Depth! 12 game comprehensive analysis! Patrol team opponents and get a complete raiders.

It has been many days since the Chinese national football team entered the finals of the 2022 FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 2022 Asian Regional Qualifier (12) with three consecutive victories in Sharjah. The excitement and excitement of breaking into the 12 tournament for the second time in a row have long been replaced by anxiety or joy after the results of the group draw for the 12 tournament were announced.

First of all, Iran and Saudi Arabia, the sworn enemies, separated as they wished. It is slightly surprising that it would be more reasonable for Iraq to replace China in Group B, which was originally based on this principle. However, due to the mediation of some political factors in the Asian football circle, China was "lucky" not to enter Group A, which was surrounded by strong enemies. As for the specific reasons, this article will not press the table for the time being.

Secondly, because the trend of "no one in the DPRK" in AFC has become more and more obvious in recent years, the South Korean team has been divided into Group A surrounded by wolves in West Asia, and the actual situation is not optimistic. After all, South Korea can walk sideways in East Asia, but in West Asia, West Asians who are good at hiding their positions will not let South Koreans take away three points so easily. This is an extremely changeable problem. In response to this lottery result, Korean domestic media are divided into two camps. One camp is an optimist, who thinks that all the opponents in Group A can't beat except Iran, the old rival. Another pessimist thinks that South Korea is selected into Group A and is doomed to be bitten by wolves in West Asia. After all, South Korea never took much advantage in the Western Expedition.

Back to the situation of China team, the domestic media generally divided the lottery results into two kinds of judgments: "winning the lottery" and "winning the lottery". Then let's analyze a question first, whether the judgment of the media is fair. Why didn't the media comments such as "signing up" and "signing down", which often appeared in the previous 12 top-level events, appear in the judgment? Because it is an indisputable fact that China's own situation is getting worse and worse, even with the help of naturalized players, the problems of shallow foundation, weak youth training and self-reliance are still very serious. In this top 40 competition, China ranked first among all participating teams with an average age of 30.7 years, which is the best proof; At the same time, the top three opponents designated by the China team are: the light of Asia-the Japanese team; Australia, the overlord of Oceania; World Cup regulars-Saudi Arabia. For such three opponents, we really don't have too optimistic capital. Therefore, there is no such thing as "signing the contract".

So what is the reason why the "signing" is not established? After the lottery results came out, the media unexpectedly found that China had an advantage over most opponents in the preliminaries, so media friends agreed that the lottery results were not bad. Meanwhile, after all, there are two "boys" in this group-Oman and Vietnam. In fact, the strength of Oman and Vietnam is not bad. Both teams tied with the seed team in the group stage of the top 40, just because they were not as good as the major powers after entering the 12. However, it is obviously a little underestimated to regard it as a "boy".

Next, let's visit our main competitors. On September 7th, the China team will face the Japanese team, the strongest opponent in this group, at home. As an invincible warship in Asia for many years, Japan's performance can stand the test in any competition. Even in the World Cup, European and American powers never dared to despise the excellent Japanese team. In recent years, due to the substantial improvement of national physical fitness, the standard of player selection is also rising. Today's Japanese players are no longer technically excellent and physically weak, but are leading in technology, body and consciousness. According to a recent data, the number of Japanese players in Europe has reached 535, but there is obviously a huge gap in China. Therefore, in this 12 tournament, China team should not only learn from its powerful opponents, but also be prepared to fight to the end. After all, North Korea in 20 10, as a fishing club in the 10 championship, is in the same group as Japan, Iran and Saudi Arabia, and can advance to the World Cup with its head held high. Its brave and tenacious playing style and indomitable willpower are the core magic weapons. In this 12 match, if China can get 1 point in both home and away matches, it is basically 80 points; If you can get 3 points, Tie Jiajun can get 100 points. At the same time, the situation of this group may be worrying. If we can get the points of 1-3 from the strongest opponent, it will be very helpful for the group to qualify and will also greatly inspire confidence.

On September 1 day, China will play the Australian team "Light of Oceania". The last official match between China and Australia dates back to the 20 15 Asian Cup in Australia. In the final of14, China lost 2-0 to Australia. At that time, the author watched the whole game, and China played well in the group stage and was regarded as a dark horse in that game. However, after the knockout match with Australia, the whole game was absolutely passive and there was no strength to fight back. To tell you the truth, I was desperate in that game. What makes people desperate is not the score, but what is reflected in the scene. China team is at a disadvantage in physical confrontation, technology, tactical thinking and consciousness. Six years later, China added five naturalized players, almost all of whom were central axis players. Huang Jianxiang, a famous football commentator, recently pointed out that this Australian team has been going downhill in recent years, and there are no superstars, but its strength is just beyond Australia's level. Much as I admire Mr Huang Jianxiang, I really don't agree with this statement. The lean camel is bigger than the horse, and the Australian team ranks between 30 and 40 in the world all the year round. It belongs to a second-rate team in the world and is definitely the overlord in Asia. And even if there are no superstars in the team at present, the players are of average ability, and they all play in Europe, and their strength is still very strong. Therefore, if China can score 3 points in the two matches that challenge Australia in the 12 tournament, it will definitely be satisfactory, and 1 point is a passing score. It will be a great surprise if it can exceed 3 points.

The first match is on June 5438+ 10, the last day of China National Day, and China will play against Vietnamese team at home. Although Vietnam has not played against China in official competitions for many years, there are really many sources of public opinion between China and Vietnam. First of all, eight years ago, after China's men's soccer team defeated Thailand with15 at home, Fan Zhiyi, a famous football player in China, said in an interview: If we continue to lose like this, we will lose Vietnam, Vietnam and Myanmar, and then no team can lose. In addition, some time ago, Vietnamese media made it clear that they wanted to be in the same group with China before the draw at the top of 12, because they could get 6 points from China. After the lottery results came out, the Vietnamese media voiced again, claiming to win the two-round match against China with10-0. It is true that we know that the Vietnamese media are only a little overexcited because they entered the top competition of 12 for the first time in history, but it is an indisputable fact: this neighbor is arrogant. This time, the Vietnamese team finally came to Big Brother. Can China smooth its arrogance by crushing it, or make the words directed by Fan Zhiyi many years ago become a prophecy? According to the author's observation, Vietnamese football has benefited from the achievements of youth training in recent years and made great achievements in the field of youth teams. In this top 40 competition, the average age of the Vietnamese team is only 25.2 years old, and we can already see the outstanding achievements of youth training in recent years. In addition, after hiring South Korean Park Huanxu as the head coach, it brought tactical concept reform and talent system construction to the Vietnamese team. Today's Vietnamese team is really not under Amon, but the shortcomings of the Vietnamese team are still obvious. The average height of Vietnamese athletes is only 175.6cm, while the average height of China athletes participating in this competition is 180.6cm. At the same time, the height disadvantage is obvious, and the confrontation ability is also obviously at a disadvantage. Moreover, because this competition is the first time in its history to participate in the top 12 competition, there is a possibility of insufficient competition experience. As a typical youth army, it does have abundant physical strength and fierce fighting spirit. However, once the first two games are unfavorable or even hit, whether this youth army can bear it still needs a big question mark. In the two-round match with Vietnam, although the domestic media clamored for all six points, we should rationally analyze the situation. There is no weak team in 12. If you treat others like fish bellies, maybe others will treat you like fish bellies. Therefore, four points against Vietnam in two rounds is the passing line, and six points is the perfect score.

In the second match of 5438+ 10 June, China will go away to challenge Saudi Arabia, a superpower in West Asia. In recent years, Saudi Arabia's performance has been quite stable, and it has been at the end of the first-class teams in Asia and the leading position of the second-class teams. The last match between Saudi Arabia and China was in the Asian Cup group match in the 20 15 season. At that time, China beat Saudi Arabia with Wang's free kick and Yu Hai's free kick, but I don't think China is better than Saudi Arabia. Judging from the record of the past years, China can basically split 50-50 when facing Saudi Arabia at home, but there is almost no chance in the away game. Judging from the current strength of the China team, if it can be naturalized in Kardec before the start of the 12 tournament, there is still a chance to win a good result with the Saudi team. Therefore, in the two matches with Saudi Arabia, if China's ultimate strategic goal is to enter the World Cup, it must score at least 3 points. If we can get 4 points, the situation will change, and Saudi Arabia will be at an absolute disadvantage in the qualifying competition with China.

In the first match of 1 1, China will face Oman, the last opponent in the first round, at home. After the draw, many fans and friends were optimistic, because they beat Oman in the fifth game. Admittedly, Oman seems to be a better opponent than Syria. But we should also see that Oman's head coach is Ivanovich who once coached Shandong Luneng. His knowledge of China football is his advantage. At the same time, Ivan's coaching style is conservative, so he is likely to play a steady counterattack when he challenges China away. At present, China's defense line is not afraid of the impact of positional warfare, but it seems a little flustered when facing the opponent's quick counterattack. So Oman is not necessarily a good team.

Of course, in the end, we must make it clear that if the goal of 12 China Men's Football Championship is not just to go through the motions, but to enter Qatar, then many of our analyses are redundant. China men's soccer team should put aside a lot of comments from the outside world, cross the rubicon with the attitude of defeating the strong, play every game well and get every point. Only in this way can we have a chance to enter the World Cup again after 20 years.

Come on, China! Come on, my home team forever!