Russian troops have 120 battalion-level battle groups. Why can the Ukrainian army resist?

According to the news of CCTV news client on March 8, on March 7, local time, the United States, France, Germany and Britain once again held talks on the situation in Russia and Ukraine and unanimously agreed to continue to expand sanctions against Russia. In other words, as Russia's special military operations in Ukraine continue to be blocked, the longer it takes, the greater the pressure it will bear from the international community.

More pressure

On the United Nations side, the Security Council's consideration of humanitarian issues in Ukraine on March 7 was also very unfavorable to Russia. Nie Bianjia, Russian Permanent Representative to the United Nations, said that the United Nations should not only rely on false information on social media to assess the current situation in Ukraine, and Russia has always been willing to ensure the safety of evacuees.

Indeed, compared with the war report information at the beginning of Russian special military operations, this kind of information is rare now. A big reason is that the social media to which Russia belongs is "blocked" by the West, so the information of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia tends to be one-sided. Speaking of this humanitarian crisis, the actions of the Ukrainian Nazi organization Azov Battalion on the battlefield are even more numerous.

So there are many factors that are very unfavorable to Russia at present. International public opinion is unfavorable to Russia, and western countries have increased sanctions. Now the United States has sent two more Alibek-class destroyers into the Baltic Sea, which has distracted the Russian army. With the conclusion of the third round of negotiations between Ukraine and Russia on the evening of the 7th, the Office of the President of Ukraine released a message saying that the two sides have not achieved the result of substantially changing the situation.

In order to carry out this special military operation smoothly, the Russian army sent 95% troops of the Border 120 Battalion Group to fight in Ukraine. As a result, the two sides were deadlocked until the three rounds of negotiations failed to achieve substantive results. People have to begin to question how much military attack the Russian army has caused to Ukraine these days.

From the current point of view, it is an objective fact that the Russian army has encountered stubborn resistance and the speed of military advancement has slowed down. However, the Ukrainian army has not collapsed, and it is obvious to all that it can organize effective defense and resistance. It has been 13 days since the war began, and four problems of the Russian army have been exposed. Perhaps this is the reason why the Russian army is so arrogant, but it is still unable to achieve the goal of demilitarization of Ukraine for the time being.

There are not enough precision strike weapons.

At the beginning of Russia's special military operation, it took only one day to use 160 precision guided missiles to attack Ukrainian military targets, but only 12 days later, about 600 missiles were used.

This kind of unsaturated firepower coverage is difficult to carry out a devastating blow to Ukraine's important military targets. You know, in the Iraq war, when the US military attacked only one military airport, it would launch dozens of missiles, which could not only accurately attack fighters, but also destroy runways and surrounding military facilities, trying to make the other side unable to fight back.

This contrast is obviously that the Russian army is not working hard enough, which reflects from the side that the Russian army is affected by the economy, resulting in a shortage of precision guided missiles and can only save, save and save again.

There are not enough missiles. Even though the Russian army has mastered the air superiority now, the speed of the loss of fighters still worries the Russian army. Earlier, it was reported that the Russian army shot down eight fighters a day, the biggest reason being the lack of precision-guided ammunition. Russian pilots can only fly fighter planes at low altitude to cover fire or carry out bombing missions for ground troops. However, the Ukrainian army has begun to acquire advanced air defense weapons from western countries, which poses a great threat to the Russian army. Next, the Russian army will encounter more troubles in the tough battles in some cities.

Lack of homework in pre-war military planning, blind self-confidence

In fact, not only the Russian army, but also the outside world believes that once the conflict between Ukraine and Russia begins, the steel torrent of the Russian army can end the battle like lightning. As a result, the current situation is that although the Russian army is dominant, it seems that it will take some time for the Ukrainian army to completely lose its resistance.

Judging from some tanks and armored vehicles abandoned by the Russian army on both sides of the road, there are roughly two reasons. First of all, the Russian army's blind optimism about the war led to the logistics failing to keep up. I thought the battle would be over soon, so the fuel supply was in no hurry. After the tank armor was blocked all the way, it could not be replenished in time. But time waits for no one, and the Russian army can only be forced to give up these heavy equipment and go into battle lightly.

Secondly, the Russian army did not expect the Ukrainian army to carry out tenacious resistance. During the 20 14 conflict in Donbass, corruption became widespread within the Ukrainian army, and a large number of troops collectively surrendered to the Russian army. But this time, although some Ukrainian soldiers laid down their weapons, we saw more Ukrainian soldiers take up arms and fight the Russian army. Although the Ukrainian army avoided the edge of the Russian army and chose to retreat to the city to fight street battles with the Russian army, it spared no effort in attacking the Russian military logistics convoy. When the Russian army lost its logistical supplies, it was also hesitant to go to war, which was a big problem for the Russian army.

The Russian army's battlefield intelligence gathering ability is insufficient, and its command and decision-making are wrong.

The Ukrainian army can use the C-300 air defense missile system to attack Russian fighters, which belongs to the products of the 1980s. Although the Russian army is not short of advanced fighters, it can't cover up the backward avionics system of a large number of fighters. This undoubtedly exposed the shortcomings of the Russian army in information warfare and electronic warfare. The Russian army can make up for it by other advantages when confronting the Ukrainian army, but if it meets the US military, this gap will be infinitely enlarged.

Then, the intelligence gathering ability of the Russian army on the battlefield also showed shortcomings. For example, in the intelligence gathering in Kiev, the Russian army did not dispatch a large number of drones for investigation. Instead, a separate team was sent into the city and was ambushed. The untimely and inaccurate information collection also led to some mistakes in Russian command and decision-making.

Taking the battle for Antonov airport as an example, Russian airborne troops raided the airport, but due to insufficient intelligence collection of Ukrainian combat troops, they failed to detect the trend of Ukrainian reinforcements in time. Originally, the Russian army thought that the occupation of Antonov airport was a foregone conclusion. The result was bombarded by a large number of rockets from the Ukrainian army. In the end, the airport runway was destroyed, and the Russian army could not rely on the airport for military transportation.

In this process, the Russian military's command mistakes were exposed. If Russian airborne troops had rescued and destroyed Ukrainian rocket positions during the first attack, the airport would not have suffered extensive damage, so Russian troops would not have been forced to slow down their March.

The Russian army is not determined enough to fight and is hesitant to fight.

At first, the Russian army didn't use too many weapons. On the one hand, civilian injuries should be taken into account, on the other hand, international public opinion should be taken into account. However, with the slow progress of military operations in recent days, even if the Russian army is still very restrained, it has not led to the reduction of Western sanctions. On the contrary, the Russian army has been looking forward, causing more and more casualties.

In this case, the Russian army was forced to start using heavy weapons in some siege wars. However, it is a little late to use it again at this time. After these days of adjustment, the Ukrainian army has recovered its vitality, and the weapons aided by the West have already met the conditions for a war of attrition with the Russian army.

Next, western sanctions against Russia will become bigger and bigger, NATO will support Ukraine with more and more weapons, and international public opinion will accuse Russia of becoming more and more intensive. For the Russian army, there is no time to toss. Can you get something at the negotiating table that you can't get on the battlefield? The Falcon Observatory believes that unless the Russian army can gain enough advantages on the battlefield to demilitarize Ukraine, it is unlikely that the two sides will continue to talk.

Finally, I hope that both sides can proceed from the overall situation, consider the safety of civilians and find a solution to the problem through negotiations.