Why have the prices of gold, silver and crude oil fallen recently?

Recently, the price of crude oil in the international market has fallen rapidly. In less than a month, it has dropped from the highest $49/barrel to the lowest 1 18 $/barrel today. What caused the world crude oil price with new york market as the core to fall so irrationally and rapidly? What is the future direction?

After the dollar fell, the United States completed the first wave of economic risk transfer, followed by the second wave of risk transfer after the adjustment period, which was oil speculation and food speculation. However, as far as agricultural product speculation is concerned, the effect is not as good as that of oil, bulk mineral speculation and the decline of the US dollar. However, the depreciation of the dollar seems to have come to an end, and there is no room for interest rate cuts. However, the depreciation of RMB and Euro is stagnant and tends to appreciate. As a result, Goldman Sachs had to raise the oil banner again and make the market expectation that the price of crude oil would exceed $200, thus quickly raising the oil price from the platform of 120 to 149. At this stage, the appreciation of the US dollar against the euro has repeatedly appeared, while the RMB has entered the track of rapid appreciation against the US dollar, and a worldwide inflation crisis has emerged immediately, which has a strong destructive effect on the global regional market. The inflation crisis and the expectation of further strengthening the crisis spread around the world. June and July of 2008, if the future can be recalled, may be the two months when global inflation reached the highest level. With this peak as a symbol, during the Doha Round negotiations, the United States rejected the reasonable adjustment of trade rules between developed countries and emerging countries in the world trade system, made a huge strategic misjudgment of the world and its own future, and lost the last chance to use international cooperation to save the upcoming real financial crisis in the United States. The global integrated economy may begin to show new characteristics: the new world free trade system will crowd out the American factor in the existing international trade system through regional reorganization and mutual integration. In other words, the world economy is likely to choose a new road of world economic integration that gradually excludes the American economy and form a new international economic, trade and financial system. The formation of a new natural gas alliance led by Russia, the large-scale abandonment of 40 billion US dollars of national foreign exchange reserves, and deep involvement in the Iranian issue are all concrete actions of this international attempt. In addition, the obvious defensive macroeconomic adjustment shown by the rapid adjustment of the China stock market to a low level and the rapid economic contraction in the past six months, as well as the recent sudden increase in steel export barriers, have brought a major psychological blow to the prosperous American international bulk futures trading market and have a long-term, far-reaching and revolutionary impact on the future of the market. There are various indications that the world economy is undergoing a revolutionary and irreversible change. The economic theory, economic behavior and economic rules that we used to take for granted may prove to be just tools and lies for a few countries to paralyze the world. The world will redefine and balance the responsibilities, obligations and powers of national economies. The era when the American economy used dollar tools and so-called financial innovation tools to pass on the economic crisis will soon pass, and the whole world will collect debts from the United States.

The sharp drop in oil prices should be an act of self-adjustment of the United States to this unfavorable situation, and it is a passive response that the United States is used to playing with others today. I think it's time for American regulators and royal economists who have been clamoring crazily that the rise in crude oil prices is determined by the relationship between supply and demand and has nothing to do with speculation to show their true colors. Goldman Sachs is worthless. At the same time, the decline in crude oil has lifted the problem of the Fed's interest rate decision this week: raising interest rates will worsen the current crisis in the United States; Without raising interest rates, their own global inflation has begun to threaten their own economic and social systems in turn; If the oil really reaches $200 at this time, Bernanke's meeting will not be held, and it will be a dead end, which is probably one of the real reasons for the drop in oil prices. As for some experts, Wall Street suddenly realized that the world economy has begun to decline, and the relationship between supply and demand of crude oil is likely to change, so oil prices have fallen. This sounds like a humorous joke told by Darkmouth. The person or organization that released the forecast and summary in less than three months is not a liar. What else could it be? The reason for the decline of oil is that the non-OPEC oil suppliers, represented by Russia, copied the back road of the United States, leaving Wall Street busy with sedan chairs. In the end, you have to pay for the sedan chair yourself and lift a rock to drop it on your own feet. High oil prices not only failed to hit the target that the United States wanted to hit, but aggravated its own economic crisis, countered their macro-measures to save its own economy, and put itself in a dilemma of saving the market. Falling oil prices can temporarily ease the dilemma and give the Fed reason to make a decision to temporarily maintain the existing interest rate. If the dollar fails to strengthen and restore credit in a short time, the new international trade, economy and financial system we predicted before will be accelerated, and it will be a nightmare waiting for the American economy. The existing economic crisis will never be solved. At that time, the United States can only admit and retreat to the ranks of poor countries in the third world and restore the true colors of affairs. Or take advantage of his existing unique competitive advantage: start a world war and use the spoils of war victory to restore yesterday's super-economic status. Once the dollar enters a strong position, on the one hand, futures prices such as crude oil will inevitably fall sharply, on the other hand, it is unpredictable, lest the United States have no enthusiasm for restoring a strong dollar.

This article only reminds and comforts comrades who are scarred in China stock market. Don't lose heart, don't be confused by the present reality. Starting from tomorrow, the stock market in China will be sunny.