Video of pork price increase in the market

The reading guide came to an end in June, and the national average price of live pigs rose to 17.99 yuan/kg, and the price of pigs rose by 0. 16 yuan compared with yesterday and by 17.2% compared with last year. This round of pig prices rose periodically, and at the end of March, it was 1 1.74 yuan/kg.

The price of pigs is "rising", the average price of pigs is about to break through the important mark of 9 yuan/Jin, and the ratio of pigs to grain is also moving up. According to the current national average price of corn, the ratio of pig to grain has risen to 6.27: 1 at this stage, and the breeding end has entered the stage of comprehensive profit, and the profit of some autotrophic heads has risen to three or four hundred yuan!

This round of pig prices continues to rise, and the market has quietly changed. The traditional low-priced areas are "misplaced", and the average price of live pigs in Northeast China generally rises to 8.9~9.2 yuan/kg, while the price of live pigs in parts of North China rises to 9.3~9.5 yuan/kg, and the "top spot" in the low-priced areas in Northeast China is replaced. In the southwest market, the price of pigs has become a "depression". At present, the average price of Sichuan and Chongqing is only 8.3 ~.

Personally, this round of pig price rise has rebounded, and the northern market has risen significantly. On the one hand, at the end of June last year, the number of domestic sows reached 45.64 million, and the production capacity at the breeding end was accelerated, while the pace of de-capacity in various regions of China was different. In Shandong and parts of Northeast China, the number of retail investors decreased by about 40-50%, which also caused a staged shortage of pigs. In Shandong and Northeast China, the market is obvious! On the other hand, supported by factors such as rising pig prices, bullish sentiment at the breeding end, secondary fattening, pork storage and other factors, market pressure has intensified, slaughterhouse procurement has become more difficult, and there is no foundation for regional pig transportation, further pushing up the pig prices in the northern market, and then driving the national pig prices to soar!

However, compared with the skyrocketing pig prices in Northeast China and North China, the market in Southwest China is relatively calm. Although it rises occasionally, there is limited room for growth! Due to the acceleration of production capacity in the northern region after the second half of last year, the risk of pig farm disease increased sharply in autumn and winter, and the survival rate of piglets was low, which also caused the obvious shortage of production capacity at this stage; The production capacity in the southwest market is slow, and some retail investors only reduce by about 20%. The risk of pig farm disease is weak in autumn and winter. Therefore, the supply of pig sources in Sichuan and Chongqing market is relatively loose, and the restrictions on regional pig transportation further limit the rebound of Sichuan and Chongqing market!

Therefore, under the support of multiple factors, the southwest market has become the "depression" of domestic pig prices! In addition, the domestic pig prices have soared recently, but from the market performance, the prices of pork and white pigs have been "upside down", which is quite strange!

It is understood that the average price of live pigs in China is hovering around 18 yuan/kg at present. According to official data, the average wholesale price of pork in China remained at 2 1.75 yuan/kg on June 24th, and pork prices fluctuated within a narrow range! However, judging from the quotations of slaughter enterprises, on June 23rd, the average ex-factory price of white pigs in designated slaughterhouses nationwide was 23.32 yuan/kg, and the price difference between the average wholesale price of pork and the average ex-factory price of white pigs was 1.56 yuan/kg!

As we all know, in the pig market, the average ex-factory price of white pigs is often lower than the average wholesale price of pork in the terminal market, which is also the basic law of the market! However, the average ex-factory price of striped pigs is significantly higher than the pork price in the terminal market, which also leads to feedback. Due to the rising price of live pigs, the procurement cost of slaughterhouses has increased significantly, and the ex-factory price of white pigs has increased on average. However, due to the low season of domestic pork consumption, the downstream traders are in poor receiving mood and strong resistance, so the price increase of pork in the terminal market is limited, and some traders and slaughterhouses have obvious losses!

According to the current "gross price difference" of slaughter enterprises, the gross price difference of slaughter enterprises is 5.33 yuan/kg, and the price difference is less than 8~ 10 yuan/kg. Slaughtering enterprises have obvious losses, and the average wholesale price of terminal pork is lower, which further aggravates the performance of slaughtering enterprises' losses! Slaughtering enterprises have the performance of lowering prices. However, due to the difficulty in increasing the supply of live pigs at the end of June and the bullish market, it is expected that pig prices will continue to rise!

However, with the gradual increase in pig prices beyond the acceptable range of market consumers, coupled with the continuous pressure on the breeding side, the pig production capacity will eventually be released. Therefore, due to the pressure of retail pig farms and the impact of secondary fattening on the market, I personally predict that pig prices may drop significantly in August after the middle and late July!

The price of pigs has increased by more than 53%, and the price of Sichuan and Chongqing pigs has become a "depression", and the prices of pork and white bars are upside down! What's wrong! What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet!

# Pig price #