Why Russia attack Ukraine (that root cause of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war)

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out around the issue of eastern Ukraine, which was caused by both historical reasons and Zelensky's coquettish operation in recent two years.

Geographically, Wudong area borders Russia in a large area and guards the Black Sea. At present, Ukraine is actively joining NATO. If successful, this means that NATO troops will be deployed directly to Russia's doorstep. Russia can not only dissolve the Black Sea Fleet directly, but also permanently lose the strategic passage in the direction of the Black Sea. Therefore, Russia's aim is to control the Black Sea and at the same time form a buffer zone during NATO's eastward expansion, so as to alleviate the border pressure.

Wudong region is an important energy and industrial base in Ukraine, and even an important economic center in Ukraine. Once Ukraine becomes independent, it will not only suffer heavy losses in economy and resources, but also be strategically surrounded by Russia, which is even more dangerous. Therefore, Ukraine mainly considers from the perspective of economy and resources to ensure that Udong will not become independent.

The root cause of the Russian-Ukrainian war

The conflict between Ukraine and Russia is caused by complicated historical reasons and geopolitical changes.

The first aspect is the historical origin. Ukraine and Russia are closely linked in history. After the end of the Cold War and the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Ukraine's main politics and Russia maintained a relatively close and mutually recognized cooperative relationship to some extent.

However, due to the change of Ukraine's political orientation, it turned to be pro-Western, and tried to control Russia according to the United States, which led to prominent ethnic contradictions within Ukraine and the political relations between Russia and Ukraine fell into an antagonistic state. Russia is worried that pro-Western Ukraine may even join NATO, completely eliminate its strategic buffer zone, and make western military forces reach the country completely, which will become a direct strategic threat to Russia.

From the origin of this historical development, the historical entanglement between Russia and Ukraine led to the division of the pro-Russian Donbass region in Ukraine, and Ukraine became the frontier of confrontation between Russia and the West. Obviously, this change in Ukraine has led to sharp opposition between Russia and Ukraine.

The second aspect is the result of international political changes. First of all, there are structural contradictions between transatlantic and Europe and Russia, including structural contradictions between Russia and NATO, Russia and the United States, and Russia and Europe. At present, under the constant provocation of the United States, the two sides are in a state of direct confrontation.

From the perspective of western international political tradition, European and American countries have a concept of geopolitical theory, which holds that Russia, as a land power, is located in the center of the Eurasian continent, which has always constituted a huge suppression force from land to sea for European countries and even countries on both sides of the Atlantic. This situation has existed for hundreds of years.

During the Cold War, the Soviet Union and now Russia maintained a prominent oppressive geographical advantage over Europe or NATO countries. In order to eliminate this threat, western countries try to push this threat as far as possible to the Russian border through NATO's eastward expansion, thus greatly limiting Russia's strategic behavior and ensuring the absolute security of NATO or Europe.

During the Cold War, the United States formed the theory of controlling the "marginal zone" of Eurasia to curb the "external expansion" of the Soviet Union. Today, the United States is still trying to use the concerns of European powers and Russia to provoke European allies against Russia.

In this way, the United States can better grasp Europe, bring European powers such as Germany and France into the geo-strategic track of the United States, support the leadership position of the United States, and fully serve the strategic interests of the United States in pursuing global leadership. To this end, the United States needs to regard Russia as an important strategic opponent and push Russia into the trap of confrontation with Europe, thus controlling Europe.

The third aspect is caused by the complex geopolitical changes around Russia. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, a series of independent sovereign countries appeared around Russia, but these countries have complicated historical origins with Russia. Geographical proximity and historical connection lead to geopolitical contradictions between Russia's neighboring countries and Russia itself.

The geopolitical relations in three directions around Russia are complicated. The first is Central Asia, exemplified by the recent turmoil in Kazakhstan and the intervention of the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization. Second, in the Caucasus, war broke out between Russia and Georgia in 2008; Third, Eastern Europe, where Ukraine is located, has a vital relationship with Russia.

Latest information on the situation in Ukraine

1, Russian Ministry of Defence: Using precision guided weapons to destroy Ukrainian military facilities and air forces.

On February 24th, the Russian Defense Ministry said that it was using precision-guided weapons to destroy the military infrastructure, air defense facilities, military airports and aviation units of the Ukrainian army. In addition, the Russian Defense Ministry stated that the attack on Ukraine did not endanger the safety of civilians.

2. Russia's landing began in the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov.

On February 24, local time, Ukrainian military facilities were attacked by missiles. Landing operations of the Black Sea Fleet in the Sea of Azov and the Sea of Odessa have begun. At present, Russian troops have broken through the border of Kharkov, and the command post of Ukrainian troops in Kharkov has been attacked by rockets.

3. The whole territory of Ukraine is in a state of war.

Ukrainian President Zelensky said in a speech that the whole territory of Ukraine has entered a state of war.

Ukraine has announced the closure of its national airspace.

On February 24, local time, the Ukrainian administrative department announced the closure of the entire airspace. Earlier, the Russian Aviation Administration had informed civil aviation companies that the airspace in the border area with Ukraine had been closed.

Refer to the above? Public trust. Com- Russia and Ukraine "What's the hurry?" Expert: Historical origins are superimposed with complex status quo.

Ukraine suddenly announced its surrender to Russia.

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine began on February 24, and it has been more than half a year now. At first, it was estimated that Russia wanted to solve the problem within two months, but now half a year has passed, Russia's progress in Ukraine is not very smooth, and until now, Russia and Ukraine have not reached an agreement on a ceasefire. Therefore, Russia is riding a tiger and has to continue to fight in Ukraine, but after a long time, the situation may not be easy to control.

Of course, the Russian-Ukrainian war did not lose the control of Putin the Great, but it was impossible to follow the expectations of Putin the Great. This is the original appearance of war. It is a game of various comprehensive forces of both sides and even many parties. There is always a part that exceeds your expectations, but it will never get out of control. Before the start of the war, the Russian side must have made all kinds of war deduction, what measures to take and what purpose to achieve, and there must be speculation about NATO support. Without NATO's participation, the war would be too simple. As netizens expected, Putin will win Ukraine in one fell swoop with a blitzkrieg, but how can the United States and NATO stop their steps?

In fact, the current war scene is a struggle between Russia, the United States and NATO, and Ukraine is only the victim and their battlefield. The United States and NATO hope to sanction Russia through war and drag down the Russian economy; Russia expects to open a new world pattern through war and get out of the predicament. The United States and NATO concluded that Russia could not afford to spend too long, and the economy supporting the war was too weak, so they continued to transport property and weapons to support Ukraine and fight a protracted war. Russia attacked the hegemony of the dollar through the ruble trade and alienated NATO; I hope to find evidence from American laboratories, tear off America's disguise and expose the true face of America.

In addition, this war seems to be small in scale, but it is a comprehensive stimulus to many contradictions. The expansion of the United States and NATO will gradually erode Russia. Russia is bound to resist. If Russia does not have a strong nuclear deterrent, the United States and NATO will mutually perish. I wonder what kind of bullying Russia will suffer. If this group of unscrupulous capitalists are allowed to expand endlessly, people will face endless squeezing of capital and will not be protected in the face of war and disease.

Therefore, in this war, Russia will swear to break the feet of NATO expansion! Rich capitalists in the United States and NATO must first save their lives, so they will not leave in person; Then take the money they harvest from all over the world and let others work for them.

Russian help to China was rejected.

In the process of continuous development, China researchers have developed a series of weapons and equipment. For example, a few years ago, when the c9 19 plane set sail smoothly, it attracted wide attention from all countries in the world. Western media generally believe that China, a scientific research achievement, has successfully demonstrated the elegance of a great country.

China has reached the world leading level in the field of passenger aircraft. Compared with China, the situation in Russia is somewhat difficult. They originally wanted to build a wide-body passenger plane, but as a result, because the engine technology was relatively backward, it was never successfully developed. At first, in order to solve the engine problem, Russia hoped to conduct commercial cooperation with Britain and buy their engines at a high price. At that time, Britain, as a member of the European Union, could not carry out strategic cooperation with Russia and could only reject Gross's proposal. Due to continuous hitting the wall, Russia finally couldn't hold on. It made an exception and turned to China for help, hoping to carry out more in-depth strategic cooperation with China.

Since the disintegration of the Soviet Union, with the passage of time, the relationship between China and Russia has been getting better and better. Friendly cooperation has been achieved in many fields, and Russia made an exception and turned to China for help, which quickly received a positive response. After the two sides reached the strategic cooperation intention, the researchers of the two countries jointly developed an advanced aircraft. This passenger plane named cr929 can fly smoothly at an altitude of 3000 meters when it first came out. The performance of this plane can stand the test completely. Normally, it should be highly recognized by all countries in the world and successfully open the European and American markets. Unexpectedly, Japan jumped out to stop it and tried its best to prevent the fighters developed by China and Russia from entering the European market.

Although western countries know that cr929 is a machine with excellent performance, there is no way to recognize its international status because of its status. The plane can only be rejected on the pretext that it does not meet European standards. This unreasonable behavior of Japan quickly aroused strong dissatisfaction in our country. Domestic netizens have accused Japan of being a baiwenhang and always looking down on China. As soon as we have a chance to develop, it will jump out and take a bite, which is quite disgusting.

Ukraine attacked Russia.

The first is the issue of combat power. At the beginning of the war, Ukraine basically did not have the ability to attack Russia on a large scale. Before 20 14, Ukraine had been pursuing the policy of non-aligned countries for many years. 1994 Budapest Memorandum and the subsequent signing of a series of denuclearization treaties have basically weakened Ukraine's military value and pinned its hopes for national security on the commitments of the United States, Britain, Russia and other P5 countries. It turns out how stupid and unreliable this is! This is the sorrow of Ukraine, and it is also the sorrow of all countries that pursue the neutral national policy on Blue Star. Now, as long as Zelensky has two big firecrackers in his hand, he dares to borrow a water tank from Jinliang to fight.

Secondly, this is a strategic issue. Before Russia and Russia attacked the civilian shopping center at the end of June, Ukraine had been very restrained in attacking the Russian mainland, because it didn't want to over-stimulate the Russian people and give Jinliang a chance to mobilize the whole country. There have been anti-war voices in Russian mainland, but they were suppressed by Jinliang's tyranny. Once the homeland is attacked by Ukrainian troops, which will cause serious casualties, it will inevitably incite Russia's own war sentiment and encourage Jinliang's further belligerence.

Third, I believe that the Ukrainian military will take action in the future. On the one hand, NATO's heavy firepower will gradually be in place. In particular, the longest range of "Haimas" is 300 kilometers, and the Ukrainian army objectively has long-range strike capability. On the other hand, Russian troops continue to attack civilian targets in Ukraine, which makes people and gods angry and angry. It is natural for Ukraine to counter what Russia considers "local" goals. Therefore, personally, the Ukrainian army will selectively fight back. The most likely target is Kerch Bridge in Crimea.