The United States is evacuating its citizens globally and recruiting 1 million reserve troops, and Russia has also begun recruiting troops. What is the connection between the three?

The United States has evacuated overseas Chinese and recruited 1 million reserve troops around the world, mainly to deal with the new coronavirus epidemic. It is unlikely to prepare for war. Russia has begun its 2020 military conscription, with a scale of 135,000, which is a routine action. Therefore, there is no direct connection between the three. But if a large number of US troops are infected with COVID-19, especially if the USS Truman and USS Eisenhower aircraft carriers on missions in the Middle East also have outbreaks, Russia will very likely take action in Syria to expel the US military. If there is any connection between the three, it is most likely that the United States is also worried that all aircraft carriers will be hunkered down and the safety of U.S. troops and expatriates in the Middle East will not be guaranteed, so it will make greater efforts to recall Americans who live in the Middle East. To sum up three points: first, the United States’ evacuation of overseas Chinese and call-up of reserve forces are most likely to prevent and control the new coronavirus epidemic, and the possibility of starting a war is very small; second, Russia’s military recruitment is a routine move, and 135,000 soldiers were recruited in 2019; third Third, if all US aircraft carriers are deployed, Russia is likely to take action in Syria. The biggest connection between the three is this.

First, there is a high probability that the United States will evacuate overseas Chinese and recruit reserves for epidemic prevention needs, but there is a small probability that it is preparing for war. Let’s start with the evacuation of overseas Chinese from the United States. The main concern is that if the epidemic continues for a long time in the United States, overseas Americans will not be able to return to their homeland. Currently, COVID-19 has occurred in 208 countries around the world, and only 5 countries, including Lesotho, have not yet experienced the epidemic. Next, the lockdown policies of countries around the world will inevitably become more and more strict. In particular, the United States has become the country most severely affected by the COVID-19 epidemic, and more countries have cut off flights to the United States. It is becoming more and more difficult for Americans overseas to return home, so the White House will recall these expats in advance.

The United States’ recruitment of reserves is more like starting a war at home. The epidemic in the United States is so severe that the number of confirmed cases has exceeded 460,000, an increase of 37,000 cases in one day, and the manpower for epidemic prevention is becoming increasingly scarce. In addition, everyone in the United States has a gun. Once the epidemic triggers an economic crisis, and the economic crisis triggers a wave of unemployment, that will be the time for internal unrest in the United States. The United States may not be able to recruit 1 million reserve troops, after all, a large number of regular American troops have been infected with the new coronavirus. The Pentagon in the United States has announced that it will no longer release the number of new coronavirus infections in the US military. It can be seen that a large number of US troops must have been infected.

Second, Russian conscription is a routine action. Currently, the number of Russian regular troops is 1.1 million. In 2019, Russia also recruited 135,000 new soldiers. This year, the number of Russian conscripts is still 135,000. Some people may ask, how can Russia recruit so many recruits? Russia has a negative population growth, and urban youth are unwilling to enlist in the army. Most of them are Russian rural youth. It is already a very difficult task to recruit 135,000 recruits!

Third, once all US aircraft carriers are deployed, Russia is likely to take action in Syria. If we insist that the three are connected, then the connection lies in the Middle East. Of the 11 U.S. aircraft carriers, only four are on mission, and two have been laid up due to the COVID-19 epidemic. If the USS Truman and USS Eisenhower aircraft carriers in the Middle East waters are also lying down, Russia will definitely not let go of such a golden opportunity and will directly take action in Syria. The United States is also very clear that it will definitely recall Americans in the Middle East.

U.S. troops in Syria

We welcome everyone to discuss. Do you think Russia will take action against Americans in Syria?