The national football team calculates the points, just treat it as a Mathematical Olympiad problem

Calculating scores is either a matter of hope or a mathematical study for the flowers of the motherland to learn and use.

We all know that there are 30 games in each group of the top 12. If all wins and losses are determined, the total score is 90 points. If all are draws, the total score is 60 points. That is to say, the total points of each group are between 60-90. These are the two limits. There is currently no draw in the national football group, and the competition is nearly halfway. At present, the draw in this group is only likely to be 5 or 6 games, and it will not exceed 10. field, so the final total points of this group are likely to be around 80-85 points.

The average score is a little more than 14 points among the 6 teams. We will conservatively calculate it as 14 points. Then 14 plus or minus 9 points is the team that is definitely in and out, that is, 23 and 5 points, first and sixth. According to this calculation, 14 plus or minus 6 points is the positive number and the second to last number, which is about 20 and 8 points. So here comes the key point, 14 plus or minus 3 is exactly the score for third or fourth place, or it may be plus or minus 1 or 2 points, or even a tie or goal difference, but in any case, conservatively speaking, third place needs more than 16 points .

Don’t tell me that in the last top 12, South Korea qualified second in the group with 15 points. The national football team had 12 points and was only 1 point away from the play-offs. Syria had 13 points and qualified for the play-offs. This time it won’t happen. Same.

First of all, there were many draws in the last session. In the final standings, the wins, draws, and losses of each team were mostly 433, 334, and 532. As a result, the total points in the group were not high and the average score was even lower.

Secondly, the winning and losing relationship of each team in the previous session formed many chains, and everyone bit each other, so that the final score would be evenly divided.

Let’s look back at the current national football group format. After four rounds, teams with four consecutive wins and four consecutive losses have already qualified. Let’s take a look. One qualifying spot and one elimination spot are basically determined, and the remaining teams are equal to Choose 2 out of 4, and the second to last player will basically be eliminated if they lose another game, so it's 2 out of 3.

So what are the conditions for the national football team to qualify? The second place in the group needs 2 points, which can be achieved by winning the next 6 games; the third place in the group has 17+ points, at least 5 wins or 4 wins and 2 draws, and the minimum guarantee also requires 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. It's not like what many fans said, just beat Vietnam and Oman and steal another game and it's over.

Let’s not talk about how you double-kill and who you plan to steal. First of all, even if you double-kill the two brothers, others will take full advantage of them. The most important thing is whether you will Will they be killed in a double kill by the top three?

That’s it, this is a brain-burning question, feel free to comment!