How to judge the rising trend of individual stocks and the analysis of the characteristics of the rising trend

It is not difficult to determine the upward trend of stocks.

When the high point of a stock keeps refreshing and the low point keeps moving up, then it is running in an upward trend.

The difficulty of the problem lies in when this upward trend began to appear and when it was confirmed.

Is it possible for us to catch the signal of the beginning of the upward trend through some clues on the disk, so as to intervene as soon as possible?

The trend theory itself is not difficult to understand, but when to intervene after the trend begins is the biggest difficulty.

As we all know, all trend reversals begin with a rebound, so it is often far from the bottom to determine the upward trend of stocks.

From this perspective alone, trend trading itself is a dynamic capture process, not the whole market.

Similarly, the end of the trend is not a high point, but a downward trend of the stock price.

Trend trading is not complicated, but confirming the characteristic signal of the trend and starting the trend are two key points.

Among them, it is relatively easy to confirm the trend, but it is difficult to capture the start signal.

You can choose to enter the market in the confirmed trend, but the yield will not be too high. If you want to enter the market in the initial stage of the trend, you must understand what will happen in the initial stage.

Similarly, at the end of the trend, we can choose to leave, but at the end of the trend, it must not be the commanding height of the market.

It's like a fish. The head and tail are actually the same dish, but trend trading is like the fish's body.

You can't eat from beginning to end, because the beginning and end of the trend must appear in hesitation.

To really master the trend trading, it is actually to know how to choose, understand what the focus of the trend is, and what kind of money the trend can help you earn.

The biggest feature of the upward trend of stocks is that they keep hitting new highs.

But from the perspective of innovation, it is actually a particularly obvious sign.

It is inevitable that the stock price will rise and hit a new high. In fact, this sign means little to most people.

The problem is, in fact, only this one sign is valid, and the others are invalid.

Some people say that the low point keeps moving up, which is an upward trend, but if the high point is also falling, then this is not an upward trend.

This fully shows that moving up the low point is actually a false proposition.

There is only one true proposition to judge the upward trend, that is, to constantly innovate, and the rest are the basis for auxiliary judgment.

This is just like the market index. If it moves up from the low point, it is always on the rise, but from the high point, it is still in the downward channel.

Of course, if we look at the upward trend from a micro perspective, there are many sub-dimensions besides innovation.

1, quantity and energy distribution.

Let's start with quantity and energy. Many people think that quantity is not important in trend trading, but it is all wet.

In trend trading, quantity and energy also play an important role.

Simply put, trend trading is an upward channel, and in the process of upward channel, quantity and energy must be effectively amplified.

Of course, this does not apply to all stocks, because some stocks, such as Zhuang shares, may shrink.

But from the macro logic point of view, the distribution of quantity and energy will gradually enlarge.

Transaction amount = turnover rate x price

When the stock price goes up, the price goes up. The stock price has gone up, and there are more people who want to sell, so the turnover rate will naturally go up.

Therefore, the overall transaction amount will rise, that is, more funds will be needed to enter the tray.

Unless it is a highly controlled stock, the trading volume cannot be concealed.

And if there is a turnover upside down, there is only one possibility, that is, there is a long-term capital lock-up and a reluctance to sell.

2. Ascending channel.

Another simple way to identify the rising trend is to look at the rising channel.

The ascending channel is actually the connection between the high point and the low point.

There is no continuous breakthrough at the high point, and there is no upward trend in itself.

Similarly, if the lows are lower than each other, there is definitely no upward trend or even a downward trend.

However, most uptrend stocks often have an uptrend channel.

Although this channel has been changing, because the low point has been changing, it is possible to build a simple rising channel with a new high connection and a new low connection.

The general trend of this channel actually determines whether individual stocks are in an upward trend or a downward trend.

Of course, if the upper and lower lines are parallel, it can only show that individual stocks are still in a volatile environment and there is no obvious trend.

3. Arrangement of moving averages.

The third way, which is also the most widely used way, is the arrangement of moving averages.

We all know that the moving average is the weighted average of the price days.

It can be said that if the stock price is on the rise, then the price will hit a new high and the short-term moving average will be at the top.

By analogy, with the extension of the time period, other moving averages will appear below.

The so-called multi-headed arrangement of moving averages means that the short-term moving averages are above and the medium-and long-term moving averages are below, and the arrangement is patchy.

Of course, according to past experience, if the stock price hovers in a certain range, then all the moving averages will be intertwined.

There is another situation, that is, there is a certain adjustment after the stock price rises, so the short-term moving averages may bite, that is, the short-term moving averages are intertwined.

The long-term moving average, because of its long time period and large span, is still neatly arranged in the long position.

The moving average is one of the technical indicators that most easily reflect the trend, which is completely determined by the origin of the moving average.

Learn to look at the moving average, you can get involved in the rising stocks earlier and strive for maximum benefits.

4. Periodic trends.

Finally, talk about cyclical trends. Many people may find it a little hard to understand, but it's actually very simple.

All cyclical trends refer to extending the time to observe trends.

Of course, you can directly choose to look at the weekly K line and the monthly K line.

The establishment of the trend needs a cycle. The bigger the cycle, the deeper the pit of the trend, and the easier it is to form a big trend.

All trends are at least weekly in nature.

Because the intraday trading cycle is too short, it is just a game of pure funds, and there is not much trend at all.

After all, capital is fighting to the death, and the winner will soon return home in triumph, which will not give retail investors too much breathing space and opportunities to make decisions.

The above four points can effectively help to confirm the trend of the stock, whether it is an upward trend or a downward trend. We can make a detailed observation through these aspects.

It is really not difficult to judge and confirm the trend with high accuracy, but it is still difficult to grasp the trend stage.

At the beginning of the upward trend, you can often earn a lot of money. In the later stage, you may just be shut out and can't even drink a mouthful of soup.