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On the Great Change in a Hundred Years from Two Events
Russia-Ukraine war, three-year epidemic, inflation, the collapse of the Sri Lankan government ... where will the world go? What exactly is a big change?
Let me say two things first.
The first one happened on August 24th, 199 1. The prestigious Soviet marshal Agro Mayev hanged himself in his office. The suicide note reads: "I can't live until my motherland dies and the whole meaning of my life is destroyed." Four months later, the Soviet Union collapsed.
The second thing happened on July 4, 2022, the 246th Independence Day of the United States. US President Biden wrote on Twitter early in the morning: "(The United States) is the only country on earth that is based on the idea that all people are created equal ... There is no doubt that our best days are yet to come."
The voice did not fall, and a large-scale shooting incident occurred in the Independence Day celebration parade in Highland Park, Illinois, USA, killing 6 people and injuring 36 others. Biden heard that the wind has changed greatly and sighed: "We have reason to think that the United States is going backwards."
A few days before July 4th, Spring Dacker, an American World War II veteran, burst into tears on his centenary birthday: "Our country is rapidly going to ruin, and we can't have that America any more." "What we did, what the children fought for, all went up in smoke, and our country was terrible."
These two things seem unrelated, but if we look at the changes in the past 100 years, we will see the internal logic. The word "great change" seems to haunt China people all the time. 1872, Li Hongzhang sighed "Three Thousand Years of Great Changes", which coincided with the prosperity and expansion of capitalism. At that time, China had no way out, and some people thought that the West might follow suit.
However, the World War I of 19 14 made a large number of China intellectuals disillusioned. Why do big countries that keep saying "freedom, equality and fraternity" fight so bitterly? Liang Qichao has incisive comments in his works, such as A Record of the European Mind. At the post-war Paris Peace Conference, I saw that the powers divided up the fat. How can the weak be equal?
The first world war made the situation in Europe extremely bad. Lenin wrote "Imperialism is the Highest Stage of Capitalism" at 19 15 and "State and Revolution" at 19 17. Before it was published, the October Revolution broke out, the first capitalist country in the world was born, and the proletariat tried to take power for the first time.
This is a great change in human history, which has influenced the process for more than 70 years. At one time, there was a tendency that the east wind overwhelmed the west wind. Its landmark event was that the Soviet Union successfully launched the first artificial satellite before the United States in 1957. Unfortunately, 34 years later, the Soviet Union collapsed.
The external cause of the disintegration of the Soviet Union is the hostility of the Cold War and the power of "radio bombing", but the internal cause is the main one. A group of "Democrats" thought that the economy might be all due to problems in their own systems and ideologies, and they embarked on the road of suicide under the deception of western public opinion wars. This is also the source of today's Russian-Ukrainian war.
With the disintegration of the Soviet Union and the carnival in the West, Fukuyama's "conclusion of the end of history" caused a sensation. However, there are also some clear-headed scholars in the west. For example, in the book Clash of Civilizations and Reconstruction of World Order published by samuel huntington, a late professor at Harvard University in 1996, he wrote: "The collapse of Soviet capitalism means the end of history and the universal victory of freedom and democracy in the world. The fallacy of this argument is that there is only one choice. "
In the 1990s, a group of American neoconservatives were extremely arrogant. Several senior officials said: "We have such a good army, why not use it?" "9. 1 1" gave them an excuse to send troops. The wars in Afghanistan and Iraq started, and the subsequent development was clear to everyone. In August, 2002116, the US troops hastily withdrew from Kabul Airport in Afghanistan, which was a sign of the failure of "universalism".
The ethical basis of American values is individualism. In the 1970s, individualism developed to extreme individualism, and its theoretical embodiment was neo-liberalism that only cared about getting rich. Its policy embodies financial capitalism, indulging in the dream of "Qian Shengqian", and industry is replaced by financial speculation.
As zbigniew brzezinski wrote in 1992, "greed is good"-the slogan of American yuppies in the late 1980s-is an appropriate motto to indulge abundance. "The interior of the United States has rotted. It seems that the outside is the Soviet Union and the inside is the late Qing Dynasty.
For more than 100 years, China profoundly realized from the bloody and glorious struggle that "there would be no new China without the * * * production party" and that "only socialism can save China". The essence of the current great changes is the rise and fall of socialism and capitalism. China's growing strength has become a thorn in the side of the United States.
On July 2, 20221,China's ambassador to the United States told Americans that China was not the Soviet Union. He said: "The biggest difference between China and the Soviet Union is that China has never forgotten its pioneering spirit of serving the people." I wonder if Americans can understand it? Faced with great changes, we are calm and confident. No matter how big the storm is, do your own thing well first, set a good example to the world and see what socialism should look like.
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