What will be the pace of China’s industry in 2018?

If the industry is strong, the country will be strong.

Recently, the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics show that in 2017, the added value of industries above designated size nationwide actually increased by 6.6% compared with the previous year, and the growth rate increased by 0.6 percentage points compared with the previous year. Industrial production growth accelerated for the first time since 2011. Previously, Minister of Industry and Information Technology Miao Wei pointed out that in 2018, the main expected goals are that the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size will increase by about 6, the energy consumption per unit of industrial added value of enterprises above designated size will decrease by 4, and the water consumption per unit of industrial added value will decrease by 4.5...

What are the highlights of my country’s industrial economy at present? From "6.6" to "around 6", what is the profound meaning of this change? Why did my country’s industrial development slow down in 2018? What will the future hold?

1. Look at the momentum: the industrial economy is stable and improving

Data

In 2017, the added value of my country's industrial strategic emerging industries increased by 11% compared with the previous year. The growth rate increased by 0.5 percentage points from the previous year; the industrial capacity utilization rate was 77, an increase of 3.7 percentage points from the previous year, the highest level in the past five years; nearly 9,000 newly built industrial enterprises above designated size have begun mass production. In addition, the efficiency of industrial enterprises continues to improve. From January to November 2017, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 21.9% year-on-year.

In XCMG Group’s smart factory, the equipment can “speak” and the data will be converted into production instructions.

Today, XCMG Group has realized information control and traceability of the entire production process, allowing for data sharing, equipment connection and visualization, and the environmental monitoring system can also monitor and prevent waste gas and waste water. , promote "green manufacturing". Lu Chuan, President of XCMG Engineering Machinery Co., Ltd., said that the first domestic industrial IoT big data platform independently developed by XCMG has transformed the construction machinery industry from a "production tool type" to a "smart interconnection type".

Behind these changes is the determined innovation of a large number of advanced industrial enterprises such as XCMG and Weichai Power, which is also a microcosm of my country's industrial development.

The EMU model displayed at the first China Industrial Design Exhibition. Published by Xinhua News Agency

In 2017, my country's industry received a dazzling "report card": the added value of the national industrial enterprises above designated size actually increased by 6.6% compared with the previous year; the industrial base strengthening project achieved new breakthroughs, and the manufacturing industry The pace of digital transformation is accelerating; the C919 large passenger aircraft and the AG600 amphibious aircraft successfully made their first flight; new intelligent hardware and other products are emerging in an endless stream, high-end CNC systems have broken foreign technology monopoly, and high-end equipment innovation has achieved fruitful results...

In 2017, my country While the industry is achieving growth, it is also undergoing structural adjustments.

According to statistics, last year, my country's steel overcapacity reduction target of 50 million tons for the whole year was exceeded, 140 million tons of "strip steel" was fully cleared, and industry mergers and reorganizations were carried out to deal with "zombie companies". Standards have achieved remarkable results in promoting the withdrawal of backward production capacity in accordance with laws and regulations, and excess production capacity in electrolytic aluminum, cement, flat glass and other industries has been further resolved.

“my country’s industrial economy is showing a steady and positive momentum.” Miao Wei said that in 2017, the pace of transformation and upgrading of my country’s traditional industries accelerated, and investment in technological transformation accounted for 44.6% of all industrial investment; new momentum for industrial growth is emerging Accelerating agglomeration, a number of new consumption growth points have been cultivated in the fields of energy conservation and environmental protection, industrial robots, drones, ice and snow equipment, cruise ships and yachts, smart health and elderly care. Throughout the year, more than 700,000 new energy vehicles have been applied and promoted, and the number of new energy vehicles has exceeded 1.7 million. million units, ranking first in the world for three consecutive years.

2. Look at the overall situation: Global competition is becoming increasingly fierce

Trends

Nowadays, the fourth industrial revolution represented by artificial intelligence, Internet of Things and other technologies is in the ascendant , the world's industrial powers are scrambling for new competitive heights. Among them, the United States has introduced a "re-industrialization strategy", Germany has proposed "Industry 4.0", and Japan has implemented a "re-emergence strategy"... China, which missed the first two industrial revolutions and is trying to catch up in the third industrial revolution, has also proposed "Made in China 2025" actively welcomes new opportunities and challenges.

Recently, the revitalization of Northeast China has once again become a hot topic.

Experts say that due to historical reasons and natural endowments, the heavy and chemical industry accounts for a large proportion of the Northeast's economic structure. When China's economy grows rapidly, the prices of energy and raw materials rise, and the demand for equipment is large, which has a negative impact on the heavy and chemical industry. The economic structure of Northeast China, which is dominated by China, is a good thing; but when China's economy enters the new normal, the heavy chemical industry in Northeast China will be affected, and the pressure for industrial transformation and upgrading will also follow.

In fact, the transformation and development of old industrial bases reflects some of the opportunities and challenges faced by our country's industry.

The economy calls for green development. The picture shows the sixth phase unit expansion project of Tongling Wanneng Power Plant. Guangming Pictures

"my country as a whole has entered the middle and late stages of industrialization. The traditional comparative advantages of the manufacturing industry have gradually weakened. It has shifted from a stage of rapid growth to a stage of high-quality development. It is urgent to cross the threshold of changing methods, optimizing structures, and changing driving forces. "Miao Wei pointed out that industrial development still faces many difficulties and challenges. Low-end surplus coexists with high-end insufficient supply. The quality and efficiency of development are still not high. Core technologies are still controlled by others, and difficulties in the development of the manufacturing industry still exist.

From an international perspective, new network forms such as the Industrial Internet and the Internet of Things are constantly emerging, application technologies such as big data, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence are expanding and upgrading. The 5G era is gradually opening, and industry is accelerating towards high-end, intelligent , green, and service-oriented development, competition in the industrial field among countries around the world has become increasingly fierce.

A market survey recently released by the German Quality Association shows that 82% of the respondents believe that "Made in China" is the opponent of "Made in Germany". For example, in the automotive field, competition between Chinese and German car manufacturers has begun. Harald Krüger, CEO of BMW Group, said that the automobile industry is going through a historical turning point, and competition from China has forced BMW to accelerate the research and development of electric vehicles.

The report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China pointed out that after long-term efforts, socialism with Chinese characteristics has entered a new era, which is a new historical direction for my country's development.

In this regard, Miao Wei believes that changes in my country's basic development conditions, the main social contradictions, and the situation it faces mean that the new industrialization path with Chinese characteristics has entered a strategic period, which will gradually develop from quantitative accumulation and breakthroughs. Transformed into a qualitative leap and improvement of system capabilities; it means that Chinese products, Chinese enterprises, and Chinese manufacturing will more deeply participate in international competition and cooperation at the high end of the value chain, from being imitators, followers, and adherents of technology, standards, and rules. Those who gradually transform into catchers, creators, and leaders.

3. Look at development: Innovation improves quality and brings vitality

Case

Old factories carry the memory of industrial development. Recently, the former site of Shanxi Jinhua Textile Factory has been renovated and "butterfly transformed" into an urban industrial and cultural space with cultural temperament, regaining its luster; Shandong Weifang Tobacco Leaf Re-curing Factory "transformed" into Weifang 1532 Cultural Industrial Park, the abandoned The tobacco leaf fermentation warehouse has become a business office, and the warehouse has been transformed into a film and television studio, attracting many tourists to visit.

In the workshop of Dalian Hydrogenation Reactor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. of China First Heavy Industry Group, rows of large reactors stand quietly, and workers are doing welding operations. Along with the rumbling sound, orange-red transportation machinery The arm slowly passed by overhead, and the surrounding walls were covered with slogans such as "Development comes from innovation, innovation creates the future"...

After the reporter looked around, he and a man standing in reaction The old workers in front of the machine started chatting. This old worker in his 50s is called Wang Chuanzhu and has been working here for more than 30 years. "Recently, the factory has undergone technological innovation and great changes have taken place. I am full of confidence in the future," he said.

Technician Yu Lun on the side told reporters, "Being based in China and equipping the world is our goal. We are constantly innovating and working hard to achieve this goal."

Innovation is a key word for this old equipment manufacturing company, and it is also an effective path for the high-quality development of Chinese industry.

A few days ago, the Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that we should solidly advance the supply-side structural reform, promote the sustained and rapid growth of new driving forces, accelerate the optimization and upgrading of the manufacturing industry, continue to do a good job in "three depletions, one reduction and one supplement", and deepen simplification. Decentralize government power, combine decentralization with regulation, and optimize service reforms.

Experts believe that in the long run, my country’s industrial advantages should not be based on low labor costs, but should give full play to comprehensive advantages, achieve multiple improvements in innovation capabilities, quality levels and human resources advantages, and enrich and enhance industrial The connotation and quality of civilization are constantly moving towards the world's leading level.

2018 is the first year to implement the spirit of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. It is the 40th anniversary of reform and opening up. It is a critical year for the decisive victory in building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way and the implementation of the "13th Five-Year Plan". Miao Wei said that this year we must adhere to innovation-driven development, accelerate the development of advanced manufacturing, concentrate on solving about 50 key bottlenecks such as power battery systems, and support the cultivation of a group of specialized and new "little giants." At the same time, we will accelerate the development of major equipment, promote the deep integration of information network technologies such as the Internet, big data, and artificial intelligence with the manufacturing industry, proactively deploy the industrial Internet, and vigorously develop intelligent integrated industries.

Miao Wei pointed out that traditional industries are the focus of structural adjustment. It is necessary to improve quality and efficiency, and make them full of vitality and vitality through the introduction of new technologies, new management, and new models; it is necessary to eliminate low-end ineffective production capacity. , decompose and implement the annual steel overcapacity reduction tasks, establish a long-term mechanism to combat "strip steel"; further promote the strategy of "increasing varieties, improving quality, and creating brands" to promote the revitalization of national brands and promote the steady growth of the industrial economy.

It will get better and better.