The price of live pigs across the country has fallen across the board. Will it rebound in the second half of the year?

Pork is the most consumed meat in our daily lives, and the price of pork has the most direct impact on expenditures. Due to the raging swine fever, the price of pork has also reached a record high. Starting from April, the price of pigs The price began to decline continuously. After entering May, the price of live pigs declined significantly. It has dropped ten consecutive times. The price of live pigs has recently been sluggish and continued to fall. What will be the trend of live pig prices in the second half of the year? Will there be a strong rebound and a sharp rise?

The chance of a sharp rise in pig prices and a rebound in the second half of the year is very small. Why do you say this? Based on the following aspects, we can speculate on the general trend of pig prices:

Pig production capacity gradually recovers: Affected by swine fever, the pig population is severely scarce, which is also one of the main reasons for the rise in pig prices. , especially due to the large lack of sows capable of breeding, which is undoubtedly the biggest obstacle to the recovery of pig production capacity. Therefore, the key to maintaining high pig prices since the rise in pig prices last year. The high price of piglets has directly resulted in high breeding costs, which has also led to the difficulty in improving the price of live pigs. With the gradual recovery of pig production capacity, the scale of breeding has been increased, and the number of livestock has been significantly improved. The favorable market will inevitably allow the tight market to gradually return to normal, and pig prices will surely benefit as production capacity recovers. fall back.

A large amount of imported pork docked: According to reports, domestic buyers imported 40,020 tons of pork from the United States, setting a record for the largest purchase of imported pork this year. As international trade gradually recovers, there will be more Imported pork is pouring into our country, and the entry of a large amount of imported pork is bound to have an impact on the domestic pork market. The price of domestic pigs cannot be compared with imported pork in terms of price. According to market rules and response to the market, domestic pig prices are still not optimistic in the second half of the year, and are likely to continue to fall. This has something to do with the arrival of imported pork.

Consumption continues to decline: Affected by the epidemic, all walks of life have been greatly affected, and the same is true for the pork market. Forced by the situation, purchases obviously experienced a sharp decline during the same period, especially the catering industry and schools that did not recover normally. Coupled with the sharp drop in income, there is an obvious lack of consumption motivation. The pork market is full of pork, but there are few consumers. The supply and marketing are not smooth, which will naturally have a great impact on prices. The price of pork has lasted for so long. After a while, it was finally time to cool off.

With the arrival of summer, the off-season for pork sales is also coming. Due to many factors, it is difficult for the price of live pigs to rise significantly again. Generally speaking, the market situation of live pigs in the second half of the year It is difficult to see an improvement in prices, and the possibility of an increase is very small.