Oriental Times Interpretation of Global Current Affairs March 4, 2011

Interpretation of global current affairs in the Eastern Era on the Internet. Simplified version of Current Affairs Festival, March 4, 2011

Published on: 2011-03-07 12:40:47 Author: rmdxlxm Add friends via SMS for more works

Level: Advanced Soldier Points: 65

Comprehensive news According to Reuters, Iran’s state-owned Transportation Infrastructure Development Company issued a statement on the company’s website on Monday, saying, China has signed a railway construction contract with Iran involving a total capital of up to 13 billion US dollars. China will build a railway with a total length of more than 5,000 kilometers for Iran.

/From China.com community club.china.com/

A statement from the Iran Transportation and Infrastructure Construction and Development Company said that a delegation from China has signed a construction agreement with Tehran According to the contract, China will invest US$13 billion to help Iran build a railway network with a total length of 5,300 kilometers (3,300 miles). This railway network will connect Iran's major cities and connect with neighboring countries.

/From China.com Community club.china.com/

However, the statement did not disclose the specific time when the contract was signed, nor did it mention when construction would begin. .

Data published on the website of the China-Iran Chamber of Commerce show that the bilateral trade volume between China and Iran has reached 30 billion US dollars, most of which is oil trade. In addition, China also conducts trade with Iran via the United Arab Emirates, involving a total of US$7 billion.

Current Affairs Commentary In previous comments, in response to the sudden changes in Egypt’s domestic political situation, we have given this point of view, that is:

The first point of view is that of the United States in the "U.S. Capital level (U.S. national interests require the maintenance of stability in the Middle East)" to cause chaos in the Middle East. All "non-American forces and non-U.S. capital, including China, need to do is if "U.S. interest decision-making groups (including U.S. national interests) and capital interests)” really want to use the “middle east chaos” to coerce “all aspects” that “oppose US hegemony in the Middle East”, then the simplest move is to simply let go and gather the cornerstones of the “dollar standard” (the petrodollar settlement system ), let’s let the “Middle East after the chaos” choose between “holding US dollars or maintaining the Eurasian sea transportation lines”!

However, Eastern commentators believe that although "non-American countries" may not be willing to play this way, Eastern commentators are even more skeptical: Do American policymakers really dare to play this way?

The second point of view, in our view, is that for "U.S. national interests, U.S. capital interests, especially Western capital interests that are still represented by U.S. capital today," it now uses The method of "subverting, or threatening to subvert certain important countries" is essentially a strategic adventure. Once China makes no major mistakes in its response (note, the so-called "no major mistakes", the core is to maintain the strategic coordination between China, Europe and Russia to the maximum extent), So, even if the second bottom of the global economy comes early due to the chaos in the Middle East, the chaos in the Asia-Europe maritime transportation lines, and the skyrocketing of global production means, we still ultimately believe that the "gyro" of "substantial internationalization of the RMB" is in the " The calm spin in the above-mentioned "Tear and Confrontation (First)" is still just around the corner!

The third point of view is, of course, we also believe that once the situation becomes like this, the Chinese economy will also pay a heavy price, but this is necessary. Therefore, as far as the "Chinese economy" is concerned, we might as well be prepared, ready to take on it, and ready to "rebirth from the ashes"!

The fourth point of view is that Eastern commentators particularly emphasize that for now, China (including many southern countries) still needs to prepare for war and warn "Western capital" with "firm war preparations" , whether it is a breakdown in South Asia, a chaos in the Middle East, or a chaos in the Eurasian maritime transportation lines, once it finally escalates to a war (whether it is a war at the economic, especially military level, or a war at the economic, especially financial level), then, There will be no "air raid shelters" or "refuges" for "Western capital" in either Europe or the United States.

The fifth point of view is that it is worth emphasizing that only by making such "comprehensive preparations" will the national interests of the United States exert the greatest restraint on the interests of American capital, and the interests of European and American countries will exert the greatest restraint on the interests of Western capital. Interests exert the greatest restraint. When they are determined to use the national power of Europe, especially the United States, to pursue their ulterior strategic goals, "Western capital" will suddenly feel that "there is no safe place to go" and know how to "be careful." These words!

●The reason why we give the above views and repeat the above views again is mainly to emphasize the following points

Obviously, the reason why we give the above views and repeat the above views again My point of view is mainly to emphasize the following points:

First, the chaos in Egypt, or the chaos in the Middle East that is likely to evolve into, originated from the "American interests (mainly American capital interests) decision-making group" Instigated, its "strategic intention" is to use "the chaos in the Middle East" to coerce "all aspects" that "oppose US hegemony in the Middle East", especially the southern countries led by China, especially "already (such as Turkey, Iran)" or "preparing to It is a Middle Eastern country (such as Egypt, Syria, Saudi Arabia, etc.) that is the "Local King of the Middle East".

●The corresponding "strategic victims" or "strategic beneficiaries" are actually "dynamic" rather than "static"

Second, the chaos in Egypt, or The chaos in the Middle East that is very likely to evolve into, due to the extremely special geographical and economic strategic value of Egypt or the Middle East, the corresponding "strategic victims" or "strategic beneficiaries" are actually "dynamic" rather than "static" of.

As for how to understand the words "dynamic" and "static", it lies in the following points:

●In the "beginning of the Egyptian Rebellion" stage, the corresponding "victim" or " "Beneficiaries" are actually very clear

First of all, in the eyes of Eastern commentators, in the "beginning of the Egyptian Rebellion" stage, the corresponding "victims" or "beneficiaries" are actually very clear Yes, that is, all "stakeholders" except "US capital interests", including US national interests, are "victimized parties". In other words, only those who "instigated" the chaos in Egypt or the Middle East U.S. capital interests” or “Western capital interests that are still represented by U.S. capital” are the “beneficiaries”.

●As the situation evolves, the “victims” or “beneficiaries” will and have already transformed to some extent

Secondly, in the eyes of Eastern commentators In the future, as the "Egyptian Rebellion" extends from the "beginning stage" to the "subsequent development stage", the corresponding "victims" or "beneficiaries" will inevitably and have already transformed to some extent.

●The two processes of "possible reversal" and "impossible reversal"

Again, it is worth emphasizing whether the rebellion in Egypt instigated by "American capital interests" will definitely end. It is not yet known what will lead to the chaos in the Middle East. However, even under "some compromise", the process of developing from "Chaos in Egypt" to "Chaos in the Middle East" has been reversed. However, with the "Cheonan Incident" and "Israel "The attack on the Turkish international rescue ship" and China's forcible intervention in Middle East affairs as the "starting point", and "the chaos in Egypt" or the "possible chaos in the Middle East" as the "important episode (please pay attention to our wording)" The process of "disruption in the Middle East" is no longer possible to reverse.

●The irreversible process of "breaking the situation in the Middle East" actually has several ways to break it

Finally, and most importantly, on the basis of "again", we will go back to If we read "first" and "secondly" overly, it is not difficult to understand that the "chaos in Egypt" and even the "chaos in the Middle East" are just "important episodes" in the process of "breaking the situation in the Middle East", and even themselves have "Possibly reversed", the irreversible "Middle East disruption" process actually has several ways to disrupt the situation:

First, look at the "subsequent development" of the "Egyptian Rebellion", that is: "Egypt Will the "chaos in the Middle East" further develop into the "chaos in the Middle East"? Or will this process be "finally reversed" under "some kind of compromise" between "China, Europe, Russia and the United States"? Depending on the outcome, the way in which the situation in the Middle East is broken may be formed within the framework of the "Six-Party Talks on the Iranian Nuclear Forces" or within the "Framework of the N-Party Talks on the Iranian Nuclear Powers."

As for the "in which framework" the way to break the situation in the Middle East is finally formed, if we only look at the problem at the Middle East level, then:

1): "both" depends on those "always" It is pro-American and dependent on the United States. The strength of the United States has substantially declined and the situation in the Middle East is bound to break. Now it finally wants to be a local king and is ready to find a balance between the United States and "non-American forces". In particular, it is ready to rely on the power of regional organizations to The "traditional Middle East allies of the United States (such as Egypt)" that "minimally" safeguard their own national interests, or even capital interests, and therefore must distance themselves from the United States. After this battle, how far can they distance themselves from the interests of the United States?< /p>

2): "Also" depends on those who "have always been pro-American and dependent on the United States, but their strength in the United States has substantially declined, and the situation in the Middle East is bound to be broken. Now they finally want to be local kings, and are ready to fight in the United States and Africa." The United States must seek a balance between its forces, especially those "traditional Middle East allies of the United States (such as Saudi Arabia) that are prepared to rely on the power of regional organizations to safeguard their national interests and even capital interests at the 'minimum level' and therefore must distance themselves from the United States." ", whether they can maintain the basic stability of their respective regimes;

3): "It also" depends on whether the "national interests" of "America's traditional Middle East allies (such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia)" allow "pro-U.S. "regime" continues

4): "More" depends on whether the "national interests" of "the United States' traditional Middle East allies (such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia)" can dominate the country's foreign policy and maintain the domestic political situation. basically stable. Just like Turkey, which already plays the role of a "local king" and is also a traditional ally of the United States, or Iran, which "used to be" a traditional ally of the United States.

●"Quick means" to "forcibly break the situation" in the Middle East

5): The most important thing is, in addition to the above-mentioned ways of "slowly changing the situation", we also need to look at "Iran "Formally crossing the nuclear threshold and launching a comprehensive nuclear race in the Middle East" will be used by "the majority of non-American powers (China, Europe and Russia)" as a "quick means" to "forcibly break the situation" in the Middle East when necessary.

●The "subsequent development" of the "Rebellion in Egypt" is difficult to predict

What we want to emphasize is that the reasons for listing the above possibilities are as follows

First of all, it is difficult to predict the "subsequent development" of the "Egyptian Rebellion". Due to the "difficult to reconcile (note our wording)" contradiction between "U.S. national interests" and "U.S. capital interests", "European and American There are "irreconcilable (note our wording)" contradictions between "national interests"; there are "difficult to reconcile" contradictions between "European and American capital interests"; between "Western national interests" and "Western capital interests" There are "difficult to reconcile" contradictions. Therefore, after the U.S. decision-makers instigated the "Egyptian chaos" at the level of "American capital interests", the issue of whether its "subsequent development" will definitely lead to the "Middle East chaos" , we are not sure.

●The so-called "difficult to reconcile" and "irreconcilable"

In order to better understand this issue, it is necessary to understand the so-called "difficult to reconcile". " and "irreconcilable" to explain. Obviously, "irreconcilable" is easy to understand, but to accurately understand the above-mentioned "difficult to reconcile contradictions", to a certain extent, lies in grasping that they are "not absolutely irreconcilable" The "relativity" of "reconciliation" must also be grasped, and the "absoluteness" of "whether they can ultimately be reconciled" has to "must meet certain prerequisites". In other words, "whether these contradictions can ultimately be reconciled" depends on " "Whether a certain prerequisite" has been met!

●Factors closely related to this "prerequisite"

It is worth emphasizing that this "prerequisite" is not only intertwined with the Whether the "China-EU-Russia" strategic coordination on the nuclear issue can continue to be "closely related" is also "closely related" to "whether Russia, including the EU, and especially China" have the ability to resolutely make a certain decision from "multiple ways to break the situation" at the critical moment. This strategic choice and the strategic determination to "defeat the situation in the Middle East" are "closely related" to strategic capabilities.

For a better discussion, let's read another set of news.

Iran announced. : Has mastered nuclear fusion technology

Tehran News According to media reports, the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran announced on the 10th that Iran has mastered nuclear fusion technology.

The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran said on its website that day, Iran has used the "Inertial Electrostatic Confinement Method" (IEC) to successfully conduct a series of major research in the field of nuclear fusion and developed a device that can produce laser nuclear fusion.

However, the organization did not disclose whether Iran successfully conducted a real nuclear fusion experiment.

At the end of July last year, Salehi, then chairman of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, announced the launch of Iran’s nuclear fusion research. He said that Iran’s initial capital for nuclear fusion research is approximately 80 billion riyals (approximately US$7.65 million). Although the commercialization of Iran’s nuclear fusion research “will take 20 to 30 years,” Iran will invest all its resources in the country. power to accelerate the progress of nuclear fusion research.

The commander of the U.S. Central Command made a surprise visit to Tajikistan

Dushanbe News The U.S. Embassy in Tajikistan announced on the 10th that Mattis, the commander of the U.S. Central Command, made a surprise visit to Tajikistan on the 9th. He visited Tajikistan and met with Tajik President Emomali Rahmon and some senior officials to discuss the regional security situation and other issues.

The news said that the meeting was successful. Mattis expressed his gratitude to Tajikistan for its support of NATO allied operations in Afghanistan, saying that "this is a valuable force for stabilizing the regional situation." He said that the U.S. Central Command will continue to promote mutually beneficial cooperation with Tajikistan in relevant fields.

This is Mattis’s first visit to a Central Asian country since he took over as commander of the U.S. Central Command in August last year.

Tajikistan opened air corridors in 2001 for the US military conducting the war in Afghanistan. In 2009, Tajikistan opened ground channels for NATO troops to transport non-military supplies to Afghanistan.

The U.S. Congressional Investigation Report stated that Japan’s constitution hinders defense cooperation between the two countries

Washington News According to the Japan News Agency on the 10th, the U.S. Congressional Bureau of Investigation compiled reports on Japan and the United States in January this year. The alliance’s latest report once again emphasizes that the Japanese government has interpreted Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution as being unable to exercise the right to collective self-defense based on the renunciation of war, which has created obstacles to building a stronger Japan-US defense cooperation relationship.

The U.S. government believes that North Korea will have nuclear missiles with a range that can reach the United States within five years, and U.S. Defense Secretary Gates believes that this "poses a direct threat." The report expressed concern that Japan would be unable to respond when the United States is attacked by missiles or other missiles.

The report titled "Constitutional and Legal Constraints" points out that several legal factors on the Japanese side are becoming obstacles to Japan-US cooperation. The most fundamental issue is "Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution drafted by the United States during its post-World War II occupation, which renounces war as an "exercise of national power" and prohibits the "right of belligerency."

The report also pointed out that the Japanese government’s inability to exercise the right of collective self-defense “poses an obstacle to close defense cooperation.” The right of collective self-defense means that when a country with which it has close relations is attacked by force, it can use force to stop the attacker even if its country is not directly attacked.

The report also predicted that due to the Democratic Party of Japan's defeat in the Senate election last July, the opposition party controlled a majority of seats in the Senate, and "ambitious discussions on constitutional amendments and revision of the interpretation of the right to collective self-defense" It is difficult for the plan to be realized in the current political stagnation," and believes that these problems will not be solved in the near future.

A teenage bomb attack on a Pakistani military camp killed 31 soldiers

Comprehensive news According to media reports, a military camp in Mardan, a city in northwestern Pakistan, was hit by a suicide attack on the morning of the 10th. The police confirmed that 31 soldiers were killed and 42 injured, some of whom were seriously injured. The Pakistani Taliban admitted planning the attack and threatened to launch "larger-scale attacks" in the future.

The explosion occurred in a military camp in the city of Mardan. A group of soldiers were training in the camp. Mardan senior police officer Abdullah Khan said, "The attacker was a teenager wearing a school uniform." Witnesses said there was a school near the explosion site. The military quickly cordoned off the area and restricted access.

An army officer told reporters that the attacker apparently entered the camp on foot and it was unclear how he evaded the guard post and entered the camp. The camp was attacked in 2006, killing 35 soldiers.

The Pakistani Taliban admitted to carrying out the attack later that day, but claimed that the attackers were soldiers in the camp.

Taliban spokesman Ahsanullah Ahsan told reporters by phone that the soldier contacted the Taliban and expressed his willingness to carry out a suicide attack. "We accepted his request to carry out the attack," Ahsan said.

”

The King of Saudi Arabia warned the United States to be cautious about aid to Egypt

Riyadh News Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz told US President Barack Obama, if the United States suspends its aid projects to Egypt, Saudi Arabia will make full efforts to fill the gap and provide help to Egypt.

The British "Times" reported on the 10th, citing Riyadh news, that Abdullah called on January 29. Obama warned the latter "not to try to put pressure on Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak."

Abdallah said that if the United States withdraws its aid projects to Egypt, Saudi Arabia will provide full assistance , to fill the funding gap left by the withdrawal of U.S. aid.

Reuters reported that the background of this call may be that on January 28, the U.S. White House made a public speech claiming that it was reviewing a $1.5 billion aid package. Egypt aid project.

Comprehensive news According to German media reports on the 9th, Deutsche B?rse and NYSE Euronext confirmed on the same day that the merger negotiations between the two parties have made progress, but a final agreement has not yet been reached.

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On the same day, the shares of Deutsche B?rse and NYSE Euronext were suspended from trading on Germany's Frankfurt Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange respectively, which caused market concerns about the possible merger of the two exchange operators. Speculation.

Market analysts predict that if the merger of the two exchanges is successful, Deutsche B?rse may own about 60% of the new company. NYSE Euronext Group President Duncan Ni. Drauer will serve as president of the new company, while Reto Francioni, president of Deutsche Boerse, may serve as chairman of the company's management board. The new company will be headquartered in Frankfurt and New York.

Current Affairs. Comments Through the above set of news, we can clearly feel that the forces behind the instigation of the "Egypt Rebellion" are exerting strategic pressure to the "maximum extent" on the national interests of the European Union, Russia, China, and even the United States. Using the "possible subsequent developments" of the "Egyptian Rebellion" to have a major impact on "China, Europe and Russia" and even the global strategy of the United States, a "crucial" comprehensive test will be conducted on "all aspects"

< p>●Please read this paragraph carefully

In the eyes of Eastern commentators, for the forces behind the scenes, this "comprehensive test" is both a "test" and not just a "test"; That is to say, in the calculation of the forces behind the scenes, this was originally part of the "attack": once they get "the test results that are beneficial to themselves" under the banner of "testing", it means that "the entire attack plan" "Has been more than half successful, rather than launching an attack right after "cai". Please appreciate it carefully

●This point is something that China must be particularly vigilant about

Therefore, For "non-American forces", if they continue to deal with "tests" only from the perspective of "counter-testing" as in the previous rounds of "permutations", once the "test results" are beneficial to the other side, they will not want to organize If you fight back, it may be too late.

We believe that the forces behind the scenes are trying to "wait for opportunities and take advantage of the situation" to obtain that "prerequisite" during the test process, so as to "finally reconcile" the series of "difficult to reconcile" contradictions, and "Temporarily easing" the "irreconcilable" contradiction (the contradiction between the interests of European and American countries) can then transform the contradiction between U.S. national interests, U.S. capital interests and "non-American forces" into the "Northern Camp" and " The contradiction between the "Southern camp" has especially transformed into the contradiction between "Europe, the United States, Japan" and China.

China, especially the Chinese economy, must be particularly vigilant about this.

In previous comments, we have clearly given the following important points, namely: the "first to third points" mentioned above, and emphasized that "China's economy" may as well prepare, Prepare to be "phoenix reborn and reborn from the ashes"!

It is very clear that the "subsequent development" of the "Egyptian Rebellion" will follow from Albania, the throat connecting the Mediterranean and the Atlantic Ocean, to Egypt, the Suez Canal, and to Yemen, the gateway to the Gulf of Aden. A comprehensive outbreak of "regime instability" on this route is indeed what we are most worried about. Once this occurs, the impact on the Eurasian continent and even the U.S. economy will be extremely severe. Under such circumstances, the determination and ability of "non-American forces" to carry out "joint escort" become extremely necessary. It is worth emphasizing that for "non-American forces", ability is not an issue in providing escort, but unity is the key.

It is not difficult to see that the "behind-the-scenes forces" have seen this and are preparing to conduct a public "comprehensive test" of the "unity" of non-American forces.

●Only Russia has the capital to hold a "relatively detached attitude" towards the "where to go" of the "Egyptian Rebellion"

Obviously, due to Egypt's extremely important geographical location ( It holds the choke point in and out of the Mediterranean - the Suez Canal), and Egypt itself is a major Arab country and has long pursued a "foreign policy of being pro-American, recognizing Israel, and maintaining good relations with China and the European Union." Therefore, Egypt Whether the political situation can be maintained stable is extremely important to the United States, which relies on Middle East energy, Israel, which is surrounded by Arab countries, and China and Europe, which rely on the Eurasian maritime transportation line through the Suez Canal.

Among the major countries, only Russia, an energy and military power, has the capital to hold a "relatively detached attitude" about the "where to go" of the "Egyptian Rebellion". It is necessary to emphasize that this "transcendence" is also "relative".

●Russia’s “strategic orientation” towards the “Egyptian Rebellion” will become a “key variable” in whether this “comprehensive test” can proceed smoothly

It is very clear that instigating “ The first test object of this "comprehensive test" organized by the forces behind the "Egypt Rebellion" is Russia. In other words, Russia's "strategic orientation" towards the "Egypt Rebellion" will become the ability of this "comprehensive test". "Key variable" that determines whether the project can proceed smoothly.

●A set of strange shots

If we observe such a strange set of shots at this level, it means: Japan is extremely tough on Russia on the "Four Northern Islands" issue; On the one hand, it wants to start a "dialogue" with Russia on the level of economic cooperation; the US Congress' investigation report released on the 10th stated that Japan's constitution hinders defense cooperation between the two countries, thus encouraging Japan to amend the constitution; Japan also suddenly made compensation for the Chinese captain in the Diaoyu Islands collision incident. , etc. It is not difficult for us to see that the United States is using Japan to use the carrot of "Japan-Russia economic cooperation (actually economic cooperation between the United States, Japan, South Korea and Russia)" to test Russia's influence in the "Egyptian Rebellion" Regarding the strategic orientation on the issue of "subsequent development", let's see if it is "possible" for Russia to maintain a certain distance from the "related strategic orientation" of "Central Europe" which regards the "Eurasian maritime transportation line (actually the Suez Canal, Egypt)" as its lifeline. , thus laying the foundation for further testing.

Obviously, once Russia is willing to "keep a certain distance from Central Europe's strategic orientation regarding the 'Egypt Chaos'", it will provide the United States with a favorable "key variable." , then Japan will immediately soften on the issue of the "Four Northern Islands" and will be replaced by an "investment intention" to "consider investing in Russia" in exchange for Russia's "joint escort" in "non-American forces" "No work, no effort", or even "no work, no effort".

●Russia obviously does not intend to provide the United States with "critical information" that is conducive to its "smooth test".

Variable".

However, we have also noticed that in the face of the carrot extended by the United States (actually including Japan and South Korea), Russia's response is also very clever. This is a willingness to cooperate with Japan (actually including Japan) It is the United States (including South Korea) that engages in dialogue on economic cooperation. On the one hand, it holds a "tougher" attitude on the Southern Kuril Islands issue. Not only that, the Russian President also publicly stated that he is "preparing to invite a third party (actually China) to deal with these issues." "Island development", the Russian military even announced that it is "preparing to deploy the "Mistral" amphibious assault ship purchased from France to the Southern Kuril Islands (called the Four Northern Islands in Japan)", thereby using "NATO weapons to deal with the U.S. and Japanese military forces" "Alliance" method, "counter-test" the Americans. Interestingly, the United States, as the commander-in-chief of NATO, has no attitude towards this. Obviously, the Americans also know that an important reason for Russia's "counter-test" The intention is: to understand the "where to go" of the "Egyptian Rebellion" will greatly affect the "strategic coordination between China, Europe and Russia" and the "strategic situation of the global strategies of China, Europe, Russia and the United States". At least until today, Russia It does not intend to provide the United States with "key variables" that will facilitate its "smooth test". Of course, it does not rule out the possibility that Russia has a higher asking price.

The question is whether America can afford it, or "is it bold enough to pay"!

●The United States "must" substantively activate the "Russian channel" in order to make Russia feel enough sincerity

If we observe from this level "the commander of the US Central Command made a surprise visit to Tajikistan" Stan", it is not difficult to see that the United States "must" substantively activate the "Russian Channel" to hand over the throats of U.S. Central Asia, the Middle East, and even global strategies to Russia. Only then can Russia feel enough sincerity.

●It is not ruled out that the United States will "do everything possible" to "express loyalty" to Russia in the near future

In the eyes of Eastern commentators, since Russia's attitude is crucial, it is not necessary to It is ruled out that the United States will "do everything possible" to "express loyalty" to Russia in the near future and "try its best to construct" an "irreversible" strategic situation in order to convince Russia, the European Union, and especially China that "the United States is indeed prepared and It is inevitable to substantially activate” the Russian channel. Please read this description carefully.

●The "Egyptian Rebellion" is likely to extend to the "Pakistani Rebellion", especially the "Indian Rebellion"

Give me your email, it is too long and has been deleted< /p>