Why does Malaysia Airlines go to the end of the South Indian Ocean?

Last night, the Malaysian Prime Minister announced that Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 crashed in the South Indian Ocean. Why does the plane fly in the direction of the South Indian Ocean? What are the chances of being hijacked? According to the fuel situation, does the plane flying to the South Indian Ocean mean that it has chosen to commit suicide? In response to questions, the reporter interviewed and integrated.

1. Why does the plane fly in the direction of the South Indian Ocean?

Destination or desert area

Zhang Junshe, a researcher at the Naval Military Art Institute, said that the plane may fly to the desert area of Western Australia, namely Perth, or several French islands in the Indian Ocean.

Zhang Junshe said that it may be that there is not enough fuel, or there is something wrong with the aircraft navigation system, or these places have not been found. They didn't fly to the desert area of Western Australia, deviated from the island and fell into the sea over the South Indian Ocean.

Wang Yanan, editor-in-chief of Aviation Knowledge magazine, said that this was the conclusion reached by the Air Disaster Investigation Office after careful analysis. The basic basis is the six handshakes between the plane and the satellite, in which all arcs are drawn, and finally the possibility of the northern line is ruled out. But there is no detailed statement on how to analyze it.

2. What's strange about the flight route of the plane?

Don't want to find a good landing site

Wang Yanan said that according to the trajectory analysis, turning south before, whether intentionally or unintentionally, actually reduced the possibility of being discovered by ground radar. In other words, it does show signs of avoiding radar. After that, the plane turned to the south and turned to the South Indian Ocean, which also told us that the plane did not seem to be ready to fly to a landing site with better conditions. Think about the ground and fly near the north.

3. What is the possibility of being hijacked?

We can basically confirm the hijacking.

Wang Yanan said, in fact, it can basically be confirmed that this is a hijacking incident, but it is impossible to confirm whether the hijacker is a crew member or a third party.

Zhang Junshe said that the specific cause of the plane crash is still unclear, but from the current situation, the plane cut off the transponder and closed the communication system, and now no clues to the explosion have been found, so man-made reasons cannot be ruled out. Now it may be that people inside, pilots or others hijacked the plane and fled to the South Indian Ocean.

4. Has the possibility of hijacking increased between the captain and the co-pilot?

The crew is the most suspect.

Wang Yanan said that he always thought that the captain and co-pilot were likely to take part in hijacking, because the person who operated the plane and made such a series of actions, including shutting down these equipment, was most likely to be proficient in flying, so he thought that the crew was the most suspected.

Zhang Junshe said that from now on, this possibility has increased. However, it does not rule out that someone on board threatens the captain or the co-pilot, and the possibility of hijacking is very high. If it wasn't a hijacking, it was just that the machine broke down. After the captain found out, he set off from the border between Malaysia and Vietnam, turned back and turned over Malaysia. He should have reported or requested an attempt to land at the Malaysian airport. But he didn't. He cut off the plane's transponder and other equipment, so he did it on purpose. There is a great possibility of hijacking.

5. According to the fuel situation, is it suicide to fly to the South Indian Ocean?

Suicide doesn't have to run that far.

Zhang Junshe said that this is a possibility, but I don't think this possibility is great, because there are many possibilities of suicide, there are many ways, and you don't have to run that far.

Zhang Junshe believes that from the current situation, it is hard to say whether he wants to fly to a place and then land to achieve a purpose, personal purpose or other purposes. He wanted to land on an uninhabited island, or in the desert of Western Australia, but he fell into the sea because of insufficient oil, or because the route deviated and the voyage increased.

Wang Yanan said, at least from the plane route and the final result, the possibility of suicide is still high. But there is no wreckage, no black box evidence to prove this conjecture.

6. What is the general situation of the incident? Where is it possible for the plane to land?

Falling and floating for many days

Zhang Junshe said that the floating objects found at sea by China, the United States, France or other countries are all about 2,500 kilometers west of Perth. But this can't be his exact location. Because it fell on the 8 th, it floats 50 to 100 kilometers every day, and the direction of floating is still inconsistent. Now 17 days have passed, and he may be more than 1000 kilometers away from the original falling position. Now, it seems that his falling position is a little southwest of the South Indian Ocean.

At present, the south of the falling position is about 2000 kilometers from Perth, Western Australia, and about 1000 kilometers from the French Islands in the South Indian Ocean, so these two places may be the places where he will land, and it is still uncertain.

Wang Yanan said that the crash site was more than 2,000 kilometers away from Perth, but the nearest land was the Antarctic continent, about 1000 kilometers. According to the route, it is difficult to guess where he wants to land. Because if he lands, the island in the South Indian Ocean may be his ideal last landing place, and further south, it will be the vast sea. He has flown over 1000 kilometers on Christmas Island, which is his ideal landing place, so it is impossible to calculate where he is scheduled to land.