half a century, it is not difficult to see that autocracy and economic backwardness have also become important reasons for the outbreak of the Syrian conflict. Old President Assad is very skillful and has great prestige among the people. As the successor of Assad, the current President Bashar al-Assad's political authority, political experience and ruling ability can't be compared with the old Assad. Maher, Bashar's younger brother, is known to the society for his corruption. The Bashar family also controls monopoly industries and key sectors in Syria, and is suspected of corruption to varying degrees, which makes the popular support rate of the Bashar government worse.

Secondly, because of undemocratic politics, a large number of social elites have no chance to participate in the management of the country, and they are eager for political reform. During the demonstrations in several provinces and cities in Syria, the slogan of the demonstrators was: "Reform, increase freedom and improve people's livelihood". Moreover, Syria has a single economic structure and a weak industrial base. Most state-owned enterprises are facing problems such as backward management, outdated equipment, low efficiency and serious losses. However, the serious corruption and inefficiency of government departments have also created obstacles to Syria's economic system reform and seriously restricted Syria's economic growth. Not only the domestic economy, people's livelihood and other issues are prominent, but also the external contradictions in Syria.

Especially the relationship between Syria and the United States, the two countries have long been at odds. The United States unilaterally believes that Syria intends to undermine the Middle East peace process actively promoted by the United States; Since the September 1 1 incident, the United States has blacklisted Syria for supporting terrorism. During the Iraq war, the United States believed that Syria supported anti-American armed forces and harbored terrorists in the Iraq war. As a neighbor of Iraq, Syria has repeatedly acquiesced and connived at terrorists crossing the Iraqi border, directly threatening the security of US troops stationed in Iraq. In addition, Syria's close diplomacy with Iran also poses a major threat to the US Middle East strategy. The United States and the West have obviously tendentious and inflammatory public opinion guidance and direct support for the opposition in the whole process, which undoubtedly aggravated the deterioration of the situation in Syria. While Russia and other countries are actively making diplomatic efforts to promote dialogue between Syrian factions and authorities, diplomats from the United States and other western countries in Syria frequently make unilateral contacts with the opposition, which directly shows the support of the United States and western countries for the opposition. After the outbreak of violent conflict in Syria, the United States and other western countries not only failed to make efforts to quell the incident, but increased pressure on the Syrian government and turned a blind eye to the violent incidents created by some countries that encouraged and supported Syrian rebels. These behaviors of the United States and other western countries have also obviously contributed to the escalation of violent conflicts in Syria.

Among the causes of the Syrian crisis, what has to be mentioned is the "Arab Revolution" that has appeared in North African countries one after another. The "Arab Revolution" has obvious characteristics of proliferation, from the defection of Tunisian President Ben Ali, the forced resignation of Egyptian President Mubarak, the bloody conflict in Bahrain, the announcement of Yemeni President Saleh's agreement to resign in exchange for exemption from prosecution, and the subsequent three confessions. At present, the stalemate with the opposition continues, and then a western-led regional war broke out in Libya. The Syrian political turmoil completely imitated the "experience" of the opposition in Tunisia, Egypt and other Arab countries. Looking at the fate of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and other countries, the ultimate trigger of the conflict is religious struggle. The struggle between Islamic Sunnis and Shiites has a long history. In the eyes of Arab countries, this is a sectarian war. On the one hand, there are Islamic Shiites led by the Bashar regime supported by Iran, and on the other hand, there are Islamic Sunnis representing the Arab majority. Saudi Arabia believes that Iran is trying to achieve its ambition of controlling the Arab world by provoking sectarian conflicts in Arab countries. Therefore, the two countries have formed a confrontational situation. The situation in Syria has accelerated the major wrestling between Sunnis and Shiites, Turkey and Iran, and brought the survival crisis to the Palestinian, Kurdish and Shia governments in Iraq.