Three oversold rebound profit strategies

If you want to do well in stocks, some related skills are essential. Let me talk to you about three oversold rebound profit strategies.

One year is about to pass, and it is necessary for us to summarize our past operations in preparation for fighting again in the coming year. Since the market reached a new high for the year in early April this year, the stock index has been in a downward trend; in September, after the stock index fell below the policy bottom of 1,300 points, it fell to 1,259 points and triggered a rebound. After the stock index shot up to 1,500 points , and returned to the descending channel. Most market operations are based on oversold rebounds, and they are very profitable. This is due to adapting to the market and adjusting operating strategies at any time.

What is oversold? Obviously, the decline exceeds the decline group to which it belongs; rebounders temporarily change their original downward trend; if their rebound can continue, it may turn into a reversal!

Funding and position strategy

For the safety of capital operations, in order to rebound from an oversold situation, you must first determine the amount of funds and positions involved.

Generally speaking, there are very few rebound opportunities suitable for a slightly larger amount of funds (more than 5 million yuan); however, there are relatively few opportunities for a small amount of funds (within 1 million yuan) to participate in a rebound. a lot of.

Secondly, select oversold stocks for follow-up analysis. The author believes that according to the nature of oversold, it can be divided into intrinsic value oversold and external stock price oversold; different types of oversold rebounds can be appropriately participated in according to the amount of funds: Investors with slightly larger funds are recommended for safety reasons. It is more appropriate to participate in oversold intrinsic value, while investors with small capital can participate in oversold external stock prices. At the same time, due to the different nature of the two oversolds, their analysis methods are also different. The following will give examples of the two analysis methods.

Intrinsic value oversold

Intrinsic value oversold means that the value of the stock deviates seriously from the core value of listed companies in the same industry; this type of analysis is a type of fundamental analysis .

For example: Kingfa Technology closed at 10.55 yuan on October 15, down 34% from the closing price when it was listed; the Shanghai Stock Index fell less than 8% during the same period; now for the Shanghai Stock Index, the stock has exceeded fell; in terms of its intrinsic value, we obtained the prices of Fafa Technology (600143) through the relative valuation method as 10.90 and 12.2 respectively. The current price is around 10.72, and the price is relatively undervalued.

From the perspective of the company's main business, the modified plastics sub-industry is expected to maintain an annual growth rate of about 10% in total market demand in the next 5-10 years. Judging from its downstream development, the company's development prospects are very promising.

In addition, modified plastics investment projects yield quick results, and production capacity can be gradually or rapidly increased according to market demand. This is an industry characteristic, so the funds raised have also produced benefits.

Through the above analysis, we basically confirm that the company is in a period of steady expansion and its future development potential is very gratifying.

The entry point for indicator selection

For small and medium-sized investors, using the above analysis method is obviously not worth the gain; due to the small amount of funds, it is necessary to pursue the maximum profit on the basis of safety. ization, so the choice of entry point for oversold rebound stocks becomes particularly important!

When a stock is falling, there will be many rebounds, but there are not many opportunities for real maneuverability; once the stock becomes oversold relative to the stock index or the industry, its rebound will continue. After a period of time, and there will be a certain rebound height, the stock will become operable.

After determining the operation idea, the choice of indicators is easy. Stock index, volume energy, turning indicator (EXPMA is selected here) and trend indicator (KD); we set the EXPMA and KD parameters to (5, 21) and (55, 5) respectively. This setting is to filter out falling resistance or Small fluctuations and other uncertain trends increase the security after intervention.

The specific combination is when the KD parameter (55, 5) is within 15 trading days after the low golden cross, a large-volume positive line with an increase of 3% or more (twice the volume of the previous day) appears, and at the same time, slow EXPMA5 and fast EXPMA21 or The large-volume positive line that day appeared as a slow EXPMA5 golden cross and a fast EXPMA21. You can catch up at that time; you can also intervene in the adjustment the next day.

For example, the market is adjusting for the decline on 9.14. 600645 Wangchunhua, which suffered the most decline, fell from 20.68 on May 30, 2003 to 3.73 on August 30, 2004, a drop of 70%. During the same period, the Shanghai Stock Index fell only 20%. On August 31, KD had a low golden cross, and EXPMA had a golden cross at 10:30 in the morning on September 13, indicating that conditions were formed.

Since it is a rebound, the expectations should not be too high. The selling point only needs to refer to the 60-minute EXPMA5. As long as there is a big negative line that crosses the 60-minute EXPMA5, you will take profits without hesitation.

Through operations, we found that if EXPMA also has a golden cross within 15 trading days after KD occurs a golden cross, and the volume on that day does not match the amount, it is absolutely impossible to replenish the volume on the second day (more than double that of the first day). Great buy! For example, 600739 Liaoning Chengda: KD low golden cross on August 23, EXPMA golden cross on September 2. If there is no intervention, the conditions will still hold the next day, which is also an excellent buying point!

What I want to remind everyone here is: the above operation ideas for oversold rebound are highly operable and have a high success rate when the market is currently in a balanced market or a wide oscillation market; once the market occurs Changes, operating ideas will also change, it is necessary to appropriately adjust technical indicators and parameters.