Will the price of live pigs be greatly reduced this year?

The price of live pigs has remained high for many years, so will the price of live pigs be greatly reduced this year? In Lao Wang's view, it will definitely be.

There are several reasons.

1, the number of live pigs recovered.

The first is the rebound in the number of live pigs. After two years of recovery, vacant pig farms have been restored, a large number of pig farms are under construction or have been bred, and the number of live pigs has returned to the previous year's level.

The recovery of the stock is undoubtedly a great blow to the pig price. Although stocks cannot be converted into pork supply for the time being, it is a signal that pig prices will plummet. Just waiting for the pig in hand to go out, it's time for the pig price to plummet. It takes half a year to raise a batch of pigs, which means that the price of pigs will drop sharply in the middle or second half of the year at the earliest.

2. The pig price is still high.

As mentioned earlier, the number of live pigs has recovered, but now the pig price is still very high, and it can still be sold at around 14 yuan per catty. Before the pig price went up, it was five or six yuan, and there was still huge room for decline.

If the current pig price is 10 yuan, there is not much room for decline this year, but now the pig price is still noble. This year, the pig price has every reason to fall below 10 yuan or even lower, from 14 yuan to above 10 yuan, which can be said to be a sharp drop.

Consumers want cheap pork very much.

In addition, consumers have put up with the high price of pigs and have long wanted to eat cheap pork. With the recovery of production capacity, it is estimated that one catty of pork can eat more than 10 this year. Although the pig price can't be reduced to five or six yuan a catty due to cost reasons, there is still hope that Lao Wang will be reduced to 10 yuan and lower this year.

In short, the recovery of pig stocks means that the supply of pork will be greatly improved after half a year. There is no shortage of pork in the market, so there is no room for speculation. As soon as the pig price falls, farmers will panic selling, which will lead to the pig price continuing to fall. Now there is a basis for the pig price to plummet, only when the supply and demand of pork are balanced, once the pig price plummets.

I don't know what you think of this situation. Do you think it will plummet? Tell me everything.