The relationship between the Taliban and Russia, Russia and the Taliban fell out

According to the Russian Satellite News Agency, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov stated that Russia will not participate in any way in the inauguration ceremony of the new Afghan Taliban government. Previously, the Taliban had repeatedly stated that it would invite Russia and six other countries to participate in the inauguration ceremony of the new government. On the one hand, it was for cooperation, and on the other hand, it was also to allow many countries to come and watch the United States’ jokes. Russia has never refused before and has shown a certain degree of resistance. Interest, everyone thought it was a sure thing, but unexpectedly, another change occurred.

When the Taliban entered Kabul, the relationship between the Taliban and Russia was very good. This can be seen from some details. For example, the Russian Embassy in Afghanistan has been operating as usual, and the Taliban has specially Send personnel to maintain the security of the Russian Embassy.

In addition, after the Taliban entered Kabul, the Russian ambassador to Afghanistan frequently spoke out for the Taliban. After the situation stabilized slightly, senior Taliban personnel met with the Russian ambassador. The two sides even walked together on the streets of Kabul. It can be seen from these signs that the relationship between Russia and the Taliban at that time could no longer be described as "good". It could be said to be a very close relationship.

However, Russia suddenly released a series of unexpected signals. First of all, Russia has made it clear that it does not recognize the legitimacy of the Taliban government in Afghanistan and emphasizes that the Taliban is a terrorist organization recognized by Russia. Secondly, it has been very strict about participating in the inauguration ceremony, leaving no room for maneuver and resolutely not participating.

Judging from the changes in the relationship between the two parties, it is obvious that they had a falling out. The specific reason is generally believed to be related to the Chechnya issue. After the Taliban took control of Kabul last time, they cooperated closely with Chechnya. They even declared war on Russia and sent troops to help the Chechens fight. Before the United States invaded Afghanistan, the Taliban almost suffered a beating from Russia. Later, the relationship between the Taliban and Russia eased due to the common enemy-the United States.

Especially in recent years, Russia has been mediating and helping the Taliban a lot. Russia has played a significant role in the Taliban's current situation. However, after the Taliban gained a foothold, what they did failed to satisfy Russia. The two parties had frequent contacts at the beginning, and everything that needed to be said must have been said. To put it bluntly, it was negotiation. They stated their respective demands and saw whether the other party could satisfy them. If they could, they would continue to cooperate. If they could not, they would break up.

Judging from the determination shown by Russia, it is very dissatisfied with the performance of the Taliban. Peskov made it clear that he would never attend the ceremony. This means that even if the Taliban makes concessions to Russia, Russia will not be able to participate. This is obviously done to give the Taliban a beating. Even if the Taliban compromises, beatings are indispensable, so that the Taliban can see the situation clearly and understand the priorities.

Each country’s interests are different. Afghanistan does not directly border Russia. It is not as close to Russia as Ukraine is. Therefore, Russia’s dealings with the Taliban will not be the same as dealing with Ukraine. Russia will not completely break up with Ukraine, because Ukraine will completely turn to the West. Afghanistan is different. Russia will do whatever it takes, and it is impossible for the Taliban to mix with the West. Therefore, now that he has taken action, he must be awakened immediately.