The national property market is in a downturn, and intermediary friends go to deliver takeout. How can real estate break?

In the post-epidemic era, except for a wave of recovery in the real estate market in some core cities, the national property market was silent, and there was no scene that many people predicted that the property market would blow out again. Many people make subjective assumptions based on the dependence of economic development on the property market in the past 2 years, and there will be a strong rebound after every fluctuation.

However, the real estate industry experts miscalculated this time. They underestimated the determination of the state not to speculate in housing, and thought that land finance would continue to be popular. However, through financial regulation and policy adjustment, the state kept the real estate on the ground and then rubbed it. I still admire a part of the real estate industry. Looking at the situation of the country, the tone immediately changed, and the developers and industries began to spray, and they rushed to tell the house prices like onions! Whenever I am in a bad mood, I will also look at the quotations of these industry experts. Singing up and down can really switch back and forth, and there is a split personality. I really should answer that sentence. Life is like a play, and it depends on acting.

the main theme of the real estate market is stability, and the era of skyrocketing has passed. Even if individual cities want to emerge, they will be taken back by short-term regulatory policies; But will house prices plummet? I guess many people can't see that day. From Yueyang, Hunan Province to Jiangyin, Jiangsu Province, the restrictions on the decline of many cities are to stabilize house prices. In the future, the fluctuation of transaction volume will be normalized, but the price will not fluctuate greatly, that is, the core cities will still rise steadily and slightly, and the cities below the third and fourth lines will have a price but no market.

Dagang and I have known each other for 1 years. We once worked together in Beijing, that is, standing in the community, distributing leaflets and selling houses together. In 216, he transferred through the company and went to Shenzhen to sell a house. We often chat on WeChat. Not long after he went to Shenzhen, he took his family to Huizhou, bought a house there, and his children went to school. He occasionally looked at his circle of friends and looked very happy. Not long ago, after the accident of Shenzhen Real Estate Management, the Shenzhen property market suddenly cooled down, and many employees left their jobs. Dagang called me and asked if there was a big impact around Shanghai. I said that the transaction volume around Shanghai had declined, but it would pick up in September. He said that he hasn't paid the bill for more than half a year, and he has laid down several sets of second-hand houses. He can't live on that income, let alone support his family, and this situation is not universal.

Dagang is in a panic now, and has basically lost confidence in the market and the future. Recently, he went to work during the day and rode an electric car through the streets after work, not stepping on the plate, but delivering takeout. Some people make fun of it on the Internet. The intermediary is unemployed, so it is very advantageous to make takeout. It is familiar with the community. It is simply a living map, and mobile navigation is a decoration. Dagang said that the real estate is hopeless. Now he is running for take-out. Recently, he is going to find a suitable factory to work. After selling the house for more than ten years, he suddenly found that he can't do anything. Men are afraid of entering the wrong line, and women are afraid of marrying the wrong man.

I have dabbled in real estate, transactions and real estate media for more than ten years. In my opinion, at this stage, I don't need to be too pessimistic about the real estate market, but I don't want to be too optimistic as chicken blood, and keep a normal heart. Government finance will definitely change from over-reliance on real estate to industries of industry, manufacturing and science and technology. This process will definitely eliminate some unsuitable employees and make the industry develop in a more standardized direction, just like our parents were suddenly laid off in those years, but no one will starve to death, and short-term pain will bring a new side.

If you have any questions about buying houses in the surrounding areas of Shanghai, you can write privately, and I will give you a reply as soon as possible.