How is the red envelope the most sought after?

Let's talk about the number of red envelopes first. If the quantity is small, it shows that you are not atmospheric enough, while if the quantity is too large, it will reduce your average quantity and make you look embarrassed. Therefore, this must be strictly in accordance with the number of people grabbing red envelopes.

Original code

If the number of people (except themselves) who take part in grabbing red envelopes is less than or equal to 5, give (number-1) red envelopes, so that the fun of grabbing red envelopes can only be guaranteed if one of them can't grab it.

If the number of participants is more than 5 and less than 20, 5 red envelopes can be issued.

If the number of participants exceeds 20, you can also send a 10 red envelope. But under normal circumstances, sending five red envelopes will not appear too much or too little, which is a very satisfactory choice.

2. Red envelope amount

It is important to refer to the amount of red envelopes issued by other small partners, which will not make you look reluctant or too embarrassed. In the red envelopes they send, no matter how big the red envelopes are, some people will rob a few cents, so this has no reference value. What really has reference value is the best amount of luck.

So click on the red envelopes sent by the first three friends and take the average of the best luck among the three red envelopes as a reference, as long as the amount of the best luck in your red envelope is not much different from this.

Ten groups of five red envelopes are counted here, and it is found that the proportion of the lucky ones in the total amount is as follows:

44%、38.4%、56%、44.8%、37.3%、32.7%、24.3%、28.3%、59%、36.2%

The average value is 40. 1%, and we take 40% to get the formula of starting red envelope. If you want to send five red envelopes, then

Red envelope amount =X/0.4(X is the average of the first three lucky amounts).

Generally speaking, if the luckiest amount exceeds 1, we ordinary people will not think that this red envelope is too small. In this case, the total amount of red envelopes = 1/0.4=2.5. So if you give out five red envelopes with a total amount of 2.5 yuan, in most cases, one person can grab a red envelope of around 1. The following are two experiments I did:

To sum up, one 2.5 yuan and five red envelopes can basically ensure the effect and control the cost. And red envelopes always use the money in WeChat change to ensure that we will never overspend.

3, "shameless" remedies

Finally, say a folk prescription that can earn more money and save some losses-yes, grab the red envelope yourself. This approach can not only reduce costs, but also make grabbing red envelopes more interesting. We have a great advantage in grabbing red envelopes ourselves. In most cases, we can start grabbing first. Wechat reminds several people to grab your red envelope at any time, which provides us with data support.

Discuss the strategy of grabbing red envelopes by yourself in two situations.

The first one is that there are so many people gathered in the red envelope in the group. When it is busy, there is no need to think about this situation. If you send it, you must grab it quickly. If you slow down, it's theirs, and the amount you grab first is generally not too low.

In the second case, someone grabs a red envelope, but not so much. Every few seconds, WeChat will remind you who took your red envelope, so you can think about which one to grab.

So I made a statistic with all the red envelopes I grabbed on New Year's Day. According to the number of small red envelopes in the red envelopes, I counted the probability of good luck when I grabbed the red envelope for the first time. Most of the red envelopes I posted in the WeChat group were 2, 3, 4, 5, 10. Take these for example.

Although the sample size is insufficient, we can still draw some conclusions from it:

conclusion

If you send two red envelopes, the probability of the first grab and the second grab is not much different, and the luck is the best;

If you send three red envelopes, you'd better grab them first;

If you send four red envelopes, the third one is most likely to grab the most;

If five red envelopes are sent, the probability of grabbing the fifth red envelope is the greatest, and it is best to grab the first or last one.

If you send a 10 red envelope, the best luck is likely to appear in the last few.