Will intelligent standardization of large-scale pig farms become standard? But what really sets us apart from our peers is this.

With the improvement of the scale of pig industry in China in the past two years, large-scale pig farms are becoming the main force of pig industry.

The pig industry is also experiencing great changes in efficiency and long-term low profit.

However, at present, the breeding level among large-scale pig farms is uneven, the management ability is quite different, and the cost control ability is not the same.

Nowadays, in the case of the depressed pig market, the pig prices around 7 yuan have directly caused many large pig farms to fall into losses, but what worries pig farmers is that the number of sows and pigs in this industry is still at a relatively high level, that is to say, the supply side of the pig market will be sufficient in 2023. Faced with this situation, how should pig farmers respond? How to accurately grasp the rhythm and trend and make a profit? How does the batch production mode favored by large-scale pig farms improve the operation quality and efficiency of pig farms? These problems are closely related to pig farmers' money bags.

In order to find the answers to these questions, the online live broadcast conference "Breakthrough of Large-scale Pig Farms in the New Period and Cross-cycle Management" hosted by Ningbo three sheng Biotechnology Co., Ltd. was successfully held on February 15.

Mr. Wang Zhong, a marketing expert in animal husbandry industry, an expert in pig market analysis, chief consultant of Mouyi Consulting, and Dr. Wang Yanchun, a senior technical expert in three sheng, Ningbo, shared and discussed topics such as "the logic and response of the new cycle" and "the management of human efficiency by batch mode". When sharing, Mr. Wang Zhong said that there may be two peaks in the pig price market in 2023, and pig farmers should seize the opportunity.

The whole live broadcast attracted more than 20,000 people to watch online. This article takes you back to the wonderful views of experts.

Q 1: In recent years, China's pig industry has ushered in rapid development, especially the rapid increase in scale, but behind the rapid development, there are also many inefficient behaviors and deficiencies.

What are the main problems of large-scale pig farms?

Dr. Wang Yanchun: Let's talk about this topic from the perspective of batch.

In fact, at present, many pig farms, including some large or medium-sized pig farms, mainly think that batch production mode is the biggest advantage in biological safety and sow reproductive performance.

But in fact, through our calculation and some cases of group farms, we will find that the greater benefit of mass production mode is embodied in the fattening link, which is the real benefit amplifier of mass production mode.

Including precise nutrition, daily weight gain, health level and so on.

If we pull the whole process of batch production from the breeding end to the conservation end to the fattening end, batch production can quickly replenish pig farm sites, improve slaughter level and reduce costs under high market conditions.

Dr. Wang Yanchun, Senior Technical Expert of Ningbo Sansheng

Teacher Wang Zhong: From the past few years, due to the rapid development of pig industry in China, many enterprises have also expanded very fast. The problem mainly lies in three aspects:

First of all, the ideas of many enterprises are problematic.

In particular, many enterprises that used to make feed now come to raise pigs.

We will find that when he enters the field of pig raising, pigs are not easy to raise because making feed is different from raising pigs. Going deeper, these feed enterprises should get deeper.

Second, when an enterprise grows up, there will be many levels and departments, which involves the issue of coordination. If we can't change and get through the coordination problem, it will cause inefficiency.

Third, it is the issue of execution.

For many large enterprises, the pig farm management manuals used by everyone are basically the same, but why are some costs as high as 9 yuan and others only about 7.7 yuan? The gap between them has a lot to do with team execution.

Take non-plague prevention and control as an example. From the invasion of non-plague on 20 18 to today, we have seen that some large enterprises have done a very good job in preventing non-plague, while some enterprises still have frequent problems today. Why? Not the way to stop illegal activities, but implementation!

Wang Zhong, marketing expert of animal husbandry industry, pig market analysis expert and chief consultant of profit-seeking consulting.

Q2: With the advent of the era of large-scale pig raising, what hardware or software support does a large-scale pig farm need to prepare to meet this era?

Dr. Wang Yanchun: First, in terms of software.

Many top groups, such as Mu Yuan and Wen's, have already demonstrated their intelligence in pig farms.

However, there are still many large pig farms facing many obstacles in building digital software, such as large pig farms with 65,438+0,000 pigs or 20,000 pigs or less.

We often say that "building the future with numbers" is to help pig farm managers improve their management level through a finer, more scientific and more comprehensive pig data software.

Help frontline staff to collect better data from the implementation of the first line of pig farms, and through effective data analysis, reflect the changes in pig farm production performance, and finally land on management and profit improvement.

The second is the talent bottleneck.

Raising pigs is a high-tech industry such as breeding, precise nutrition and disease health management, which requires high talents.

Therefore, we should keep up with and supervise the training and implementation of personnel.

Third, a level of managers.

We find that no matter what kind of enterprises, there are always well-managed and poorly managed. The management level determines the management ability of an enterprise, as well as its profit and loss.

All these determine the software and hardware upgrade of large-scale pig farms in the future.

Teacher Wang Zhong: In the past, managing a pig farm well depended on experience, but now it depends on data. Today, I see that all successful enterprises have realized "online", that is to say, all the data of all production links in the pig farm are "real-time online" and cannot be changed manually. In this case, we can clearly understand the production achievements and the problems behind pig farm production.

Another piece of hardware is also very important for pig farms. Now many pig farms are facing the problem of employing and retaining people. Some hardware devices can replace some manpower.

It is understood that there are more than 6.5438+0.5 million smart devices online in Mu Yuan pig farm every day, which is very extensive.

Therefore, "real-time online software" and "intelligent hardware" are the two best preparations for large-scale pig farms to cope with the arrival of the large-scale era.

Q3: In terms of "cost reduction", what other aspects can scale pig farms break through?

Dr. Wang Yanchun: We often talk about "reducing costs and increasing efficiency", which is a false proposition. Our logical point should be to improve the profit acquisition space through profit management, rather than blindly pursuing low cost.

Taking mass production as an example, our production managers can't always measure the input and output of mass production by the result of a breeding end, but should comprehensively measure the cost of comprehensive operation, the improvement of human efficiency and pig efficiency, and the improvement of a production index at the conservation end and fattening end.

For example, the improvement of the index of non-productive days will completely cover our drug cost, so we should look at this problem in a different way.

Teacher Wang Zhong: In the past, to raise pigs well and reduce costs was nothing more than planting, feeding, raising, managing and preventing them. There is another environmental factor in raising pigs now.

Pig-raising enterprises with relatively low cost must be relatively advanced in breeding, such as Mu Yuan, Wen's and Tianbang. The second is feed.

Feed accounts for a large part of the cost of farming. Take Muyuan as an example. The consumption of soybean meal in feed used in Mu Yuan is only about 3%, which greatly reduces its cost. Therefore, the cost of weaned piglets per mu is about 320 yuan/head, which is the value of reducing feed cost.

Q4: Group farming and disease management are important profit items in pig farm management. Doing these two aspects well can get twice the result with half the effort. What is the plan to manage these two aspects?

Dr. Wang Yanchun: Take sows as an example in the future. If we can do a good job in breeding, reproduction and precise nutrition of reserve pigs, we can make great contributions to the operating profit of the whole pig farm.

For example, through estrus synchronization in batches, each reserve pig can enter the herd one day in advance, which can reach the standard of cost saving 15~20 yuan. If the scale is large, the profit of this piece is considerable.

Another example is disease management. We found that the large weekly batch (35-day batch) can achieve full entry and exit in the delivery room. Even if there are medium and large-scale diseases such as blue ear and diarrhea in the pig farm, mass production will at least help the pig farm reduce the loss by more than 65,438+0/3, and also make the disease have less impact on the pig farm.

Q5: Some people say that our pig industry is very large now, and the group pig farms are even larger. For example, they are all industrialized, intelligent and expanding in scale. In this environment, where should the strategic direction of group farms/large-scale farms be tilted in 2023 so as not to be eliminated?

Teacher Wang Zhong: The first one is "counter-cyclical" operation, which is very important.

In other words, we reserve production capacity when the cycle is low, which will save costs and release production capacity when the market is good, which will maximize benefits; The second is "flexibility". In recent years, many enterprises have been completely turned upside down.

Muyuan has done a good job in this respect. Anything can be sold as long as it can reduce business risks and improve business efficiency. For example, if the price of piglets is good, it can sell piglets. If piglets lose money, it can continue to fatten and adjust its business strategy at any time.

Q6: According to their years of experience and cognition, what do you think is the healthiest management mode or production mode for a medium-sized pig farm?

Dr. Wang Yanchun: The healthiest business model means the most suitable production model, which is different for every enterprise. It mainly depends on whether the pursuit of pig farms is to make employees more comfortable, to make pigs healthier or to maximize profits, so this cannot be generalized.

Teacher Wang Zhong: I personally think that medium-sized pig farms should go out of their own way. Besides being as flexible as retail investors, they should also go out of their own business model. Medium-sized pig farms can't do industrial chain like pig enterprises, but they can do "value chain".

Based on the integration of its own value, or being "integrated" by others, it can cooperate with some downstream enterprises to make a value chain.

Another way out is to create an "ecological circle". Whether it is cooperative farming or joint-stock cooperation, it is much lighter than doing it yourself. Through the way of "value chain" and "ecological circle", medium-sized pig farms can find their own business model.

Q7: At the beginning of 2023, the trend of pig price is not optimistic, and farmers are also very eager to know whether there is a good opportunity to raise pigs in 2023.

Teacher Wang Zhong: The pig price situation in 2023 can be described as "cautious optimism".

Why be cautious? Because the production capacity of the pig industry has not yet gone, it will take some time to bottom out.

Why be optimistic? Two aspects, first, the epidemic has passed and consumption is recovering, which is fundamental.

Second, the top management very much hopes to stabilize the pig price in a reasonable range, so that pig farmers will not lose money and consumers will not eat expensive meat. Therefore, for this goal, the National Development and Reform Commission will have many means of regulation.

At the same time, there will be many secondary fattening in 2023, so it is called cautious optimism. Since cautious optimism means that there are still opportunities to make money in 2023.

In 2023, the pig price may go out of a "W" shape, that is, there will be two peaks, which is actually an opportunity to make money. In 2023, the time for real profit will be shorter, but there will still be a good high point. Everyone should seize the opportunity as much as possible, do a good job in production and reduce costs.

Zhu haoduo Com host

In addition, Mr. Wang Zhong and Dr. Wang Yanchun shared their respective themes.

Teacher Wang Zhong mentioned in the theme sharing of "Logic and Response of the New Cycle" that the pig cycle has always existed, but some people have grasped the cycle and some have failed it. Now a new cycle has arrived. This cycle has the characteristics that large enterprises are relatively more rational, the increase and decrease of production capacity is smaller and faster, the cycle amplitude is gradually reduced and the cycle duration is shorter. Under this cyclical feature, pig enterprises should plan their own production capacity and make plans for increase or decrease.

Teacher Wang Zhong believes that because the production capacity has not decreased, the mood of farmers is still controlling the rhythm of slaughter, so the pig price market in 2023 will not be calm, and there will be two peaks with high probability.

Dr. Wang Yanchun said in the theme sharing of "Management and Case of Human Effect Batch Mode" that the current pig industry is facing difficulties such as high production cost, difficulty in recruiting people, difficulty in retaining people, and rising labor cost in the breeding cost. In order to solve these problems, batch production mode can effectively improve the happiness index and work efficiency of pig farm employees and reduce labor costs.

The implementation of batch mode is helpful to optimize posts, increase work proficiency, specialize in novelty and subdivide work, and is conducive to cultivating talents in enterprises.

At the same time, Wang Bo also stressed that large quantities have more advantages in labor efficiency than small quantities.

This online meeting lasted for 2 hours, which deeply analyzed the difficulties and coping strategies faced by large-scale pig farms in the new cycle, and had practical guiding significance for pig farmers' production plan in 2023.