The official played a "combination boxing" to support soybeans, "one expansion and one stability", and the pattern was opened!

I believe everyone has noticed that in the past two years, in addition to the popularity of corn, the collection of soybeans has also increased rapidly.

Especially since the No.1 document of last year explicitly proposed to expand soybean planting, the soybean collection has soared in an instant.

Last year, China's soybean planting area reached 154 million mu, up by 22.2% compared with 221, and the soybean output reached 2.28 million tons, up by 23.7% compared with 221. The overall soybean self-sufficiency rate increased by 3.69% compared with the previous year, and achieved very good results.

nevertheless, our import volume is still very large.

Last year, the import volume of soybeans was 91.81 million tons, which was lower than the previous year, but it was still a huge figure.

for this reason, in this year's No.1 document, it continues to explicitly mention the expansion of soybean, and clearly proposes to ensure that the soybean oil area is stable at more than 35 million mu, and strive to expand soybean oil by more than 1 million mu.

Therefore, under this goal, recently, the Central Agricultural Office coordinated various departments to issue a package of policies and measures to stabilize soybean production.

With the introduction of these support measures, the pattern of "one expansion and one stability" in the grain sector has gradually become clear this year.

"One expansion" means soybean planting, and the policy mainly involves five aspects of support:

First, increase soybean subsidies.

Because the planting area and time overlap between corn and soybean is very high, although the price of soybean is higher than that of corn, the yield per mu is much lower than that of corn, so the overall income is not high.

in order to improve farmers' enthusiasm for planting beans, it is an important measure to use subsidies to improve the income of planting beans.

At present, according to the soybean subsidies announced in some areas of three provinces and one district, it has increased. According to this trend, the subsidies in other temporarily unpublished areas will not be low, and the overall subsidies will be higher than last year.

in addition, the incentives for major grain-producing counties have also been improved, and the main producing areas have been guided to grow soybeans, especially family farms, cooperatives, agricultural enterprises and other business entities to undertake soybean production.

the second is to intensify policy acquisition.

This year, soybeans have gone out of a pattern of "high opening and low going". On the one hand, the quality of soybeans in Northeast China has declined due to the weather this year, and it is a bit difficult to sell. On the other hand, the consumption has not surged in the post-epidemic era, and the downstream consumption is sluggish and the demand is not smooth, which also makes the soybean price fall.

This has led to a high selling pressure of soybeans after the year.

In order to solve this problem, China Grain Storage Company started to raise prices to collect beans, and ignored protein, which greatly boosted the soybean market sentiment.

the third is to expand the area of crop rotation.

The policy proposes to support grain-soybean rotation, guide farmers to rationally arrange planting structure and expand soybean planting area.

the fourth is insurance and credit support.

increase the financial and credit support for soybeans, and expand the scope of the pilot counties of full cost insurance and planting income insurance for soybeans, so as to cover the soybean.

finally, strengthen technical support.

Especially for the key producing areas, we will implement the action of increasing soybean yield per unit area, and do everything possible to increase soybean yield, improve quality and increase efficiency.

The "one stability" means stabilizing corn, which is mainly supported by three aspects:

First, the total amount of subsidies has increased.

before, the market has been worried that the increase of soybean subsidies is a high probability event because the signal of soybean expansion is very clear, and the price difference with corn will further widen, so it is likely to increase soybean subsidies by reducing corn subsidies.

However, this policy explicitly mentions increasing the total amount of subsidies, which means that the probability of corn subsidies will not decrease, and it may be the same as last year.

This also gives corn a reassurance, because although the yield of corn is high, the planting cost has increased a lot in recent two years, and the price of corn is still unstable, which also worries the market.

But this time, the signal of stabilizing corn is very clear.

the second is to expand the demonstration area of soybean and corn strip compound planting in Huang-Huai-Hai, Southwest, Middle and Lower Reaches of Yangtze River and Northwest China.

Because soybean and corn love each other and kill each other, last year, soybean-corn strip composite planting achieved good results, which alleviated the conflict of soybean-corn planting to a certain extent. This year, the demonstration area of planting will continue to be expanded, which will also alleviate the decline of corn planting area caused by expanding soybean planting to a certain extent.

thirdly, increasing the yield per unit area of corn has become a key task.

corn is the largest grain variety in China, with the highest total output and huge demand. In order to increase soybean yield, corn will inevitably give up part of its planting area. In order to make up for this hard reduction, Document No.1 this year clearly stated that in 223, the focus will be on increasing the yield of corn.

Therefore, it can be seen that expanding beans does not suppress corn, and it is equally important to stabilize corn while expanding beans.

With the introduction of this series of policy measures, it means that the pattern of "one expansion and one stability" between soybeans and corn has been opened, and it also means that the bottom support of both soybean prices and corn prices is very obvious.

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