Can Chinese in China replace English as the first language in the world?

There are many things in history that seem extremely impossible in advance, but they just happened, such as:

1, the Soviet Union collapsed.

The world superpower disappeared overnight. Who would have thought of it beforehand? Not only the Soviets don't believe it, but even the old rival, the United States, can't believe it.

2. The rise of China in recent decades.

An ancient empire that has existed for thousands of years, such as ancient Egypt, ancient Babylon, ancient India and other friends of the same age, has long since vanished. In modern times, it has also fallen into disunity, poverty and weakness. Great powers such as Britain and the United States never take her seriously. China people themselves didn't expect the rise of China to be so rapid.

But China is on the rise. Most people in the world are wrong.

Get to the point: Can Chinese replace English as a global language?

I know that more than 90% people will say, no way. Because Chinese is too difficult to learn, because it is hieroglyphics, and most countries are pinyin characters, because English has long been a climate, because. . .

All this is true, but Chinese still has a great chance to replace English as a global language. The reason is very simple, mainly depends on a country and a group of people. The following analysis slowly:

First, the current situation of language use in various countries. English:

In today's world, English is the most widely used language, and Chinese is the language with the largest number of users.

There are five English-speaking countries: the United States, Britain, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, with a total population of about 450 million.

But many countries use English as their official language and second language, and there may be dozens, such as India, South Africa and other Commonwealth countries.

Besides, English is the first foreign language in most non-English speaking countries. This is why English has become the first communication language in the world.

Spanish:

There are 32 countries with Spanish as their first language, mainly Latin American countries and the Philippines, with a total population of 400 million. Most of the mother tongues of these countries have been lost or rarely used, and Spanish has actually become the mother tongue of these countries.

Chinese:

There are 654.38+03 billion people whose mother tongue is Chinese, mainly in China and Singapore. In addition, some Southeast Asian countries also use Chinese for communication.

Generally speaking, English is the most widely used language, with the largest number of Spanish-speaking countries and the largest number of Chinese speakers.

To some extent, these three languages are the first. If we are confident, China people can now say that Chinese is the first language in the world, and it is well-founded.

Second, the trend of language development. When a country and nation become strong, its language will naturally become the popular language.

Once France became strong, French became popular in Europe.

China has been strong for more than two thousand years, and Chinese has been the main communication language in East Asia for more than two thousand years.

In the past 300 years, Britain was the most powerful, and after World War II, the United States was the most powerful, so English naturally became the contemporary international communication language.

In recent decades, China has risen strongly, and more and more countries have begun to incorporate Chinese into school curricula. This is a trend.

It can be predicted that people from more and more countries will begin to learn Chinese in the future. But now Chinese does not pose any challenge to English. On the contrary, more and more people are learning it.

Third, the natural disadvantage of English. Many people only see the advantages of English, but can't see its disadvantages.

The advantage of English is that it is a young language, which is relatively simple to use and widely used, especially in the fields of Internet and scientific research. Today, the top scientific achievements in the world are written in English.

Disadvantages of English:

1. Too young. Modern English is only about 500 years old and contains little historical information. The historical documents translated by him are easily out of shape, especially the translation of China's historical treasure house.

There are too few English-speaking countries, only five, with a total population of 450 million.

Britain is the only English-speaking country in Europe. Other countries have their own languages, and more countries use German and French. As the birthplace of modern civilization, Europe still has great influence. This is not good for English.

20 16 After Britain withdrew from the EU referendum, there was a news like this: According to Xinhua News Agency, a senior member of the European Parliament said on the 27th that once Britain leaves the EU, English, as the second largest language in the world, may no longer be listed as the official language of the EU.

Although English is popular in the world, it is not popular in Europe, but only as an international communication language. Once Britain leaves the European Union, once the United States declines, the influence of English will be greatly reduced.

The future of English and Chinese depends on two countries and a group of people. Now the United States is the largest power in the world, and China's influence in the world is second only to the United States. The status of Chinese and English in the future depends on who will be the most influential country in the world in the next few decades, hundreds and thousands of years.

There are only three situations:

First, the United States is still number one in the world, and that is to continue the status quo. English is still the most widely used international communication language in the world, and more and more people use Chinese, but this does not pose a challenge to English.

Second, China and the United States are evenly matched, and the outcome is inseparable, shaking hands and making peace. Then both English and Chinese will become international communication languages, each with its own fields of use, and even the two languages will be merged to some extent.

Third, China has the upper hand, replacing the United States as the world's number one within a hundred years and keeping it for a long time. Then Chinese will replace English as an international communication language, and English will become a language similar to Spanish.

It is worth mentioning that even if China's GDP exceeds that of the United States, Chinese will not automatically replace English for a long time. It is a long-term process for Chinese to replace English, which requires special people to promote and take some measures, as well as the cooperation of a group of people.

It needs people of insight in China to promote it and the cooperation of 654.38+04 billion people in China.

If China people spend a lot of time and money to learn English, there are 65.438+400 million people in China who speak fluent English, and English will always be the first language of mankind. There is no suspense. The reason is obvious. Since everyone in China knows English, people from other countries only need to speak English well. Why do they want to learn Chinese?

If only a small number of people in China who need English learn to speak English, others will know it casually, even most people don't understand it. If people from other countries want to communicate with China people, they should learn Chinese well first, and more people will learn Chinese. Chinese will gradually spread and even replace English.

The most "poisonous" tactics: China takes languages other than English as its first foreign language, such as French, German and Spanish. It has also done so with other friendly countries. This will weaken the international status of English, and the international status of other languages will be relatively improved, and the biggest beneficiary is Chinese.

The most realistic strategy: foreign language diversification, not only taking English as the first foreign language, but also taking English, French, German, Spanish, Arabic and other influential languages as the first foreign language, so that they can be juxtaposed and have equal status. According to their hobbies, students in China can learn only one language they like, and of course they can choose multiple languages. Only the language they choose will be tested in the exam.

Of course, when China studied French, he regarded French as a foreign language alongside English, and also asked the French to learn Chinese and learn Chinese alongside English. This is beneficial to both China and France, and the two sides will sign an agreement. Other languages are modeled after French.

This will weaken the status of English, improve the status of other languages, enhance friendly relations with French-speaking countries, German-speaking countries and Spanish-speaking countries, and cultivate a large number of truly international talents, instead of focusing only on English-speaking countries, which is harmless.