With the slowdown of population growth and the change of population structure, will China's demographic dividend disappear in the future?

Yes, from 20 12, with the slowdown of population growth and the change of population structure, the number and proportion of working-age population in China continued to "double decline" and the demographic dividend factor gradually weakened.

According to the report issued by China Development Research Foundation, from 20 10 to 2020, the working-age population will decrease by more than 29 million. At the same time, the population dependency ratio has also increased accordingly. If fewer people are born and more people eat, China's demographic dividend will tend to disappear.

Adverse effects of demographic dividend

It should be pointed out that "dividend" corresponds to "debt" in many cases. The "demographic dividend" is no exception. Specifically, the "population debt" corresponding to the "demographic dividend" is the impact of the accelerated population aging. The aging population will affect the sustainable growth ability of China's economy in many ways.

First of all, aging will bring about a continuous increase in social dependency ratio, and the burden and cost of labor will increase; Secondly, aging will increase the proportion of consumption population and decrease the proportion of production population. Third, the "aging" of the age structure of the labor force will seriously affect labor productivity. The above three aspects will weaken the competitiveness of the economy to a certain extent and further affect the vitality of sustainable economic growth.