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Why are vegetables so expensive? Will it always be expensive?

Green vegetables go up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up, up!

"I used to have no money to eat meat, but now I have no money to eat meat." This joke has now come true.

Qian Dama in Dongxing South, Yuexiu District, Guangzhou, the tender spinach soared to 25.3 yuan/kg, the mustard seedlings also exceeded 10 yuan/kg, and the cowpea marked with the yellow card special price also got 9.45 yuan/kg. In sharp contrast to these expensive vegetables, pork belly is 9.99 yuan/kg, and lean meat 15.8 yuan/kg. ...

Recently, # Vegetable prices have skyrocketed #, # Vegetables in many places in China are more expensive than meat #, # Some leafy vegetables are more expensive than pork # and so on have been frequently searched in Weibo, and netizens have relayed the local vegetable prices-from the first-tier cities in the north, Guangzhou and Shenzhen to the small cities in the 18th line, and from the northeast to Hainan, there are rising voices everywhere. Spinach, cucumber, radish, etc. have become the main force leading the rising army, and the price can be used to "soar".

Why are vegetables so expensive? Will it always be expensive? Can you still buy cheap vegetables? Almost the whole country is waiting for the answers to these questions.

Is it because of the weather?

The price of vegetables is really rising.

The price of peas, okra and other vegetables in Yueqing, Zhejiang Province is more than RMB 10 per catty, which is at least half as expensive as usual. In Wuhan, Hubei, 1 yuan a catty of cucumbers usually rises to 5 pieces; The vegetable market in Beijing, the capital, has a kilo of small spinach 15 yuan, a kilo of fast-food seedlings 13 yuan and a kilo of broccoli 10 yuan. What about the Chinese cabbage that used to cost a few cents? That doesn't exist. Basically, a few cents a catty of grain has disappeared from the market.

According to the statistics of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the national average wholesale price of 28 kinds of vegetables under key monitoring was 4.87 yuan per kilogram in June of 5438+08 (to June of 5438+08), up 8.7% from the end of September, and the average price in the same period in the past three years increased by 16.8%. Among them, the average price of cucumber, zucchini, white radish and spinach increased by 65.5%, 36.3%, 30.7% and 26.5% respectively. Relatively speaking, the price of vegetables resistant to storage and transportation remained stable.

According to Zhang Jing, chief analyst of the vegetable market analysis and early warning group of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the recent abnormal increase in vegetable prices is mainly affected by rainfall and low temperature.

The rainfall in autumn this year is obviously more than normal, especially after the end of September, it continued to rain in the north and the temperature dropped rapidly. Many vegetable fields in northern vegetable producing areas, such as Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, Shandong, Hebei, Shanxi and Shaanxi, were flooded due to long-term continuous rainfall. , which makes it difficult to harvest vegetables and greatly increases the acquisition cost. It also led to a significant decline in the market volume of fresh and tender vegetables since June 5438+ 10. In June 5438+ 10, the average price of some varieties rose sharply, and the overall vegetable price jumped.

According to Nanfang Daily, Huang Hanquan, director of the price cost survey center of the National Development and Reform Commission, believes that the recent rapid increase in vegetable prices in some areas is caused by several short-term factors: First, vegetables are currently in autumn and winter, the market supply is decreasing, and prices are rising seasonally. Second, since the summer of this year, there has been more rainfall and frequent extreme weather in some areas of China, and vegetables in some areas have been affected and reduced. Third, the domestic prices of chemical fertilizers and pesticide seeds have risen this year, the cost of vegetable planting has increased, and the transportation costs such as superimposed gasoline and diesel have increased, pushing up the price of vegetables.

Vegetables go up and meat goes down.

The price difference is more obvious.

Adu, who works as a grocery store in Baiyun, Guangzhou, has obvious feelings about the price increase of vegetables: "In the past, the radish was 89 cents, but now it is 4.5 yuan; Spinach has long been 15 a catty, and so is coriander 18. If everything goes up, the pork you eat will not go up! "

However, after reading the reports of the major media on the skyrocketing vegetable prices, Xiaoye's feelings about the rising vegetable prices are not so exaggerated.

"Cabbage hearts sold for five dollars and six dollars last month, and now they are six dollars and six dollars and five dollars. Exaggerated, it may be radish. Last week, I played hot pot, 4 yuan a catty. It used to be 1 yuan 5 yuan. Other daily foods, such as lettuce, are now about 4 yuan, which is more expensive than before, but not more expensive than pork. "

In the vegetable market of Haoxian Road in the old town of Guangzhou, the price of vegetables is basically within 10 yuan, mostly in 4-6 yuan. Sister Fang, who runs a vegetable stall here, said that they generally wholesale ordinary vegetables in the Jiangnan market and will buy less or less expensive vegetables. "There are many old houses in the old city, which are too expensive to sell. The price of local cabbage and lotus root has also increased, but it will not increase much. Maybe the price of vegetables in the north will go up a little. For example, Ningxia Caixin can't get out if it snows there. Wholesale 6 yuan a catty. We usually sell it cheaper, 5 yuan, 6 yuan. It is ok to sell out, and you can't earn much. "

In contrast to the increase in vegetable prices, pork prices have continued to fall.

"I haven't bought such cheap pork for many years! This year, I can finally wax more sausages and bacon! " Lin Yi, who bought meat at Dongchuan Fresh Market in Yuexiu District, Guangzhou, picked a few beautiful pieces of pork belly and prepared to go back to make bacon. "Last year, pork belly sold for thirty or forty yuan a catty, and I was reluctant to make bacon. I will come back this year. "

The price monitoring of Guangdong Development and Reform Commission shows that pork prices have been falling for 35 consecutive weeks. The average retail price of the four kinds of pork monitored this week is 500g 19.59 yuan, which is 1.3 1% lower than last week. Since the Spring Festival, the price has been falling for 35 weeks, with a cumulative decline of 4 1.94%.

As far as the whole country is concerned, pork prices have been falling continuously since June 5438+ 10 this year. In the second week of June 5438+ 10, the average price of pork in bazaars was per catty 10.5 yuan, which was 60.8% lower than that in June 5438+ 10, and even lower than that in 8 yuan in many places. Pig Wang Wen shares lost 7 billion yuan in pork business in a quarter, which can also reflect the cliff-like decline in pork prices.

When you compare the two, the feeling of the price difference will naturally become more obvious.

"In addition to pork last year, it didn't go up. This year, except for pork, it did not rise. "

When will the price of vegetables drop?

Will the price of vegetables go up? Many experts and relevant departments have given negative answers and given the deadline:165438+1early October.

According to the experts of Guangdong Agricultural Information Monitoring System, the vegetable production in Guangdong Province is at the end of summer when melons, fruits and beans are listed. It is estimated that the vegetable output in Guangdong Province will drop by more than 8% in June, and a large number of vegetables will be listed in winter in June.

According to past experience, Shandong and Henan, the main vegetable producing areas in the north outside Guangdong Province, were in the replacement space of vegetable stubble in open air and greenhouse in June 5438+ 10, but Yunnan, Hainan and other producing areas will quickly fill the market vacancy. As long as the output of these places comes up, the decline in vegetable prices is just around the corner.

As far as the country is concerned, Keke, director of the Department of Market and Information Technology of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, also gave a signal to stabilize vegetable prices-the next step will be to implement the "green channel" policy for the transportation of fresh agricultural products with relevant departments, and smooth the passage of materials into the village and agricultural products out of the village into the city; Strengthen market information monitoring and early warning, and timely release price and supply and demand information; Implement the "vegetable basket" mayor responsibility system, do a good job in autumn vegetable production, and effectively guarantee the production and supply of "vegetable basket" products!