What does negative population growth mean? How did we get to the step of negative growth?

What does negative population growth mean? Negative population growth means that the fewer people are added, the better. It is not a population decrease, but a negative one. Mathematics, subtract an equal number, add the negative value of this number, and use mathematical definition. The negative growth here is not to say that it is not long, but that the current fertility rate is lower than the mortality rate, resulting in a negative population growth rate at this stage. According to the basic data of the sixth national population survey, the population of China has been close to negative growth.

According to the low plan of the United Nations in 2008, the population of China began to decrease after reaching a peak of 65.438+0.4 billion in 2023. However, the sixth population survey shows that the United Nations is too optimistic about the forecast and analysis of the low-plan scheme. According to the statistics of the United Nations, the birth rate in China was stable at1.8,201350 million population from 1995 to 20 10. This population survey shows that after 1995, the birth rate in China was only 1.3- 1.4, and the total population in 2065438 was+03.379 billion. Therefore, the duration of negative population growth in China may be earlier, and the peak population is unlikely to reach 654.38+0.4 billion.

Negative population growth means that the working population will be interrupted or even reduced in the future, and human resource management will become the most expensive network resource for social development. It also means that some service workers will be in great shortage, and the advantages of demographic dividend will disappear. Take ordinary first-tier cities as an example, pure service projects such as take-away food delivery and express delivery companies will be understaffed, and then increase transportation expenses, and will also feed back cost opinions to themselves, forming a vicious circle.

Labor-intensive industrial chain technology major, a few years ago, many foreign-funded enterprises liked to set up manufacturing plants or processing plants in the mainland, but in recent years, they began to transfer the industrial chain to Southeast Asia, in which the income of the population has long been unbearable, factories can not get high wages, and young people conceptually do not like to enter the factory. In the past, it was difficult to find a job because the information content was not circulating, so many people wanted to enter the factory. But now, in the information age, it is really not too difficult to find a job, and the lack of cheap labor also leads to an increase in the cost of human resources. Since these foreign-funded enterprises can no longer create profits, they will move to Southeast Asia where labor costs are cheaper.

It is an important factor to determine the long-term housing price that the property market hurts the population. Data show that by 2030, most of the total population of China will not increase. What is certain is that in the next decade, the total number of married families will gradually decrease, and the demand for houses will gradually decrease. In that case, maintaining the recent house price can only rely on other factors.

For example, the loan currency will increase by 30%, or the economic development of China will increase by another 30%. These two don't sound too difficult. China's economy has developed by 30%, which seems to be only five years. But from a relative point of view. If the prices of most products go up by 30% in five years, and the prices of houses don't go up in five years, then they actually go down. Therefore, whether the house is worth investing in is worth a careful study!

In the next ten years, the total number of newly added amaranth will gradually decrease year by year, which is very uncomfortable! Because no matter how advertised, the stock market can make a fortune, there are so many people, and A shares are still expanding, and the next generation of families may not be able to afford A shares.

So this big bull market is destined to be a structural bull market. With the decline of the overall gdp growth rate in China, the population is decreasing. Unless the government departments inject water and send more money, it is really unexpected that there is not so much money. So it won't be too difficult to draw a conclusion. The reappearance of A-share bull market must not be the general increase of 15, but the harm of population increase. Ordinary people must have rich knowledge and professional standards if they want to seize opportunities in such a market!