Why do stocks always earn less and lose more?

Observe the price and quantity during the shipment stage.

Opening positions, testing, sorting, initial promotion, dish washing and main promotion are all means, and making money and distributing chips are the ultimate goal. The delivery stage is the key stage of the main force. Any main force can only turn paper wealth into real money by distributing chips. Therefore, as the saying goes, "the apprentice will buy it, but the master will sell it." It is very important to learn how to sell.

How to observe the clippers pulled by price and quantity

Bankers take advantage of the general trend of fanaticism and popularity to quickly raise the stock price and launch the main rising wave market for retail investors to follow up. The turnover increased significantly, and the turnover rate exceeded 10% for several days in a row. At this time, the market has lost its rationality, and many retail investors will lose their vigilance, leave the risks behind, and continue to chase after buying, for fear of losing the opportunity to make money. When many retail investors snapped up, the dealer was looking for opportunities to ship. At this time, a solid top was quickly formed. Once this is upside down, it will be difficult to untie it for a while. Decisive people can "break their arms" in time, or they can reduce losses; Slow people will get stuck in the mire.

This is how the bookmakers use the retail psychology to get rich. Some retail investors who did not intervene at the bottom of the previous period were affected by this, eager to move, and finally blindly chased up. Some retail investors think they are technical experts and think that there will be a second wave of market, so they buy in large quantities without waiting for the stock price to fall much. Who knows that the market is gone forever.

When the dealer stops pulling up, the retail investors will resolutely leave. If this pull-up mode is affected by inertia and external force, it can continue to rise. Once the rising momentum stops, there will be a lot of selling in the stagflation of stock prices, and it is impossible to continue to rise. This trend is usually made by short-term bookmakers, and the holders of money must not intervene in the middle and late stages, and even the rebound behind them should not be robbed.

The following figure is an example of the trend of 600 127 in May 2008. This stock has a strong appeal. Taking advantage of the general increase, the stock price rose rapidly, and the turnover rate was above 15% for many days, so that all the pursuers were locked in.

How to observe the price and quantity when pulling up the shipment

The method of shipping while pulling up is not to pull the stock price to the shipping price step by step, but to slow down the rising speed near the shipping price and get out of the rising market. This will not only stabilize long-term shareholders, but also attract new retail investors to follow suit, which is in line with the dealer's shipping purpose. Its disk feature is that every time the stock price hits a new high, there will be a callback, and every callback will hit a new high. In the process of repeated periodic pull-up, the dealer throws some chips when the trend is strong, and uses a small amount of money to pull up the stock price when the pressure on the upper gear is reduced. In this way, shipping at a high price and picking up the goods at a low price can make the dealer get away with it smoothly. This method is common in powerful stocks, and the stock itself has a good follow-up theme.

Through this stable trend, the banker has enhanced the confidence of retail investors in holding shares. When retail investors see that the center of gravity of the stock price keeps moving up, they downplay their risk awareness. It is to take advantage of the mentality of retail investors, who sell stocks while raising the stock price, so that retail investors are willing to take the chips thrown by the dealers. This is the most subtle and obvious shipping method, and there is almost no heavy volume in the whole process. Many retail investors thought that the banker was not out, and they didn't know what was going on until the stock price plummeted.

After the stock price rises, the low shareholders lighten their positions when the price rises obviously, and clear their positions when the stock price falls obviously. Currency holders do not participate in high-level comparisons, which are risky and have little income.

The following figure is an example of the trend of1~ 600742 in February 2003. In the whole main push stage, the dealer chose the method of raising the stock price while shipping, and made a substantial increase. The dealer pulls the stock price near the delivery price of 8.5 yuan, arranges it sideways, and distributes it before the peak. Then the dealer began to slow down, giving people a feeling of being ready to go, so the dealer shipped a lot and pulled it up a little. Finally, it was successfully shipped.

How to observe the delivery from the price and quantity?

The shipping method of pulling first and then falling is that Zhuang Jia continuously drives up the stock price crazily, forming an accelerated rising pattern. The volume of transactions continued to enlarge, and the rise was very fierce, attracting many investors to participate, and the stock price was much higher than the target price of shipment. At this time, the dealer quickly sold some of the goods in the plate, which led to a natural decline in the stock price. When the stock price falls to the ideal shipping target price, it stops falling and stabilizes, forming the illusion of "banker washing dishes" on the disk, giving retail investors a good opportunity to "absorb on dips". Because many retail investors dare not buy stocks at low prices, but dare to buy them boldly when the stocks fall, thus falling into the technical trap set by the bookmakers. This method generally appears in small and medium-sized stocks, and the bookmaker is powerful and has absolute control ability.

This is the delivery method adopted by the banker according to the comparative effect of retail investors. If the dealer only raises the stock price to the delivery price range, he will stop raising it and start implementing the delivery plan. Although a small part can be paid, it is difficult to complete all the delivery tasks because most retail investors are afraid to place orders at the highest price. So the dealer will try his best to raise the stock price, and the higher the better. Even if the goods can be sold at a high price (this is extra profit), it doesn't matter if the goods can't be sold. Just keep the stock price down. Retail investors saw the share price drop a lot. Compared with the previous highest price, the stock price is much lower. They think this price is cheap and economical, so they buy it one after another. But who knows that this is the ideal shipping area for dealers. In this way, the retail investors were greatly deceived, and the banker successfully exited. For example, the cost warehouse around the dealer 5 yuan plans to double to 10 yuan for shipment. When the stock price rose to 7 yuan and 8 yuan, the retail investors compared the stock price with that of 5 yuan, and thought that the stock price was too high to buy. The dealer raised the stock price above 13 yuan, and then the stock price fell back to around 10 yuan. At this time, the retail investors compared the stock price 13 yuan, and bought it when they thought it was cheap. In this way, chips will continuously flow into the hands of retail investors, and funds will continuously flow into the banker's account.

Retail investors short when the stock price rises or falls or when the stock price closes at a high level. Currency holders should try not to make a small rebound in the process of falling, because the rebound is far less than the decline. If you are a master of technology, you can participate in a small amount, so that even if you are quilted, it will not hinder major events.

The following figure is an example of the trend of 002406 from August 20th13 to June 10. At the beginning of August, with the cooperation of good news, the dealer pushed the stock price to rise continuously. After peaking at 10.49 yuan in mid-September, the stock price dropped and a peak appeared on the daily K-line chart. Next, the stock adjusted below the short-term moving average for a few days, and then continued to rise, creating the illusion of the dealer's temptation. The wait-and-see follow-up market can't stand the temptation of the rapid rise of the stock price, and the dealer unconsciously transfers the chips to small and medium-sized investors and takes the opportunity to ship.

How to observe the delivery of high platform from the price and quantity

The method of high-level platform shipment is hidden and deceptive. Bankers often create the illusion of high-level shock consolidation, giving retail investors an illusion of security and stability, and bankers quietly ship in batches. Because the banker has a lot of money in his hand, it is difficult to clear the position at one time. Continuing to raise the price will increase the cost, which will make the stock price fall uneconomical and may lead to selling. Therefore, the stock price builds a platform form at a high level, which has high profit, low risk and relatively easy operation, and basically does not need any operation skills. At the same time, the distribution of platform type is more hidden and will not reveal obvious head characteristics. The market is not easy to detect, but it is easier for investors to have the illusion of being ready to sort out. When there is no other selling in the market, the dealer can distribute it calmly, give as much as he wants, and distribute the chips slowly. The volume of this trend is decreasing, and there are occasional pulse-like heavy volumes. Usually small and medium-sized stocks with performance support. It is "natural" that the stock price is high and sideways. With the passage of time, this price will be accepted by the market, and it will not be difficult for dealers to ship. Generally speaking, this method is mostly used in the case that the cumulative increase of the market is not large, because if the market is in a long-term rise, there will be rich profits accumulated in the day. Once there is any trouble, the selling pressure will immediately appear, increasing the pressure on individual stocks, and the dealer will not be able to complete the delivery purpose.

This shipping method is mainly to strengthen the confidence of shareholders. The market changed from a bear market to a bull market, and the stock price developed from the bottom to the top. There have been many sideways upward breakthroughs, which have given more generous returns to retail investors with firm confidence in holding shares, and also left many regrets to retail investors who went out when they were sideways. At this time, there is a sideways trend, and the confidence in holding shares is also very sufficient, which invisibly helps the banker to lock the position at a high position, and also makes great contributions to the secret shipment of the banker.

High-position sideways shipment is mild, but it is more lethal. From the technical point of view, if the stock price rises greatly, the dealer has considerable profits, and has released a lot at the beginning of the sideways, and there are some rumors about the stock, it can be concluded that the dealer is shipping. The possible change position after the sideways position is that when the stock price is close to the moving average, and the three moving averages on the 5th, 10 and 30th stick together, a breakthrough trend may appear in about 7 trading days.

The following figure shows the trend of 002057 from September 2006 to 65438+February. In the trend of the stock, the stock price maintained the trend of the platform at a high level, and the dealer quietly reduced his position in the shock to achieve an ideal shipping state. When there were not many chips left in the dealer's hand, the stock price fell rapidly.

How to observe the repeated shock shipment from the price and quantity

After a long-term rise, the stock price has been very rich, and there is selling pressure at any time. If the dealer maintains the platform at a high level at this time, he will often eat more goods because of profit-taking, so the dealer will take repeated shocks to ship. Repeatedly create shocks in high-level areas, making retail investors mistakenly think that it is a strong consolidation, pulling down the stock price in the shock, and then launching a rebound to attract investors to cover at a low level, and the dealers slowly distribute them in batches in the shock rebound. Dealers increase the range of shocks and increase the distribution space. The higher you pull, the worse you fall, the greater the rebound space, and the more dealers ship.

The characteristics of shock shipment are as follows: ① During the high shock, the dealer occasionally pulls the stock price, indicating that the dealer has not quit. However, at this time, the overall strategy of the dealer is mainly distribution. During this period, the trading volume fluctuated from time to time, but the overall situation did not shrink, but there was a growing trend. (2) If the dealer ships a lot and raises a lot of money outside, it will be very difficult to support the market at a high level, and it will still feel shaky at a critical moment. (3) If the general trend is not good or the dealer's goods are almost the same, he will give up the guard after the high shock, break down and the stock price will fall.

This is based on the retail psychology of chasing up and down. After the stock price rose to a high level, when the popularity was strong, the dealer lost no time in shipping. As the dealer's shipment leads to an increase in selling pressure, the stock price will inevitably fall. When the stock price fell to a certain extent, the dealer began to take the initiative to protect the market to prevent the stock price from falling further and destroying the technical form. The stock price rose again, the popularity maintained and recovered, and the dealer began to ship again. After falling and rebounding, shipment and support, the stock price fluctuated and the dealer successfully completed the shipment. In the process of shock, the dealer is also selling high and sucking low to earn the difference.

An important sign for retail investors to judge banker's shock shipment is short position. Bankers repeatedly ship support in the interval, and because they sell more and buy less, they form a bear market trend. When the stock price falls, the speed is slow and the time is long, which is caused by the banker's cautious shipment, in order to use the limited space to ship as much as possible. The stock price rises relatively quickly and lasts for a short time, which can save control costs. In addition, looking at the volume and the range of shocks, usually the dealer's shipment will cause a large volume and the stock price will fall sharply. If the K-line with large volume and large fluctuation continues to appear, it means that the dealer is shipping and the retail investors will take emergency hedging measures.

The following figure is an example of the trend of 0020 18 from February to April 2009. After the stock price soared, the dealer repeatedly shipped at a high level, and when the shipment came to an end, he gave up his support and suppressed it downward, and the market entered a bear market trip.

How to restrain diving shipment from the perspective of price and quantity

The method of suppressing diving shipment is very lethal, which is intended to make high chasers have nowhere to escape. Generally, bookmakers will make good use of this method when they don't have much money or make a lot of profits (even if the price is lowered several times, they will still make a profit). At the same time, it often indicates that the bulls and bears will turn around, forcing the dealers to withdraw from the village quickly. Or because there is a major negative risk, and the banker knows it first, and he is worried that once the news is announced, it will be too late to ship, so he will ship in advance regardless of the cost. On the daily K-line chart, pulling a few negative lines will also have a very bad market impact on the stock itself, and the popularity will be difficult to recover for a while, and it will take some time to repair. Due to the short delivery time and rapid decline, most dealers can't get away from it, so they have to take advantage of the recovery of the market in the afternoon to save themselves and complete the final delivery task.

The characteristics of suppressing shipments are as follows: ① The stock price has been fired to a higher position, and the cost-profit ratio has doubled or even doubled. 2 the stock price has been in a strong position in the early stage, and the stock price is brave, which means never looking back. (3) At the beginning of suppressing the stock price, investors must be convinced that it is only a short-term callback, and the market outlook will continue to rise. (4) After two or three days of suppression, when the market was alert to a large number of releases, the bookmakers even cruelly suppressed the stock price to accelerate its decline, so that the buyers in these days were trapped and could not go out.

Retail investors should not hold too high hopes for such stocks and decisively go out.

The following figure is an example of the trend of 002060 in 2008+0 ~ April. The trend of this stock is such an example. After the stock dealer raised the stock price sharply, it was distributed by suppressing diving, with the deep participation of retail investors, and the whole shipping process was very smooth.

How to observe continuous negative shipment from price and quantity

In fact, in most cases, many stock manufacturers are slowly shipping in moderate quantities. This delivery method is more subtle. Bankers don't make sudden attacks, but quietly ship when retail investors don't pay attention, which is not easy to cause the phenomenon of following the trend of shipment, and also leaves room for the stock market outlook. This shipping method is similar to the market performance of shock adjustment, which is difficult to distinguish and will make mistakes if you are not careful. The key to distinguish between the two is that if the stock price has risen sharply in the early stage and there is no obvious support when it falls, it can generally be considered as shipment. On the contrary, it can be judged as shock finishing.

This is a "gentle sword" of the dealer, which uses the operation strategy of combining rigidity with softness. When the dealer delivers the goods, the transaction volume is not large, and the decline is not large, which is easy for retail investors to bear. After a bit of tempering, the endurance of retail investors has become stronger. At the same time, it also gives retail investors the feeling of shrinking and sorting out dishes. In this way, the dealer doesn't sell much goods every day, and over time, he gives all the chips unconsciously.

Retail investors leave when the stock price is high. If they don't have time to sell, they can settle on rallies when the stock price rebounds to near the 30-day moving average. If there is no rebound, no matter how much you lose, you must resolutely lighten up your position and leave. Capital holders should not get involved in the stocks whose prices are falling endlessly too early to avoid being trapped. The stock price fluctuated greatly at the bottom, and the trading volume was moderately enlarged, indicating that the stock price was not far from the bottom. At this time, you can properly consider buying.

The following figure shows the trend of 002059 from July 2008 to 10. Stocks are shipped by the method of infinite yin decline. After the stock price peaked, it went down all the way, and the trading volume shrank sharply. The trading volume was very dull, and the moving averages were arranged in short positions. There was no decent rebound during the period. Explain that the intraday market is not taken care of by big funds, the bookmakers resolutely retreat, and the retail investors are getting deeper and deeper.

How to observe ex-dividend transfer from price and quantity

Because ex-rights may lead to market grabbing, ex-rights may lead to distortion of technical indicators and volume histogram, so it often takes a period of sideways arrangement after ex-rights, giving the market the illusion that the stock has successfully bottomed out and is ready to attack again. At the same time, the dealer occasionally uses a small pull-up action to form the illusion of filling the right. At this time, the retail investors chase high and enter the market, which is in line with the dealer's intention to ship.

Bankers adopt this method: first, dividends have always been operated on the theme of the market, leaving room for the imagination of retail investors to speculate; Second, after ex-dividend, the stock price ratio is lower, and high-priced stocks become low-priced stocks (the stock price is still high after reinstatement, far higher than the banker's cost price), which is easily accepted by retail investors. Through this method, the dealer realizes smooth shipment.

When retail investors encounter ex-dividend stocks, they should analyze the daily K-line chart (before and after the reinstatement of Qianlong Software CTRL+R) to avoid technical distortion, and then comprehensively analyze other factors.

The figure below shows the trend of 002032 from the second half of 2007 to the first half of 2008. Stock dealers use ex-dividend method to ship goods. After the stock price was ex-dividend, the dealer shipped a lot. When buying decreases, the stock price keeps sideways, creating the illusion that it is ready to go. Just as retail investors entered the market, the stock price began to fall again.

How to observe the shipment of borrowing Taiwan for acting from the price and quantity

The shipping method of borrowing Taiwan to act is to stimulate people's imagination by using the theme or news of individual stocks, so that you can draw the wrong conclusion that the current price will still rise many times, mislead retail investors to follow suit, and finally intervene. These topics include high performance (in line with the appetite of market speculation), major asset restructuring or replacement (an eternal topic in the market), and involvement in the field of market speculation (such as gene, nano, optics valley, etc.). ), etc. Theme is the driving force of stock price rise. Looking at many dark horses in the market, all of them are backed by good market themes. In this regard, rational investors should specifically analyze the strength of the theme, the substantial impact on the company, the cost of the secondary market maker, the estimated target price, and whether there is room for growth. However, there are too few rational investors in the market at present, and it is not very difficult for dealers to distribute them.

Another method is to use stock reviews to help high-level distribution. In the current market, apart from the level factor, it is not difficult to find that there are indeed some "experts" with professional ethics problems. When the stock price was low, I didn't see his recommendation, but after the stock price doubled, he could collect a lot of good news to support the reason why the stock price hit a new high. If you really believe him at this time, when you buy the recommended stock, you will find that you will soon become a quilt family. Investors should be reminded here that they must form their own investment methods, which are subject to the opinions of experts and are for reference only. No matter how famous he is and how excellent he was in the past, he should resolutely concentrate on his own analysis, clear his mind and make judgments.

The intention of this way is very clear, that is, through the rendering of the external environment, exaggerate the investment value, create a market atmosphere, and realize their own retreat.

The method of retail investors is: first, carefully analyze and judge the theme, news and stock evaluation of individual stocks, and then make corresponding operation strategies. Understanding of themes: ① Fresh themes are easy to be sought after, while old themes are unattractive. (2) Major themes are likely to cause large fluctuations in stock prices, while general themes will not cause large fluctuations. (3) The bright theme can be used as a basis for buying and selling, while the hazy theme has poor credibility and cannot be used as a basis for buying and selling. The suggestion of stock review can be ignored.

The following figure is an example of the trend of 000532 from June to May 2008. The stock price began to speculate in 6 yuan, and then went to 29 yuan. The market lasted for two years and the share price doubled. However, there are still some stock critics who suggest getting involved in the stock market at a high level, and cite themes to prove their reasons: the government work report mentioned the establishment of the Growth Enterprise Market. I believe that investors who participate in it will never forget the "advice" of stock critics.

How to observe the price and quantity and deliver the goods step by step?

There is a certain connection between the way of shipment down the stairs and the type of platform, but it is very different. Platform type achieves the purpose of shipping by making multiple platforms, and the operation method of each platform is the same. When the stock price peaked, the dealer shipped the goods step by step, and every step, the consolidation area could sell a lot of goods. If the follower finds the dealer's intention and follows it, the dealer will consolidate at the next level, lock up a number of locked chips, resulting in a bottoming situation, and he will slowly ship.

This way of shipping is to sort out the stock price sideways after a period of decline, which makes retail investors mistakenly think that the banker is ready to sort out, and the bottom has arrived, so they buy in succession and the banker sells it quietly. Later, the buying gradually decreased, and the dealer pulled the stock price down to a higher level, and then arranged it sideways. At this time, another group of retail investors entered the market, and some retail investors who had been trapped before made up their positions here. Repeatedly, the dealer can successfully retreat.

The best selling point of retail clearance is when the stock price goes up and down. The second best point is that the stock price is near the moving average. On the 5th, 10, 30th, after the three moving averages were bonded, the stock price broke down. The holder waits and sees, and when the obvious bottom shape appears, he will intervene in batches to do more.

The following figure is an example of the trend of 000534 from June to July 2008. Stock traders use the way of descending stairs to deliver goods. After the dealer speculated the stock price sharply higher, when the takeover decreased, the stock price began to fall step by step, forming a number of falling steps. It was not until the dealer basically completed the shipment that the initial stabilization was obtained.

Author: Wei, exchange learning can pay attention to the official account of WeChat with the same name. The author focuses on the analysis of the banker's common means of sitting in the village, reveals the banker's trading secrets in detail, lets investors know the banker's trading details, and deeply analyzes the handicap phenomenon, technical characteristics and the relationship between volume and price in each stage, so that retail investors can understand the banker's intention by observing the disk trend, and then judge whether the banker is sucking goods, washing dishes or shipping. Mid-line stock selection, trading point control, stock consultation, welcome to discuss and study with me, and provide investors with a new perspective and unique way of thinking.