Talk about pig price

In a blink of an eye 10 in late June, a huge earthquake occurred in the agricultural product market, and the pig price began to break through for the second time, and the local pig price broke through the 15 yuan mark; The market differentiation of corn and wheat is weakened, and the risk of wheat is increased, but there is good news for corn, and the market outlook can be expected; Egg prices continued to fall, and some areas returned below 6 yuan; Sheep prices are still depressed, and the short-term market is not optimistic.

So what is the market like? What is the trend of the market outlook? Let's take you into the market to find out:

First, the price of pigs rose across the board on two days, hitting a new high in the year.

Recently, the price of pigs has fluctuated greatly, rising and falling suddenly. Both the market and pig farmers feel a little uncomfortable.

10, the pig price fluctuated and rose in the first two weeks, and then fell for four consecutive days after reaching 14.04 yuan/kg, and the pig price returned to the 13 yuan era again. Today and tomorrow, the pig market has been violent for two consecutive days, and the market is in an uproar and there are many discussions.

10 year 10 20th, the national average pig price rose by about 0.35 yuan, and the national average pig price 14. 12 yuan/kg reached a new high in the year. The price of pigs in Shanghai, Fujian, Jiangsu and Zhejiang exceeds 15 yuan.

Pig prices have generally increased around the country, and the increase is relatively large, including:

The price of live pigs in Anhui increased by 5 cents per catty, 14.5- 14.9 yuan/catty; Jiangsu rose 5 cents,14.5-15.15 yuan/kg; Liaoning rose by 5 cents, 13.8- 14. 1 yuan/kg; Up 4 hairs,14.6-15.15 yuan/kg;

Shandong rose by 4 cents, 14.0- 14.65 yuan/kg; Shanxi rose by 4 cents, 13.9- 14.5 yuan/kg; Heilongjiang rose by 4 cents, 13.6- 14.0 yuan/kg; Jilin rose by 4 cents, 13.7- 14.0 yuan/kg.

Other provinces increased by 1-3 gross.

There are many reasons for the recent fluctuation of pig prices. According to industry analysis:

First, the mentality of the breeding object is unstable. Judging from the current market, the price of pigs has risen for several days, and the mood of farmers has risen, resulting in great selling pressure. Slaughtering enterprises can only reduce the purchase price.

The price fell for several days, but the market did not buy up, controlling the market, which led to frequent market fluctuations.

Second, there are a lot of market news, such as news about pig production capacity, news about pork reserves, news about pork import and export, and so on. It has had a certain impact on the price of live pigs and played a role in fueling the situation.

Third, the operation of related enterprises is not standardized.

For example, some large pig enterprises control slaughter at will, which affects the normal rhythm of pig supply in the market; For example, some slaughter enterprises adjust the pig price more flexibly by combining factors such as the quantity of pork in stock, the sales speed and the number of vehicles delivering pigs.

These irregular production operations are also a factor that leads to frequent fluctuations in pig prices.

Due to the rising price of pigs, the price of pork has risen again and again recently. At present, the mainstream retail price of pork in China has reached 19-23 yuan/kg, and many netizens report that consumption is more difficult.

The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs monitors pork prices, and pork prices continue to rise. According to the report, as of today 14:00, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 35. 12 yuan/kg, up 0.4% from yesterday. Beef was 78.52 yuan/kg, up 0.4% from yesterday; Mutton 68.46 yuan/kg, up 2.0% from yesterday; Eggs 12.37 yuan/kg.

Pork, beef and mutton all rose.

Second, the risk of food prices has risen, but corn has "three benefits".

In today's grain market, the prices of corn and wheat are still polarized. Wheat continues to rise and corn is weak. Only some enterprises in Shandong rose, while some enterprises in Northeast China continued to cut prices.

Today, the wheat market ended its unilateral rise and the market was divided:

On the one hand, the developed flour Liaocheng rose 1 point, and the price 1.6 1 yuan/kg; Hexing flour rose by 1.5 points, and the price was 1.6 1 yuan/kg; Zhoukou Wang Lu rose 1 point, and the quotation was 1.6 1 yuan/kg.

On the other hand, Zhoukou Wudeli fell by 0.5 points, and the price fell to 1.605 yuan/kg; Shangqiu Wudeli fell 0.5 points, and the price was 1.605 yuan; Xinxiang Wudeli dropped 0.5 point, and the quotation was 1.6 1 yuan/kg.

Today, the corn market in Northeast China is still weak, while the corn markets in Shandong and Henan are firm.

On the one hand, Heilongjiang Daqing Yipin fell 1, 14% moisture 1.3 15 yuan/kg, and 30% moisture 1.0494 yuan/kg; Jade King Kailu in Tongliao, Inner Mongolia, fell by 0.5 point, 14% moisture 1.325 yuan/kg, and 30% moisture 1.07 1 yuan/kg.

On the other hand, Hou Yuan Bio in Mengzhou, Henan Province rose by 2 points, and the price was 1.455 yuan/kg; Henan Luzhou Group rose 0.5 point, offering 1.4 15 yuan/kg; Shaanxi Baoji Fufeng rose 1 point, quoted at 1.36 yuan/kg.

Judging from the current market, the risk of the wheat market is relatively greater, and there is a risk of falling back at any time. Analyze the reasons:

1. At present, the price of wheat is on the high side, and it has entered the 1.60 yuan era. The purchase price of individual wheat enterprises is close to 1.70 yuan/kg, and the room for further increase is extremely limited.

Second, at present, many feed enterprises are rushing to harvest corn, which indicates that the wheat share of some feed enterprises will be replaced by corn, because the price of wheat is too high and there is no cost performance.

Thirdly, judging from the market performance, today's wheat price has stagnated, and many enterprises have started to lower it, indicating that there is a dispute on the wheat price in the market now, and the mood of some wheat traders is increasing.

The risk of wheat market has increased, but the corn market is relatively optimistic. Although it is at the peak of corn market, the price of corn is relatively stable, and it has only dropped in a small area before. In recent days, corn prices in some areas began to rebound.

The main reason is that some enterprises are optimistic about the current low price of corn, high cost performance, rising willingness to open positions, and some feed enterprises expand corn procurement.

In addition, there are several good news about corn recently, which also supports the corn market:

First, the price of corn imported from southern ports is relatively high recently, reaching 3,400 yuan/ton, which has boosted the domestic corn market.

Second, the prices of feed raw materials such as soybean meal, fish meal and bone meal have risen sharply recently. In the case of rising pig prices and egg prices, it has also brought benefits to corn, one of the important raw materials of feed prices.

Third, the recent corn auction of China Grain Reserve has shown a "three highs" state of high reserve price, high premium and high turnover rate, which also has a positive effect on corn prices.

From this analysis, the future trend of wheat and corn, wheat risk is greater, corn opportunities are more.

Third, eggs continue to fall, and egg prices can be expected in 5 yuan.

In mid-June, 5438+ 10, the egg market and the pig price fell almost simultaneously. At present, the price of pigs has started to rise, but the price of eggs is still fluctuating downward, and the price of eggs in some areas has returned to below 6 yuan.

Today's egg market shows that the national average egg price dropped by 3 points to 5.74 yuan/kg.

Among them: the three northeastern provinces fell across the board, and the mainstream offer was 5.40-6.30 yuan/kg; North China's Hebei and Inner Mongolia provinces fell, and the regional mainstream quotation was 5. 16-6.25 yuan/kg; Shanghai, Jiangsu and Shandong provinces and cities in East China fell, while Anhui rose, and the regional mainstream price was 5.5-6.9 yuan/kg; The mainstream price in Central China is 5.57-6.40 yuan/kg; The mainstream price in Northwest China is 5.7-6.7 yuan/kg.

Among them: Beijing Huilongguan, Yuegezhuang, Laiguangying, Wangsiying, Shunyi Shimen, Changping Shuitun and other places fell in 5 yuan, 270 yuan /44 kg; Tianjin Jixian, Baodi, Wuqing, Ninghe and other places fell to 5 yuan, 257 yuan /45 kg; Shanghai 3 yuan fell, 167 yuan/27.5kg; Duqi County, Henan Province fell 0. 1 yuan, 5.70 yuan/kg; Jiangsu Shuyang, Fengxian and other places fell to 2 yuan, 170 yuan /30 kg; Pingliang and Jingchuan in Gansu fell 0. 1 yuan, 5.90 yuan, kg.

The reason why the price of eggs keeps falling is not complicated:

A, the price of eggs rose to 6, 7 yuan a catty, relatively rare. Many consumers balked and sales declined.

Second, since the second quarter, the number of chicks has increased, resulting in an increase in the number of newly opened laying hens and an increase in production capacity.

Third, due to individual incidents, the income of some residents has shrunk, and the catering industry has also been affected. It is difficult to transport eggs from the producing areas, which has a negative impact on egg prices.

Regarding the market outlook, I personally feel that eggs are not the home of consumption in the fourth quarter. With the recovery of production capacity and the weakening of consumption, it is difficult to make a big change in the price of eggs, and it is possible to fully return to the 5 yuan era or even lower.

Fourth, the sheep retired, leaving a pig hair.

Finally, talk about the price of sheep. Since the beginning of the year, the price of sheep has remained low. Even if the price of sheep rebounded in some areas in June and July, it could not stop the "general trend" of the downward cycle of sheep prices.

The mainstream price of fattening sheep has dropped to 13- 15 yuan/kg, the price of eliminated sheep is between 9- 1 1 yuan/kg, and the price of 30 kg lamb is mostly between 400-600 yuan/kg.

Compared with the same period last year, these prices will drop by about 200-300 yuan.

The latest sheep price shows that Henan Zhoukou fattened sheep 14 yuan 1 kg; Xiangcheng county, Henan province: cotton sheep and ewe are ten yuan a catty, and rams are thirteen or eleven catties; 30kg lamb (male) in Tongguan, Shaanxi is 500 yuan/lamb, and female is 400 yuan/lamb; Eliminate ewes 1O yuan/kg, fatten mutton sheep 12 yuan/kg.

Recently, there has been a phenomenon in the market, that is, new farmers who have entered the sheep industry since 20 18, because the price of sheep has fallen this year, the feed has risen sharply, and the labor cost is higher. Every day they raise money, the more they raise it, the more they lose money. Recently, they began to clear the column and have a big sale. Therefore, the price of sheep has been falling recently.

Some farmers have also begun to speed up the elimination of ewes in the market. Slaughtering enterprises need to purchase fattening sheep, the cost is 14, and 5 yuan is a catty, while it is cheaper to purchase eliminated ewes by 5, 6 yuan. The price of mutton is still high, 35-45 yuan/kg, which is relatively profitable. This also squeezes the price of normally fattened sheep.

Regarding the market outlook of sheep prices, experts predict that the inflection point of sheep's rising cycle will be in the second half of 2023. I wonder if it is reliable?

Dear friends, the prices of pork and eggs have fluctuated frequently recently, and the prices of pork and eggs are still not low. I wonder what the price is there? Welcome to share with netizens all over the country for your reference.