On the price increase of vegetables during the epidemic period

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In addition to collecting changes in the international market, the people's livelihood market has also been collected, and the trend of the domestic people's livelihood market has also changed recently.

1, the price of meat, eggs and vegetables "fell together"

The price of vegetables has always touched people's hearts, especially because of the epidemic situation and traffic restrictions, people are more concerned about the supply of vegetables.

After two years of actual combat against the epidemic, we have rich experience. The biggest goal during the epidemic was to "ensure supply and stabilize prices", which was also a major foundation for the country's development in the past two years, so we increased the supply of goods.

As the weather gets warmer after the Dragon Boat Festival, the growth rate of vegetables accelerates, so the listing tide is ushered in.

With the increase of supply, the price of vegetables has dropped.

According to the latest monitoring by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the average wholesale price of vegetables nationwide 19 is 3.3 yuan/kg, which is 5.0% lower than last week and 2.2% lower than the same period last year.

In a word, vegetables are really cheap.

On the other hand, meat prices have also started to fall recently.

Although the price of pork in the market has increased due to the rapid increase of pig price, it is obvious that the market is highly sensitive to the price of pork, and with the increase of price, consumption is rapidly declining.

However, after entering June, the driving force for the increase in pig prices has obviously decreased, so the driving force for the increase in pork prices in the market is also insufficient.

In the latest market monitoring, the price of pork decreased slightly compared with last week, and compared with the same period of last year, the decline rate also reached 17.3%.

Except pork, the price of eggs has been weakening recently, and the wholesale price of the market has fallen below the "5 yuan" mark. Subsequently, demand continued to fluctuate weakly, and the price of eggs still fluctuated at the current position.

2, condiment "pressure mountain"

I remember last June,165438+1October, the market experienced a round of "price increase tide", including familiar condiments such as oil, salt, sauce and vinegar.

The daily consumption of condiments is small, but it is essential.

Last year, many condiment companies announced price increases one after another. For example, the ex-factory prices of soy sauce and cooking wine for cooking rose by 3%- 10%, edible oil rose by 10%- 15%, and vinegar rose by 5%- 15%.

The main reason for the increase is the rising cost of upstream raw materials, and enterprises continue to be under pressure, so they eventually "get together and raise prices".

However, last year's price increase did not effectively alleviate the pressure on enterprises, and the pressure on enterprises is still great.

This pressure mainly comes from two aspects:

First, the cost of raw materials continues to rise.

Take the common raw material soybean meal as an example. In 2020, the price of soybean meal was less than 3,000 yuan/ton, and rose from 202 1 to 4,200 yuan/ton. This year, it continued to rise and once soared to a high of 5,200 yuan/ton. Although it fell back later, it still hovered around 4300 yuan/ton.

Second, downstream consumption continued to decline.

In the condiment consumption market, catering accounts for about 50%, household consumption accounts for about 30%, and the remaining 20% is food deep processing.

However, affected by the epidemic, the catering industry continued to slump, which also significantly inhibited the consumption of condiments, making condiment enterprises continue to be under pressure.

In the first quarter of this year, the performance of major domestic condiment listed companies still fell sharply, and it has not been effectively improved. This year's operating pressure is no less than last year.

3. Will the price increase again?

When the upstream cost continues to be high, the cost pressure will often be transmitted to the downstream, which is only a matter of time.

With the rising cost of raw materials, packaging, labor, transportation and other costs, there is a view in the market that condiment enterprises will continue to be under pressure this year, which is expected to be difficult to alleviate during the year, so it is not excluded to raise prices again during the year.

Arowana, a grain and oil giant, also said not long ago that the cost of edible oil was high in the second quarter, so it is considered to start the third price adjustment this year.

However, there are also views that although the pressure is great, with some grain and oil giants entering the condiment track, the industry competition is more intense.

These grain and oil giants can rely on existing channels to bundle sales, thus constantly occupying the condiment market. Therefore, under this competitive pressure, price increase is not a top priority, because price increase may mean losing customers.

Welcome to collect the "new agricultural view" and learn about the new development of agriculture in the new era.