Guan Yu was defeated by Maicheng. Why didn't Liu Bei save him?

Speaking of Guan Yu's death, there is a very popular view: Guan Yu's defeat and capture were so sudden that Liu Bei had no chance to rescue him.

If Liu Bei was given more time, would Guan Yu's ending really be rewritten? In my opinion, this possibility is very small.

Let's start with the timeline:

How long did it take Guan Yu from knowing exactly that Jiangling had fallen to being defeated and captured? A conservative estimate is 30 days, and a reasonable inference should be about 40 days. The answer can be found in historical materials.

Guan Yu learned from the end of October that Soochow had attacked Jingzhou and that Jingzhou had fallen in the same month. He has begun to withdraw troops and was defeated and captured in1February.

Fear of feathers within the power, think of yourself outside, and write to Cao Gong to beg for feathers. Tso also wanted feather and power to fight, handed down the power book with posts, and let Coss shoot feather with crossbows. Feather hesitated to go.

Leap moon, feather right, attack the police Lv Meng, won the sergeant benevolence.

In November, Wang Bei of Hanzhong set Fan Youwei, the magistrate of Yidu, out of the county, and all the rulers of Zhucheng and barbarians fell to Xun. ..... Guan Yu knew that he was alone, and he was Xibao Maicheng. ..... In December, Zhang Sima Ma Huoyu and his son were equal to Zhang Xiang, cut it and decided Jingzhou.

Let's work out another math problem:

If Guan Yu learns that Wu Dong captured Jiangling on the last day of leap October and was killed on the first day of December, it will be 30 days.

But according to my estimation, this extreme time ratio is unlikely, so it is a little slower. I think this time should be around 40 days.

We still have to think about a question: How long will it take for the news of the fall of Jiangling to reach Liu Bei? A conservative estimate is about fifteen days, and the general situation should be within ten days.

When the later Tang Dynasty conquered Shu, how long did it take from Luoyang to Chengdu? 75 days. You know, this is a large-scale military operation, which lasts only two and a half months.

From the beginning of the war to the fall of Yan, every 75 days, soldiers did not shed blood, and it was easy to use soldiers since ancient times. This is not the case.

How long did it take Meng Zhixiang to report back to Luoyang from Chengdu? 14 days. How long did it take to return to Chengdu from Luoyang after the debriefing? 17 days.

Bingzi (17th) appointed Meng Zhixiang, a left-behind worker in Zhibei Capital, as our service comrade and urged him to go to Luoyang. ..... leap in December, ugly new moon (the first day), Meng Zhixiang arrived in Luoyang, the emperor of the later Tang Dynasty treated him very well.

Renzi (24th), Meng Zhixiang set out from Luoyang. ..... Chen Wu (1 1 day) and Meng Zhixiang arrived in Chengdu.

Some people may say that the road in the Three Kingdoms period is incomparable with the road in the Five Dynasties period. But even if the roads in the Three Kingdoms period were similar, how much could it be worse? According to the ordinary walking speed at that time, it took only half a month to get from Luoyang to Chengdu. The transmission speed of emergency information during the Three Kingdoms period was the worst, right?

Some people may say that during the war, Wu Dong will definitely block the relevant news.

Does that make sense? Naturally reasonable, and supported by historical data:

Go find Yang, fall on his elite soldiers, make white clothes scull and act as a businessman. He walked for a day and a night, and the feather was waiting for him by the river, so he didn't know about it.

In other words, Monroe unexpectedly occupied Jiangling in a way similar to deception.

The problem is that Lv Meng's hidden March is only to attack Jiangling City. Will Lv Meng block the relevant information after taking Gangneung City? Can you still block relevant information? Certainly not, and I don't need it either.

It is for this reason that Guan Yu got relevant information soon after Lv Meng occupied Jiangling. When Guan Yu sent someone to inquire about the relevant situation, Lv Meng not only did not stop him, but invited the relevant personnel to Jiangling City for them to inquire.

Guan Yu let people know about Monroe. He met his special envoy and traveled around the city, asking questions or writing letters to families. Feather people come back, attend the hearing in private, know that their families are safe and sound, and see that they are too ordinary, and feather officials have no heart to fight.

Moreover, after winning Jiangling, Lv Meng will spread the relevant information throughout Jingzhou as quickly as possible. It is for this reason that the Jingzhou military and political officials appointed by Liu Bei surrendered to Sun Quan shortly after the fall of Jiangling, so Sun Quan swept the whole Jingzhou area in leap October.

Will be returned to Jiangling, Jingzhou will be joined by officials; Pan Jun, who worked in Wuling during his autonomy, said that he had the right to send someone to his house to take a bed if he didn't see his illness. He sat on the bed feebly, sobbing and choking. Have the right to call his words and words, comfort him, and let him kiss his face with a towel. When I got up and went down to thank humbly, I thought that I was in charge of China and Jingzhou was the military department, so I asked him for advice.

In this case, can Monroe still block the relevant information of Liu Bei? Definitely impossible. You know, Qin Gui has two or three friends to speak for him. Liu Bei is a very popular person. He has been in Jingzhou for so long, and no one will turn to him, will he? Will there be no one to send him a message? It doesn't make sense.

When Sun Quan swept Jingzhou, the powerful faction in Wuling County still supported Liu Bei in a clear-cut manner and resisted Sun Quan to take over the relevant areas by force. Finally, Sun Quan sent troops from Jiangling to annihilate it.

The Wuling Department is engaged in Fan's induction of various ethnic groups. The picture shows that Wuling belongs to the north. Ten thousand people ask and don't listen; Specially called to ask Jun, Jun replied: "With 5,000 troops, it is enough to capture it."

When the powerful faction in Wuling County resists Sun Quan, it will inevitably ask Liu Bei for help as quickly as possible. Otherwise, how could he have the courage to single out Sun Quan? Besides, without Liu Bei's support, there is no need for him to be opinionated.

Some people may say that it is precisely because Lu Xun blocked the road into Sichuan with his troops that Liu Bei could not send troops to rescue him.

In November, Wang Bei of Hanzhong set Fan Youwei, the magistrate of Yidu, out of the county, and all the rulers of Zhucheng and barbarians fell to Xun. From the beginning, I used fake gifts to invite people to affix gold, silver and bronze seals. When I attacked Shu, all the soldiers of Zhan Yan and Zigui were defeated, and tens of thousands of people were captured and recruited. The right to take Xun as the right-hand guard and general of Zhenxi, seal Louhou, tun Yiling and defend the gorge.

There is something wrong with this statement: 1 1 month Lu Xun occupied Yiling,1month Wuling county sent forces to resist Sun Quan. If all goes well, when Lu Xun arrived in Yiling, Liu Bei had already got the news.

Moreover, Xiangyang, where Guan Yu is located, is not far from the three counties where Liu Feng was stationed, which is the main reason why Guan Yu asked Liu Feng for help many times.

Since Guan Yu served as Fancheng and Xiangyang, he has sent troops to help him. At the beginning of the seal and the words attached to the mountain county, unshakable, not a feather's life.

Liu Feng can prevaricate Guan Yu for various reasons and refuse to send troops to reinforce him, but he will send the information to Liu Bei as soon as possible, otherwise Liu Feng will deliberately murder Guan Yu, which would be unimaginable.

Through the above analysis, we can probably understand the following two points:

First, Guan Yu learned the news of the fall of Jiangling in mid-10 and began to take corresponding military measures (withdrawing from Xiangyang South);

Second, Liu Bei should know the news of the fall of Jiangling at the beginning of 1 1 at the latest (this time may be advanced), and this time, such as Guan Yu's death, is about 30 days away.

Some people may say: thirty days to prepare for a large-scale war and then from Yizhou to Jingzhou is definitely not enough.

I quite agree with that. But if Liu Bei is willing to save Guan Yu at all costs, these 30 days will be enough.

First of all, Liu Bei can send vanguard troops to reinforce Wuling County and cheer up the Shu-Han forces involved in Jingzhou. In this way, Jingzhou will certainly not be completely incorporated by Sun Quan in a short time, and Sun Quan will not send troops to attack Guan Yu again.

Secondly, Guan Yu is an experienced general. As long as he can relieve the pressure a little, I believe he can stay in the ideal city for two or three months, or even three or five months.

In this way, didn't Liu Bei have more time to lay out?

Only by clarifying the timeline can we truly understand the most crucial point: it is not too late for Liu Bei to save Guan Yu, but he cannot lose big because of small things.

In this war, Guan Yu is small and Shu Han is big.

What will happen if Liu Beizhen buys Guan Yu for a month or two?

At that time, Cao Cao was in Luoyang, Coss Huang Xu was in Xiangyang, Sun Quan Lv Meng was in Jiangling, and Lu Xun was in Yiling. How could Liu Bei be prepared for such an enemy lineup?

If Liu Bei had made some preparations, he could have dealt with these two enemies calmly, and the three countries would have been unified long ago. How could Guan Yu have fled in defeat?

From this perspective, Liu Bei can only choose to cut the meat and retreat in the face of Cao Sunke's joint attack. Jingzhou and Guan Yu cut the meat.

If you don't cut the meat, but continue to overweight, not to mention whether Liu Bei can resist the possible joint attack by Cao Sun, it is even more difficult to appease the internal Yizhou strength faction.

How difficult is Yizhou Electric Power School to deal with? Let's take a look at the process of Liu Bei's capture of Hanzhong.

When Liu Bei led the army to the front line in Hanzhong, Chen Shi's army was quickly defeated by Huang Xu. Liu Bei felt that his troops were insufficient, so he wrote Zhuge Liang for help and asked him to send troops to reinforce Hanzhong immediately.

Should we send reinforcements to support Liu Bei, or emphasize the objective difficulties to Liu Bei and let Liu Bei stop? Zhuge Liang hesitated and asked Yang Hong, an influential school in Yizhou.

Yang Hong said to Zhuge Liang: Send troops quickly, don't hesitate! Zhuge Liang is determined to send troops to reinforce Liu Bei.

The late Lord fought for Hanzhong and sent his troops in a hurry. Zhuge Liang, a strategist, asked Hong, who said, "Hanzhong is beneficial to Yizhou's throat. Without Hanzhong, there would be no Shu State, and this family would be in trouble. In this matter, men should fight and women should be lucky. There is nothing to doubt about sending troops! "

Who is Zhuge Liang? That is to severely punish the powerful people in Shu. He has all the wisdom and acumen. How can he hesitate on such a matter?

Zhuge Liang asked to teach Yang Hong a lesson, just to show his respect for the powerful faction in Yizhou and to prevent them from playing tricks behind their backs.

Let's go back to the time when Guan Yu was defeated. If Liu Bei dares to regard the whole Han Shu Group as the antithesis of two big families in Cao Sun for a Guan Yu, what do you think Yizhou Power School will do? I'm afraid no one can say for sure.

There are strong enemies outside and worries inside. Liu Bei can only reluctantly give up Guan Yu. After all, he is the head of a group, and it is impossible to disregard the interests of the whole group for personal friendship.

Some people may say that I am belittling Liu Bei. But I think those who clamor for Liu Bei to put brotherhood first are belittling Liu Bei.

Those who can get ahead in troubled times are lean and determined. If Liu Bei was so big and so small, he would have been eliminated by that man-eating troubled times.

Believing in human nature is always more reliable than believing in friendship. Human beings are always profit-seeking creatures, both of us.