Warning escalation! The price of pigs has risen to the sky, and the price of eggs has broken 6 and rushed 7. The price of sheep and oil is too worrying.

/kloc-in the middle of 0/0, the market of agricultural products rose again, and the live pig market fluctuated and rose, which surprised the industry. The price of eggs has risen to a new height, and the price of eggs in most areas has broken 6%, and some areas have already launched an impact on 7 yuan; What is more troublesome and tangled in aquaculture is the cattle and sheep industry, which is depressed and farmers and consumers don't buy it.

In addition to agricultural products, oil prices are also "disturbing", slightly relaxed, but in recent days, oil prices have risen sharply.

After talking for a long time, what is the market like? What is the ups and downs of the market outlook? Take you to understand:

First, the "forced air" rise in pig prices.

Recently, the price of pigs has been on fire again, rising continuously, from165438+ 12.03 yuan/kg at the beginning of October to 13.77 yuan/kg today, with a two-week increase of 14.6%, pushing the price of pigs to a new height.

The pig price just collected in June 5438+1October 65438+May shows that the whole country is rising again, and the increase is still at a high level.

The market showed that it was full and rose across the board. The price of pigs in five provinces increased by more than 5 cents per catty: the price of pigs in Anhui increased by 5 cents, 14.2- 14.7 yuan/catty; Jiangsu rose by 6 cents, 14.3- 14.65 yuan/kg; Jiangxi rose by 5 cents, 14.2- 14.7 yuan/kg; Shanxi rose 5 cents, 13.9- 14.4 yuan/kg; Sichuan increased by 5 cents, 14. 1- 14.6 yuan/kg.

The increase in other provinces is also between 2-4 gross.

It can be said that the price of pigs has increased by a few cents a day, which should be regarded as a relatively large increase, and the price of pork has also increased significantly. According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the latest quotation in the national agricultural products wholesale market: the average price of pork is 34. 15 yuan/kg, which is 1.0% higher than yesterday, and a catty of pork exceeds 17 yuan; Not only the price of pork has risen, but also the prices of other agricultural and sideline products, including beef, which is 78.43 yuan/kg, up 0.1%from yesterday; Mutton is 67.84 yuan/kg, up 0.7% from yesterday; Eggs 12.2 1 yuan/kg, up 0.9% from yesterday.

So what is the reason for the recent increase in pig prices? According to industry analysis, there are mainly:

First, feed prices have risen, such as soybean meal prices. Yesterday, the increase in some areas reached 100 yuan/ton, and the national average price was 5,700-5,800 yuan/ton, including 5,850 yuan/ton in Guanghan, Sichuan.

The increase in feed prices has certain support for pig prices.

Second, the price of pigs has risen, and the enthusiasm for secondary fattening has risen. There is a problem of grabbing the source of pigs with slaughtering enterprises. In addition, some farmers are under pressure on the supply of live pigs.

Third, the problem of live pigs. Although the current stock is at a normal level, it is not excluded that some pig enterprises make false reports on the stock data in order to obtain more subsidies, so that the cognition of the real stock situation will be biased.

Here, I would like to remind you not to gamble too much on the market outlook. If factors such as secondary fattening and aquaculture expansion fluctuate at the same time, the risk of a sharp drop in pig prices will not be ruled out.

Second, the egg has become a "rocket egg"

Pork prices have risen sharply, but this year's egg prices have also attracted much attention. In the words of ordinary people, the rise is a bit outrageous.

According to official monitoring, the average price of eggs in the wholesale market of agricultural products is 12.2 1 yuan/kg, that is, 6 pieces per kg 1 gross, but in fact, the retail prices in various places are a few cents higher, and the highest area has touched the 7.0 yuan/kg mark.

10 On June 5438+05, the price of eggs in the national egg market increased in a large area in other provinces except Shanxi, Shanghai, Hunan and Hubei.

Among them, the mainstream price of eggs in Northeast China is 5.78-6.50 yuan/kg, that in North China is 5.70-6.25 yuan/kg, that in East China is 5.80-6.90 yuan/kg, that in Central China is 5.78-6.70 yuan/kg, and that in Northwest China is 5.70-6.80 yuan/kg.

At present, the provinces with the highest price close to 7 yuan are: the highest 6.9 yuan/kg in Shanghai, the highest 6.8 yuan/kg in Zhejiang and Ningxia, and the highest 6.7 yuan/kg in Hubei and Shaanxi.

This year's egg price has really gone up, making consumers feel uncomfortable and unable to afford it.

The reason for the soaring egg price has been expounded many times in previous articles. In order to let new friends know the situation, let's repeat it briefly:

First, the number of supplementary chickens decreased in June this year, resulting in a low stock of newly opened laying hens and insufficient production capacity.

Second, due to the problem of masks, the supply chain of eggs in some sales areas was affected, and it was difficult for eggs to be transported into the production areas, which led to an increase in the price of eggs in sales areas.

Third, feed prices soared, and the prices of raw materials such as soybean meal and corn rose. According to industry estimates, the current cost of eggs has reached 4.30 yuan/kg, up 4 or 5 cents from the previous month, which is good for egg prices.

It is these reasons that push up the price of eggs in the off-season, and there is a situation that the off-season is not light.

Regarding the egg market outlook, my personal view is that the risk is increasing.

Because:

First, at present, the price of soybean meal has basically peaked, corn is in the peak season in the short term, and there is also a slight decline expectation, and feed prices are expected to fall.

Second, with the increase in egg prices in the second half of the year, the amount of supplementary columns will gradually pick up, and then the price of new eggs will continue to rise and the production capacity will increase.

Third, such a high egg price will affect the consumption of eggs by some low-income people, who will turn to lower-priced chicken and fish, and the consumption of eggs will be affected.

Third, the price of sheep and mutton is "two key points"

After talking about the skyrocketing prices of pigs and eggs, let's take a look at the hot prices of mutton and mutton in the market recently.

On the one hand, the price of sheep is low, on the other hand, the price of mutton remains high.

Let's take a look at the price of sheep first. The latest quotation shows that the mutton kebabs of Han nationality in Tangxian County, Hebei Province 12.6 yuan/kg, the mutton kebabs of fine wool sheep 13.2 yuan/kg, and Xinmin sheep 13.5 yuan/kg. Henan Lingbao Fattening Sheep 14.0 yuan/kg, Xinxiang 100 kg Sheep Male 13.5 yuan/kg; Shandong bird's nest Korean mutton kebab 13.0 yuan/kg, fine wool mutton kebab 13.2 yuan/kg.

The price of mutton is lower: 550 yuan, a male mutton of about 30 kg in Chengcheng County, Weinan City, the mother cake is cheap and only sold to 460 yuan; Jilin Tongyu 30 kg 550 yuan for female mutton and 630 yuan for male mutton; 500 yuan, a little ewe lamb weighing about 30 kg in Daqing, Heilongjiang.

Jiangsu sheep price is not bad, Nantong fattening goat male 19.5 yuan/kg, female 18.5 yuan/kg.

Fattening sheep in Shouxian County, Anhui Province, 1 10 kg, 13.5 yuan/kg, eliminating old ewes as low as 9.8 yuan/kg.

Ningxia Tongxin 1 10 kg weight 14.0 yuan/kg.

Judging from the price of sheep everywhere, whether it is fattening sheep, lambs or eliminated sheep, the prices are relatively low. There are two main reasons why the price of sheep is not good:

First, affected by the international epidemic, foreign-related enterprises have cut salaries and laid off more employees, which has affected the income of some residents, reduced their spending power and also affected the price of sheep.

The other is the number of aquaculture. Since 20 18, due to the economic depression and high profit of raising sheep, a large number of farmers flocked to the sheep industry, resulting in the number of sheep as high as 319.69 million, an increase of 7.6% in three years.

Although the price of sheep is not good, the price of mutton is still firm, which makes consumers puzzled.

According to the latest official monitoring, the wholesale market price of agricultural products is 67.84 yuan/kg and 33.92 yuan/kg, which is close to that of 34 yuan, but the retail prices in various places are slightly higher. According to feedback from netizens, the mainstream retail price of mutton is between 38-45 yuan/kg.

First, explain why the price of sheep is 13, and 4 yuan is a catty, but the price of meat is around 40 yuan. Why is it so high? Industry analysis: First, the meat yield of sheep is low, ranging from 45% to 55%, which is lower than that of pigs by 10- 15 percentage points.

Second, the sales volume of mutton is low and the markup rate is high, that is to say, only when the sales volume is small and the retailers increase the price can they make enough profits.

Regarding the market outlook, referring to the sheep cycle and market development prospects, the market generally believes that the upward trend of sheep prices will turn to an inflection point in the second half of 2023. I don't know what you think.

Fourth, oil prices are still "rising"

Finally, let's talk about the changes in the refined oil market and international oil prices: within five working days of this round of statistics, oil prices showed "one rise and four falls", all of which fell.

However, according to the current price statistics, it is still in a state of substantial increase: at present, the change rate of crude oil is 3.95%, and it is expected to increase by 260 yuan/ton, that is, by 0.20-24 yuan per liter, much higher than 50. If 10 is adjusted at 24: 00 on October 24th, 10 will be increased.

The price of oil has dropped a little, which will lead to an increase in price. Of course, the increase depends on the changes in international oil prices next week. Please pay close attention.

Dear friends, the price of pigs has soared recently, and so has the price of meat. Eggs are also joining in the fun, and oil prices are going up again! what do you think? What is the price there? Welcome to share the local meat price and egg price for the reference of netizens all over the country.