Causes of Cotton in Xinjiang (Why Xinjiang Cotton)

Recently, the cotton incident in Xinjiang continued to ferment, and CCTV news also commented on it. We cannot help asking, why Xinjiang cotton?

Let's start with the whole cotton market. According to online data, the global cotton output reached 65.438+0.22 billion bales in 2065.438+09, and the top countries in terms of output were India (24.3%), China (22.4%), the United States (654.38+06.3%) and Brazil (654.38+00.7). In the same year, the global cotton consumption reached1.1.800 million bales, and the top countries were China (30.9%), India (20.7%), Pakistan (9. 1%), Brazil (2.9%) and the United States (2.5%).

According to the above data, in 20 19, China produced more than 27 million bales of cotton and consumed more than 36 million bales. Regardless of the inventory, from the production and consumption of that year, at least 9 million packages need to be imported. The situation in the United States is that190,000 bales of cotton are produced, less than 3 million bales are consumed, and at least160,000 bales need to be exported. In other words, China's cotton gap is imported from the United States, which cannot cover the export volume of the United States.

Let's talk about the cotton market in China. In 20 19, the total output of cotton in China was 27.25 million bales, and the provinces with large output were Xinjiang, Hebei, Shandong and Hubei, accounting for 82.6%, 3.9%, 3.5% and 2.4% respectively. Xinjiang is the most important cotton producing area in China. According to the forecast of the National Bureau of Statistics, the total cotton output in Xinjiang will account for 87.3% of the total cotton output in China in 2020!

In 20 19, China's textile exports 120 billion US dollars, accounting for 39.2% of the world total; Clothing exports reached $654.38+05.2 billion, accounting for 30.8% of the total global clothing exports. These two items add up to $272 billion. At the same time, since May last year, orders for fabrics and textile raw materials in China have increased by more than 65,438+000%; Orders in the clothing industry increased by more than 200% year-on-year.

If there is no continuous supply of cotton raw materials in Xinjiang, these orders in the domestic textile and garment industry will inevitably not be reached, or imported raw materials.

Having said that, the economic factors are clear. Cracking down on Xinjiang cotton-smearing it at will and doing whatever it takes-is to crack down on China's textile and garment industry, while domestic enterprises have to import cotton if they want to keep orders, with the focus on the most abundant American cotton.

Let me talk about other factors. According to the data of 20 19, more than half of the farmers in Xinjiang, that is, 7 million people, are engaged in cotton production, of which ethnic minorities account for 70%. Once the suppression of cotton in Xinjiang is finally successful, it means that the work and life of millions of people attached to cotton in Xinjiang will be unstable, thus causing huge unstable factors. In recent years, the state has invested a lot of money and energy in building Xinjiang, so that the people of Xinjiang can live and work in peace and contentment, the economy is developed, everyone has a job and money to spend, and the society will naturally be stable and United. Once this stable situation is destroyed, there will be chaos in Xinjiang, and if Xinjiang is unstable, the state will have to make free efforts to control the chaos, and the whole development process will be planned-this is the sinister intention of some countries.