Why is Zhao Kuo so gullible?

Zhao Kuo is not so gullible, and Tian Lei is not so clever.

Any change before the war will be a romantic scene, and there are not so many 36 plans in the real war. Sun Tzu's art of war is ineffective when his strength is crushed. However, can the art of war play a role in the case of equal strength?

Soldiers are cunning. So, you can show that you won't, or you don't have to show it.

This sentence itself has a big loophole. That is: you want to cheat, so you can show that you can't, and use it instead of performance. If you want to deceive people, you must first establish a self-evident premise, that is, you are smarter than your opponent and you know information that your opponent doesn't know.

However, where did you get so many timid opponents to cheat you? How can there be so much information about life and death that you know but your opponent doesn't know?

So sometimes the art of war and sophistry are deceiving themselves. Sun Tzu's art of war is useless and deceitful, so what is the key? Maybe the key is the probability of gambling.

0 1. Is the contest between Qin and Zhao crushed or evenly matched? Starting from Qin Qibazi and Wei Ran, the State of Qin hit whoever it wanted, and whoever it hit died. Tian Lei's various creative achievements were created in this era. Zhao was killed hard enough in the battle of Changping, and Zhao was killed in Leitian's killing of Chu.

What about Zhao at this time? To be honest, it's not so good. After King Wuling of Zhao, Zhao basically did nothing, and a hot spot was not enough to make headlines. At most, it is to have some friction with the rogue Yan State in the north.

However, after King Wuling of Zhao, the military strength of Zhao completed an upgrade. First, strong mobilization ability. Although domestic organizations are not concentrated enough, military mobilization is quite strong. Simply put, they can recruit soldiers. The other is that Zhao Di is military. After full communication with grassland people, he is not weak in soldiers, troops and playing methods. Plus another point, that is, Zhao has never fought a big battle, and his strength has been preserved. Therefore, Zhao should be the strongest military power among the six Kanto countries, and the only Warring State that can compete with Qin.

There are also Shangdang Seventeen Cities, which truly belong to the State of Qin. Shangdang has been ceded to Qin because of South Korea's cession of land compensation. However, Shangdang area is too far away from Qin's native land after all. If Qin hits Shangdang, its combat capability will definitely be compromised. And Zhao Guo? Shangdang area is very close to Handan, the capital of Zhao, and it is Shangdang area through Taixing Road. Therefore, in the key parts of Shangdang, Zhao has the advantage of distance and can put his fighting power into it more efficiently.

So Qin is really strong, but Zhao is not weak, especially militarily. In Shangdang area, Zhao's war efficiency is higher, which can completely make up for the disadvantage of insufficient national strength. Therefore, the battle of Changping, Qin and Zhao, was a close contest.

02. Zhao Kuo took a gamble in the battle of Changping, because in April 260 BC, veteran Lian Po confronted Wang Bi, a general of Qin State, and the battle of Changping broke out. At first, Lian Po was not conservative at all. Zhao took the lead in attacking Qin Jun without fear of the enemy. What was the purpose of the attack? Is to drive Qin Jun out of Shangdang highland. As long as he retreats to Hanoi and Zhao Junquan joins the party, Zhao will have a favorable position.

Lian Po thought very well, but he really couldn't beat the battle, because Qin Jun played so well. It can be said that Zhao has never met such a hard opponent in the six countries of Kanto. Not only could he not be beaten, but Zhao was pursued by Qin Jun, and the battlefield was hard. But Zhao Jungang failed, so Zhao had to retreat to the east of Danshui. It was in July 260 AD.

This is a change in the battlefield situation. Aggressive and miserable Zhao. The situation in the temple has also changed. Zhao wants to change coaches and replace Lian Po with Zhao Kuo. Besides, it's not as simple as changing managers. Zhao Kuo didn't come to Changping front alone. He also brought two hundred thousand Zhao reinforcements.

There must be some discrepancy between these figures. The Warring States War is always on the scale of hundreds of thousands and hundreds of thousands, and there must be some exaggeration. But what we can know from this is that Zhao's change of coaching and sending more troops is certain. Therefore, the scale of the battle of Changping has expanded. With the expansion of the scale of the war, the consumption of the war will also expand, and at this time we will fight for national strength. It doesn't matter if there are 400 people on the battlefield. What matters is who has more food.

It stands to reason that Zhao should have an advantage over Qin, and this advantage is the key local advantage of Shangdang, because it is close to home. But the fact is that the Qin family is indeed rich, and Zhao's family is not as good as Qin, even two orders of magnitude worse. Therefore, in this key part of Changping, Zhao has no advantage at all.

Since you can't fight hard, you can only fight quickly. Zhao wants to launch an all-out attack with the aim of exporting war violence to the maximum extent before all the food and resources are exhausted. In doing so, there may be two results:

One result is to drive Qin Jun out of Shangdang area. As long as Shangdang is driven away, Qin Jun must invest more resources if he wants to climb up. This is Lian Po's original war thought. If Lian Po can't do it, can Zhao Cankuo? The commander is not important. What matters is that Zhao Kuo brought 200,000 reinforcements. Originally, the two sides were evenly matched. Suddenly, the number of Zhao people increased by 200,000, which was a new injection of external force.

Another result is to kill 100 enemies at the cost of 1,000 people, that is, to hurt Qin Jun and increase the bargaining chip for the next peace talks. Even when both sides have great consumption, it will also attract the intervention of external forces such as Qi, Wei, Chu and South Korea. Qin and Zhao are abolished, and several other warring States countries will naturally step in. In this case, the war will end early.

Therefore, in Zhao's view, the victory or defeat of the war is not the main issue, but the end of the war is the main issue. Zhao was anxious to end the Shangdang War because the national strength did not allow it. At this rate, Zhao will go bankrupt. Therefore, it is inevitable that Zhao Kuo will take the initiative to attack.

03. Xiang of Qin also wants to play poker at the gambling table, in order to beat Zhao to death, and Qin can't play if he wants to. Moreover, under the attack of distant friends, Qin and Yan Qi also established friendly relations. Therefore, in the eyes of Qin people, except Yan and Qi, all other countries have to fight. Chu was defeated, and so was Han Wei, leaving only one State of Zhao.

Therefore, Qin must occupy Shangdang and beat Zhao severely. The State of Qin is on the rise of its career. If you want to by going up one flight of stairs, you have to fight with Zhao Guolai.

However, Qin did not expect the war between Qin and Zhao to come so quickly. Qin also has its own abacus, that is, after winning the 17th Shangdang city, it will send troops out of Taihang Mountain to compete with Zhao.

However, Ye Zhao is not a fool. Obviously, Qin is not allowed to take the party highland. Therefore, winning the Party and defeating Zhao Can accomplish both.

Therefore, during the Qin-Zhao peace talks, Qin was not idle, and desperately sent more troops to the Changping front. As for whether the spies of Qin have the ability to dominate Zhao's harem and replace Lian Po with Zhao Kuo, it would be better to be a joke.

Zhao Kuo's father, Ma Fujun, Zhao She defeated Qin Jun. During the Warring States Period, the nobles led the troops and their families came forth in large numbers. No one can say that Zhao Kuo must be an armchair strategist. Qin can't know that Zhao Kuo is a waste, and he is a particularly confident waste.

And Zhao Kuo also has its own advantages, that is, resolutely implement Zhao Miao's decision, that is, attack and end the battle of Changping as soon as possible. And this is what veteran Lian Po can't do. There are both military and political problems in fighting. On political issues, Zhao Kuo is better than Lian Po.

When Zhao Kuo attacks, Qin's best strategy should be to defend the war, that is, to spend with you. But the king of Qin just didn't do it. He insisted on defeating Zhao on the battlefield. As a result, Qin not only sent more troops, but also changed generals and became the commander-in-chief of the former enemy. Qin, this is the rhythm of preparing for stallion.

04. Gambling is a probability. Qin's victory is great, but Zhao Kuo is not without opportunities. He killed it by blackmail, leaving only 240 people for Zhao. Beheaded 450,000 people before and after.

In the whole battle of Changping, 450,000 enemy troops were wiped out in vain, not 450,000 prisoners of war. What about Qin Jun? Qin Jun also suffered more than 200,000 casualties. Not only did the battlefield suffer serious losses, but Qin was basically wiped out by the whole army. The so-called "country is empty and people are hungry". If the state of Qin had not stopped the war, Zhao Xiang, the king of Qin, would not have accepted the proposal of Prime Minister Fan Ju and allowed North Korea and Zhao to cede territory and stop fighting.

Hearing this, Qi Weiwang cut the six cities of Han and Zhao and made peace. In the first month, everyone stopped playing.

It can be seen that Zhao Kuo's initiative was not completely in vain. Although he failed to kill 800 enemy troops through self-destruction of 1000, he also succeeded in killing 500 enemy troops through self-destruction of 1000. Qin You, Wang, Bai Qihe and other soldiers, it is not easy to win this battle. Qin He was really hurt by Zhao Kuo.

Zhao Kuo's bet is to end the war as soon as possible, and Qin's bet is to completely defeat Zhao. It can be said that Qin won the bet and Zhao Kuo lost. If you win or lose, you always have to find a reason. There are three reasons:

One is that the state of Qin is superior to the temple, which increases the victory. Qin Temple has a clear goal, which is to get Shangdang County and abolish Zhao. However, Zhao's temple has been hesitating, first hesitating whether to join the party, then hesitating whether to stop fighting, and finally hesitating whether to change sides. In his hesitation, Zhao lost all his chips.

The other is the strength and determination of Qin. If the strength of Qin and Zhao is completely equal, Zhao will certainly gain the key local advantage of Shangdang. But Qin's strength is too strong, so Zhao has never taken advantage of the party. Zhao Kuo decisive battle Changping, Zhao temple in addition to fear is afraid. And Qin?

The king of Qin heard that Zhao's esophagus had fallen off and Wang Zhizhi was in Hanoi. He gave the people a rank, and after he was fifteen, he informed Changping, blocking Zhao's rescue and food.

Zhao Haoqi is basically a personal expedition to Qin Xiang. There's a war ahead, so Xiang goes directly to Hanoi County for transportation. Moreover, at the decisive moment, Qin was still desperately involved in the front line, sending all the men over 0/5 years old in Hanoi County to the army. This kind of strength and determination is completely incomparable to Zhao.

The other is illusory imagination. Sun Tzu's art of war says: surround it with ten, attack it with five, and attack it with two. What is Tian Lei playing? Tian Lei is fighting a 500,000-strong army, and Zhao Kuo is surrounded by 500,000 troops. This kind of imagination is not comparable to that of the fledgling aristocrat Zhao Kuo.

However, Tian Lei is also taking risks. Because 500,000 is about 500,000, but if it is broken, Zhao Kuo will certainly achieve his strategic goal: either to drive Qin Jun out of the Party's high ground, or to kill the enemy at a loss of 1,000, or even to kill the enemy at a loss of 800.

Why can Tian Lei have such a magical imagination? Why did Zhao Xiang, the king of Qin, dare to gamble with Zhao Kuo by stallion? The reason is that Qin soldiers are really good at fighting. These people work hard and almost never lose. Zhao Xiang, the king of Qin, dared to compete with Zhao Kuo for stallion because he had confidence in Qin soldiers. Tian Lei dared to fight about 500,000 because he had confidence in Chi.

Final summary:

Mortals are not so gullible, and neither is the famous Zhao Kuo. He took the initiative to attack because of Zhao Miao's political decision, because of Zhao's national strength, or because he had confidence in his 200 thousand Zhao reinforcements.

The battle of Changping was a gamble between Qin and Zhao. In this gamble, Zhao Kuo is not without a chance. Because his goal is very low, he will either drive Qin Jun out of Shangdang or kill 800 enemies at the cost of 1000 yuan. The whole goal is to end the war as soon as possible.

The battle of Changping was fought by two people in Qin. One is Zhao Xiang, the king of Qin, who wants to gamble with Zhao Kuo, and Stud gambled: the other is a famous soldier's extraordinary imagination, who dares to surround hundreds of thousands of your troops and eat them.

The reason why Qin, Wang and Zhao Kuo dared to gamble was mainly because Qin's goal was clear and well-prepared, and his national strength could really withstand the war. The key hard chip is that Chi Bing and Qin Jun can really play the best.