Bitcoin is sorrowful everywhere, and US stocks are caught in a hot search. What's wrong with this market?

Last night, my friend said that Bitcoin fell by 10,000, and the problem came back. Whether it is up or down, it is normal. Only when the network cable is unplugged can the switch log in. This is the favorite trick of the gambling platform.

Last weekend, I saw someone say: the money I bought has risen to more than 50 thousand and I want to sell it. As a result, the website couldn't log in, so I watched it fall for nothing. It's a pity that I didn't make it myself. My stock software doesn't support me to watch this trend, and I don't know the ecology of this market, so I dare not talk nonsense. I have just published two articles about making millions in succession. I hope my friends can invest rationally and choose the right time to invest.

Now I still talk about Bitcoin as an outsider. In fact, no matter what kind of currency, no matter what kind of transaction, as long as it is listed, it follows one principle: price discovery. That is to say, bulls think it is rising and buy it! Bears think it's going to fall and sell it. The two sides reached a willingness to trade, and the sale was successful, and the price was set there.

If someone continues to be bullish, buying more than selling, then continue to rise. When it continues to rise, some people feel that it has reached their expectations, and they are eager to cash in profits. This kind of business has appeared. When its buying can overwhelm its selling, it still rises! When it sold more and more, the buyers could not bear the pressure of selling and fell. This is the price movement, price discovery, and promotion of transactions.

Then, in my eyes, when was the end of 18, and when Bitcoin was still $8,000, someone held it. Now, when it is more than 50,000 yuan, he definitely can't stand it and wants to cash in profits. This is what I always say: if you go up too much, you will inevitably fall. This is also the inevitable law of price movement. As a technical analyst, I can only explain it from the law of price movement. Other fields are beyond my research scope and are not involved.

Let me talk about the fact that US stocks are once again caught in a hot search. For example, I analyzed Tesla last time. When its price is 75 dollars, it rises to 800 dollars, and its profit is ten times. Someone must be profitable and want to cash it. From last year to this year, US stocks rose sharply. Naturally, many stocks also rose sharply, and they also rose to hot search. When someone wants to cash in profits, they will naturally fall into hot search.

So, I want to say to my friends: You can be calm if you focus on the truth of price discovery and the law of price movement. You don't need to know what's wrong with it, just know: what should I do! Only in this way can we deal with it.

Recently, there has been a very unusual signal in the financial market-the yield of US 10-year government bonds continues to rise.

As the weather vane of the global financial market, the yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds has been rising all the way since the end of July last year, but it has been at a relatively low level. Many international institutions have a psychological critical point for the yield of national debt, that is, when the yield reaches 1.5% or more, major institutions are wary of inflation in financial markets. This excessive inflation may lead to the Fed being forced to raise interest rates in advance. With the expectation of raising interest rates with large funds, coupled with the recent surge in global commodities and bitcoin, there will naturally be a large number of profitable funds fleeing or even shorting backhand.

The key to the skyrocketing bitcoin is that the liquidity of market funds must be sufficient. When the yield of government bonds reaches 1.5%, it is actually tightening liquidity for the market in disguise, so it is difficult for Bitcoin to have enough funds to continue to rise. Not only bitcoin, but also American technology stocks have fallen sharply. More and more investors are beginning to reflect on whether the future growth potential of these large technology companies is worthy of the current stock price and whether the bubble is too big.

Although the ups and downs in the market go hand in hand, there will be ups and downs, and there will be ups and downs. But the logic behind it needs us to explore, do what we can understand, and earn cognitive money, so as not to get out of control and chase after the rise and fall.

For me who has experienced the bitcoin explosion, this kind of plunge has become accustomed to it [covering my face]. In the past six months, the transaction price of Bitcoin has soared from $65,438+$00,000 to $58,000, an increase of 480%. This round of skyrocketing stems from the massive release of water by the Federal Reserve under the influence of the epidemic. The influx of international investment institutions and financial predators into the digital currency market directly pushed up the price of Bitcoin, and other small currencies and mainstream currencies also rose. Some small currencies even rose more than Bitcoin, for example, OKB soared from the lowest of $4 to $23.8.

1, digital currency trading market features: 24 hours a day, 365 days a year; Unlimited ups and downs; Diversified trading methods, spot trading and futures trading;

2. There are many institutions and predators that manipulate the market: digital currency's trading market is obviously influenced by large institutions. Because of its concealment, the market rises and falls beyond ordinary people's imagination, so governments all over the world do not recognize the legitimacy of its transactions. Therefore, the trading market in digital currency is a huge gambling market. Some people get rich overnight, while others return to poverty overnight.

3. In the case that the United States continued to release water, the global economy was stagnant due to the epidemic, and the signs of the US stock bubble appeared, the hot money in the market could not resist the inner agitation and began to become active and wait for opportunities;

Up, down, down, up, up, there is no market that only goes up but doesn't go down. The plunge is the release of risk. Of course, it is not excluded that this is a precursor to the next round of global economic crisis.

Bitcoin is the value of being fired. It lacks the value of social fair currency in circulation, and is just a string of imaginary numbers, which deviates from the market law of currency in circulation. Therefore, bitcoin will fluctuate greatly in the near future. Within 24 hours, 490,000 people exploded in the whole network, and the biggest one was worth more than 20 million dollars. More than $4.6 billion of funds were "destroyed".

Please note that things that really exist will not "disappear" out of thin air, and the money actually invested in the currency circle only flows from one person's pocket to another's pocket. It's just a bubble that blows. Since it is a bubble, it will burst one day.

From the historical experience, a bubble cycle can be divided into five stages: gestation, prosperity, excitement, predicament and recession. Before the bubble reached its peak, everyone was blowing bubbles, and of course there were many manipulators behind it. Everyone and participants see the hope of rising from the expanding bubble. This kind of unearned gain beyond expectations has made those who have tasted the sweetness deeply lost themselves and tempted these people around them.

Some people only see the first half of it to make money, and some people know that staring at the abyss is likely to be swallowed up by the abyss or want to get out. In the end, only a few people can get away with it, and traders have thrown away most of their funds when they are close to the high position. Most people spend all their money on buying classes and become the ultimate pick-up man.

It can be seen that people who invest in Bitcoin are no different from gamblers. This is not to exclude a small number of people from holding bitcoin, just like diamonds, antiques, calligraphy and painting, game skins and so on. Everyone has their own plots, and when you want to sell them, you can get potential value. But if you risk your life, you are likely to be the ultimate receiver. No gambler quits immediately after winning, always hoping to win more in the future, but the facts always backfire. Bitcoin is not a hedge, and its price fluctuates greatly. Speculation in bitcoin may be rich overnight or poor overnight.

What the hell is Bitcoin? Bitcoin is actually a reward mechanism to maintain the accounting system of blockchain. If there is no bitcoin as a reward, no organization, institution or individual is willing to participate in bookkeeping. The purpose of miners' mining is to earn bitcoin. For the whole blockchain accounting system, the more people involved in mining, the more people involved in confirming the general ledger data, and the safer the block data.

At first, reward 50 bitcoins at a time, and the reward will be halved every four years:

From 2009 to 20 12, 50btc will be rewarded every time;

At 20 13-20 16, 25btc will be rewarded every time;

20 17-2020， 12.5 BTC； Will be rewarded every time;

According to this plan, by 2 140, the reward will become zero, and the total number of bitcoins will be about 21million. The scarcity of bitcoin determines that it will have room for appreciation. Many people value the prospect of speculation and bubble blowing. Much like the supreme QQ number of that year, the virtual value of QQ number suddenly disappeared as soon as WeChat appeared.

So which one is the node of blockchain bookkeeping? Satoshi Nakamoto believes that every node in the blockchain competes for the right to keep accounts through "mining".

After the excavated mine passes the verification, it is packaged with the account book and broadcast to the blockchain to complete the accounting process.

"Mining" is actually using machines to solve a math problem (don't try to calculate by manpower). Whoever works out the closest result first has the right to keep accounts, and of course will be rewarded accordingly. The algorithm of bitcoin mining is to do sha256 hash operation twice on the block header. If the result is less than the difficulty target specified in the block, the mining is successful.

The random number nonce can be tried from 0 to 2 to the 32nd power until the hash result is lower than the difficulty target value. For example, after the guess value is entered, the first 40 hash values are all zeros, but the first 35 zeros are necessary, so the requirements must be met.

At this time, we will find that bitcoin is no different from the skin of the characters in our game backpack. Some skins can rot in the street, and some skins can be sold for a lot of money, but if there are fewer people playing this game, no matter what skins are worthless. The same is true of Bitcoin, but it is pegged by a willing heart and then hyped up.

To sum up, the whining of Bitcoin is doomed. Tulip bubble in the Netherlands is the first recorded financial bubble in human history. /kloc-in the 0/7th century, the "futures" of Augustus tulip bulbs finally evolved into a craze for all people to fry tulips among the Dutch who pursued luxury. 1637, an "eternal Augustus" tulip reached 6700 guilders, enough to buy a mansion, but the average annual income of the Dutch was only 65438. The bubble was punctured by a sailor on a cargo ship carrying tulip bulbs. He cooked the bulbs as onions, and finally restored the original value of tulips. In the end, these people who hold "futures" become recipients. 1637 In April, the Dutch government terminated all contracts and banned speculative tulip trading, thus completely bursting this unprecedented economic bubble.

The wheel of history keeps moving forward, and there are many similar cases, but people always repeat the same mistakes. Is this sad? Just as in "Epang Palace Fu", "Qin people are overwhelmed by self-mourning, and later people mourn for it; Later generations mourn without learning lessons, and let future generations mourn for future generations. "

The above personal views are welcome to criticize and correct.

Bitcoin is full of sorrow, which can reflect the popularity of the market. Bitcoin has been rising all the way, and it has long been crazy. It depends on who the last receiver is. It hasn't reached the top yet, so you can be crazy for a while. After all, it has gone up all the way, and there are too many people who are jealous all the way. Now, Musk, who is a rocket, has come to burn a fire to promote Bitcoin. Everyone will definitely enter the market again, so a slight fluctuation will hurt too many people's interests. It is inevitable that there will be crying.

It is normal for us stocks to fall into hot search. As long as there is a decline of more than 2% in US stocks, there will always be news of a plunge, which will attract people's attention. After all, many media companies rely on these news to make money to survive.

Of course, the US stock market has gone up for too long, and too many people are waiting for the US stock market to crash. I just don't know if there will be an innocent snowflake after the avalanche comes.

The previous rise of US stocks was abnormal and unnatural. After all, according to the past, affected by the epidemic, factories stopped production and closed down, a large number of people were unemployed, and the economy was retrogressive. The stock market should follow the law. The United States madly prints money, which makes the world share the pressure and continues the false prosperity of the stock market. If productivity recovers in the future and can bear the consequences of printing money, then the US stock market can continue to rise. Once it fails, there is a high probability that the bubble will burst and the stock market will break.

There is nothing wrong with the quotation of 1. A market without fluctuation is a market without investment value. There is no market that only goes up but not down. It is said that bitcoin plummeted, and the number of people rose by tens of thousands of times, which could not be adjusted by 100 times this time. What is there to worry about?

The market is always influenced by all kinds of news, and the daily ups and downs are also uncertain, because there are too many forces affecting the direction and people's hearts, but this is an opportunity for capable investors to make money. How does the market make people make money? Therefore, the investment market must be a market where a few people make money.

If you want to ask what's wrong, you may need to ask hundreds of questions a year, because novice investors can never understand the fluctuation of the market.

4 the ups and downs of us stocks are basically hot searches several times a month. It's as simple as falling and rising. If you can't understand this, I suggest not to participate in any form of investment, because you are bound to lose money.

In the past weekend, Bitcoin rose one after another, once exceeding $58,000, setting a record high. However, on Monday, Beijing time, the digital currency market changed suddenly, and Bitcoin continued to fall. In the afternoon, it fell below the three integer marks of $55,000 to $53,000, with a drop of more than 8% in 24 hours.

In just one day, the number of people who broke positions was as high as 370,000, and about 24.5 billion yuan was wiped out. The coin circle wails! There are countless cows!

Why did Bitcoin plummet yesterday?

The direct reason is a sentence from the former chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Aunt Yellen said that Bitcoin is often used for illegal financing and is a highly speculative product. As an outsider, let me talk about Bitcoin. In fact, no matter what currency, no matter what kind of transaction, as long as it is listed and traded, it follows a principle: price discovery. That is to say, bulls think it is rising and buy it! Bears think it's going to fall and sell it. The two sides reached a willingness to trade, and the sale was successful, and the price was set there. Therefore, its root is the question of who runs first when there is sufficient liquidity. This is also the reason why Bitcoin started this round of hot market. The epidemic triggered a global economic downturn, and the United States spared no effort to save the economy. Needless to say, Americans are worried about their economic prospects, inflation and the future of their wealth. Some investors think that Bitcoin is an attractive substitute for gold and dollars, and it is a perfect "safe haven asset", so many people chase Bitcoin in the hope of resisting inflation and preserving assets. In addition, the continuous increase in institutional positions has also attracted investors to follow suit blindly, including listed companies and fund companies. Tesla also bought $654.38+500 million in bitcoin, and even the US government participated. I can understand everyone's eagerness to invest in safe-haven assets under loose money, but yesterday's plunge seems different. This round of bubbles is piled up from the flow, and the organization knows this, but everyone has seen it and wants to be the "first" runner. As a result, the disk vibrates violently at the slightest sign of trouble. What is the reaction of ordinary investors? Some investors sold in panic. Some investors get on the bus while falling. But more investors can't see clearly and feel deeply confused. These for the purpose of "hedging" have become speculation.

People on the battlefield seem to have gone against their original intention. Let's take a look at the rising trend again and again. It is no longer a cheap price.

European Central Bank President Lagarde once said that Bitcoin is not a real currency and is often used for money laundering, judging that central banks will not recognize it as a reserve currency soon. Strategists in JPMorgan Chase also said that the low liquidity of Bitcoin means that the trading volume of smiling will cause great price fluctuations. Elon musk also said: It's a little high.

The currency circle is changing rapidly and plummeted last night. Bitcoin quickly rebounded before everyone could understand the trend of the disk. Or like a roller coaster? A dive, you are thrilling, want to jump off the bus. When you get off the bus, you find the car soaring into the sky. Therefore, everyone should recognize their investment purpose, which is the pursuit of value preservation? Or looking for excitement? Is it a stable asset accumulation? Or suffer from the plunge? The most bitter thing in the currency circle is the "players" who came in later. Most of them have no investment experience, listen to the advice of "experts" and operate by feeling. However, we should know that a large number of bitcoins are concentrated in the hands of very few people, who control the price, which also leads to the fact that ordinary players can't escape the human weakness of "greed", lose themselves and lose money in the skyrocketing and plunging.

Essentially, it is a toy controlled by Wall Street capital. Even if they want to fry Bitcoin to 50W or 60w, it's not surprising. Don't talk about blockchain, don't talk about the practical value of Bitcoin, and it's useless to pull those.

Some time ago, I saw someone earning a lot of money and gaining something everywhere. Increasing leverage can easily make them ten times more profitable. There have been a lot of explosions in the past two days and a lot of losses have been made. There are not many people who can really keep their gains and get away with it.

Harvesting capital is heartless, let alone as an investment or gambler. Bitcoin is not for ordinary people to play.

There is no market that only rises and does not fall, there is no market that only falls and does not rise, and monetary policy

This market has always been like this. There will always be a few people making money and most people losing money.

The money you earn is the money that others lose.

First of all, the fluctuation of bitcoin makes the average person's ECG simply unbearable. Bitcoin has always said that there are only 2 1 10,000 pieces, but it can go to many places after the decimal point, which is simply infinite. You can stop trading. In essence, Bitcoin is infinite, and most people who enter the market leave for the benefit.

However, large institutions have mastered nearly 80% of Bitcoin. How do you play it?

Let's talk about the US stock market. This thing has been working with the Federal Reserve to cut leeks, not only in the United States, but also all over the world. As long as the dollar is the settlement currency of all countries in the world, then the United States will be as abnormal as the devil.

Finally, let's talk about our big A shares. China has developed so well in recent years. As a result, A shares fell, Hong Kong rose and we fell. In recent days, all previous gains have fallen. Many people say they want to copy it to the end, but they dare not copy it halfway up the mountain! This is embarrassing! Now the fund can lose 7% a day, which is similar to stocks.

Financial money is really hard to earn.

Borrowing money depends on people.