Dongguan limited purchase shock wave: the settlement business is hot, and Shenzhen people are determined to save enough 5 suites.

Chen Song, who lives in Shenzhen, has been married for many years. In 20 15 and 2020, she bought a set of real estate in Dongguan respectively, with a total appreciation of about 2.5 million yuan. "I plan to save five suites in Dongguan in my life, which is the closest way for ordinary people to get financial freedom."

July 24, Dongguan, sunny. It is said that there are as many as 10,000 negative ions per cubic meter in Songshan Lake area, and several high-end buildings such as Jinyu Songhu and Cuilongwan surround Huawei headquarters. The house is beautiful and the clouds are beautiful.

Here, the real estate agent is a three-step family. At the door of a chain store, there is also a house price in Dongguan from 2065438 to May 2009: the average price in Songshan Lake area is 34,000 yuan/square meter, and the average price in Chengnan District is 27,000 yuan/square meter.

This price has long been history. On the same day, the listing information showed that the average price of new houses in the second phase of Cuilongwan jumped to 52,000 yuan/square meter, and one of them was also crossed out by Mark and changed to 55,000 yuan/square meter.

At 4 o'clock in the afternoon, the intermediary Xiao Ai took a job with milk tea. The next day, a Guangzhou girl and her boyfriend will come to see the house. The team leader told her that the couple were unfamiliar with Dongguan and would take them for a walk.

At 0: 00 on July 25th, Dongguan officially announced the third purchase restriction policy in 1 month. The couple stood up.

The Notice on Further Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of Dongguan Real Estate Market (hereinafter referred to as the Notice) jointly issued by Dongguan Housing and Construction Bureau and 12 Department is called the "strictest" property market regulation policy in Dongguan. The notice made it clear that houses purchased after the New Deal need to obtain property certificates for three years before they can be traded; Non-Dongguan household registration is completely restricted. Whether buying a new house or a second-hand house, buying a house in Dongguan requires at least 1 year social security; If there are two suites in the family name, you cannot buy a house.

When I woke up, a large number of people lost the qualification to buy a house.

Become excited and angry

As soon as the news came out, there were no fewer than five collective speculators in Dongguan.

At 2: 50am on July 25th, the voice of "Ding Dong" on WeChat showed the silence of summer night. A foreign boss who opened a printing factory in Dongguan said bitterly in the group: Second-hand houses have no chance to get on the bus. At 6: 00 a.m.17, the owner forwarded his tweet about the new purchase restriction policy overnight: "Personally, I think the price limit is moderate."

More people learned the news in the morning.

Starting from 7: 00 in the morning, the "Ding Dong" sound of buying a house in Dongguan keeps breaking out. Many people have reached the stage of signing contracts, paying deposits or even bank loans, but they have become extremely anxious because they do not meet the conditions of this restricted group.

"Chickens crow in the middle of the night." "I'm not qualified when I wake up. I made an appointment to see a second-hand house today. " Some people who just changed their names came out and wailed: "Am I heavily guarded?"

"In fact, I heard a little rumor about the purchase restriction before, but I felt that the documents on July 2 had been restricted, so I didn't urge the intermediary to help me sign online." Gu Xin, a female white-collar worker working in Shenzhen, just opened a real estate in Chengnan, Dongguan, with an average price of 45,000 yuan/square meter.

Xiao Ai, an intermediary who has worked for two years, also believes that it is unlikely that Dongguan will be restricted for three times in a short time.

Xiao Ai analyzed from the perspective of just needing customers: "There are too many foreigners in Dongguan, and many people have no social security and provident fund. If they are not careful, they will be hurt." Mr. Zhan, who has been selling first-hand houses in Country Garden for a long time, believes that if the purchase restriction is increased now, a large amount of new house inventory may accumulate until next year. Once developers reduce prices or even sell at a loss in order to collect money, second-hand houses will be upside down.

More people firmly believe that buying a house in Dongguan is just needed, and there is no need to crack down and restrict purchases.

"Dongguan connects Shenzhen in the south and Guangzhou in the north. Now is the time to attract talents. If the purchase is restricted, how to attract high-income people in Shenzhen? " "Take into account the deep feelings of not being able to afford a house." "It's all intermediary hype, urging you to buy a house."

At about 5 pm on July 24, someone in Dongguan bought a house and said happily, "It seems that the news of the purchase restriction is false."

Early start

It has risen for half a year, and there are signs of this purchase restriction in Dongguan.

On July 2 1 day, an intermediary announced that this Friday, Dongguan will start the purchase restriction. Few people take it seriously: "At the beginning of this month, Dongguan just introduced a purchase restriction policy."

On July 2, Dongguan issued a pre-sale limit for the first-hand housing market and tightened the price limit policy for new houses; On July 15, Dongguan issued the Notice on Strengthening the Publicity of Online Sales Information of Commercial Housing; 10 days later, the announcement surprised the outside world.

Within a month, the Dongguan property market was patched three times in a row for only one reason: the property market was too hot.

According to Fang Xun's data. Com, since the beginning of this year, the housing price in Dongguan once led the country, whether it is a first-hand house or a second-hand house, the increase is very large. In terms of first-hand housing, Wanjiang District, houjie town and Dongcheng District are particularly fierce, with John Wan rising by 48.8% year-on-year; In terms of second-hand houses, house prices jumped sharply, especially in Songshan Lake and Chengnan District. The listing price of second-hand houses generally exceeded 40,000 yuan/square meter, and some houses even rushed to 60,000 yuan/square meter.

In the Cuilongwan Community in charge of Xiao Ai, in the first half of the year, some owners "earned" 1 10,000 yuan in less than three months. Among the owners who sell houses, selling houses in advance every month means a loss of 200,000-300,000 yuan. "An owner of the third phase of Cuilongwan sold his house at an average price of 33,000 yuan/square meter in April. In May, the average price of the same apartment rose to 36,000 yuan/square meter. " Xiao Ai recalled.

Xiao Ai said that after the introduction of control policies in early July, the market response was minimal. In the group of buying houses in Dongguan, everyone has a heated discussion.

"The place of regulation is worth starting with" "Regulation is to slow down the rise" "If you don't buy any more, Songshan Lake and Chengnan will both cost 60,000 yuan/square meter!" Every day, more and more people enter the group to consult and buy a house. Many people openly say that they already have 2-3 suites, but they still want to wait and see.

"This wave of skyrocketing in the first half of the year popularized Dongguan's urban positioning: an important city in Greater Bay Area, a transportation center, a shortage of supply and an industrial cluster." In the buying group, some people summed up four reasons for "hoarding houses".

solve

Everyone soon discovered that for the registered population in Dongguan, this new policy of restricting purchases has almost no lethality: it is still to restrict the purchase of two new houses, and there is no social security requirement; The number of second-hand houses is unlimited.

"Shenzhen's' 715' New Deal is limited to household registration and social security qualifications, while Dongguan is still limited to social security for people who are not registered in Dongguan. It depends on whether the industrial base of Dongguan is enough to attract talents to settle in Dongguan, thus directly breaking the threshold of the New Deal. " Chen Honghai, general manager of Yiju Ke Rui, analyzed the New Deal.

"Look carefully, this is not a purchase restriction at all, but the use of buying a house to increase the registered population in Dongguan. As long as you enter the household, you can still buy it at buy buy. " On July 25, after experiencing initial anxiety, smart people gave their own interpretation of the new purchase restriction policy among the buyers.

But the question is: how many people will settle in Dongguan to buy a house?

"I have consulted many intermediaries and said that although the loan has come down, it is still impossible to trade because there is no online sign." Gu Xin is a graduate student. It is not difficult to get into Dongguan. You only need to show your social security and residence permit for more than one month. However, she said that if she failed to buy a house this time, she would not consider entering Dongguan: "At this point, she still can't buy a house, and the policy here is too inhuman."

Another Chen Song, who already owns two properties in Dongguan, also refused to give up his Shenzhen hukou: "Dongguan hukou is not as valuable as Shenzhen hukou. I am afraid that if I give up, I will never go back. "

On the other hand, after the announcement, the business of Dongguan household registration service agencies suddenly became a lot of fire.

Dongguan property market is the most sensitive. In addition to the original group of buyers, they all opened an account consultation group and recommended several agents to handle accounts in the group. At 9: 00 pm on July 25th, an employee of a public institution who took a full-time exam was still working overtime. "This year, 5,000 people have passed our institutional examinations." The employee said that in the past, foreigners entered the house mainly for their children to go to school. These two days of consultation are basically real estate speculators. Realizing that he had said something wrong, he quickly changed his mouth. "It is just needed, not real estate speculation."

Save space

In the past six months, is the high housing price in Dongguan just needed to increase, or is it arched by real estate speculators?

In recent years 10, many young people feel that Dongguan is gradually losing the stereotype of "paradise for migrant workers" and replacing it with a new label of "Shenzhen Innovation+Dongguan Zhizao": represented by Huawei Songshan Lake Research Center, Vanke Architecture Research Center and DJI R&D Department, a large number of enterprises from Shenzhen gather in Songshan Lake, Dongguan.

Shenzhen and Dongguan have entered a virtuous circle of mutual communication in the industrial field. In the past two years, using the "eastward strategy" to divert some permanent residents of Shenzhen to neighboring cities such as Dongguan and Huizhou, and accelerating the integration of Shenzhen-Dongguan-Huizhou metropolitan area has become the focus of urban development that Shenzhen officials often talk about.

At present, it takes only 17 minutes to take the high-speed train from Shenzhen North Station to Humen. Dongguan is building Metro 1 Line and Line 3, extending to Linshen area, laying the foundation for direct connection with Shenzhen Metro in the future. It is precisely because of this unique geographical location that many people think that the skyrocketing housing prices in Dongguan in the past year only filled the original price of the Guangzhou-Shenzhen housing price depression.

"I have been in Dongguan for 7 years. I bought a house because the house in my hometown was not cheap. " Li Maosheng, the owner of a hardware factory in Dongguan, comes from a rural area in Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Province. When he first came to Dongguan on 20 13, the house price in his hometown county was nearly 8,000 yuan/square meter, while the new house in the neighborhood of Guancheng, Dongguan was only 6,543.8+0,000 yuan/square meter.

After several years of struggle, the scale of the factory is getting bigger and bigger. In 2065438+2008, Li Maosheng spent another 3 million yuan to buy a villa in Shili Jiangwan for his soon-to-be-married son. At the beginning of the year, talking with neighbors across the street, Li Mao found that this villa has risen to 5 million yuan. In June this year, an intermediary called and asked: Do you want to sell 6 million?

Li Maosheng doesn't think he is speculating in real estate: "The entrepreneurial environment in Dongguan attracted me, and the industrial chain in Dongguan is very complete. If you want some kind of cartons and parts, you can easily find cooperation in the factory next door. It is also convenient to go to Shenzhen to talk business with my overseas customers. "

Li Mao also mentioned that during the epidemic, the Japanese food store invested by his son suffered serious losses, and the foreign trade industry was also hit hard, so some factory owners had to move to the property market. In their view, houses are hard currency. "I didn't buy a house during the epidemic, but I understand the bosses who bought houses. Business is bad and money depreciates in the bank. Even what happened? If you don't have a few properties on hand, the bank may not dare to lend you money. " Li Maosheng said.

Different from Li Maosheng, what really needs to buy a house in Dongguan is a group of young people working in Guangzhou and Shenzhen.

In recent years, housing prices in Shenzhen have skyrocketed, and many young people who have just graduated, even with high academic qualifications, have gradually lost the hope of buying a house in Shenzhen.

Chen Song has been married for many years. In 20 15 and 2020, she bought a set of real estate in Dongguan respectively, with a total appreciation of about 2.5 million yuan. Because they work in Futian, Shenzhen, it is impossible for the couple to commute every day. At present, these two sets of houses with an average price of 40,000 yuan/square meter are rented. In Futian, Anjuke showed that the average listing price in June was 97,000 yuan/square meter.

Mr. and Mrs. Chen Song intend to quit their jobs and settle in Dongguan after the baby is born. "I plan to save five suites in Dongguan in my life, which is the closest way for ordinary people to get financial freedom." "If I need to buy a third suite, I will let my wife or children go to Dongguan, and I will keep my Shenzhen household registration." Chen Song has planned a family's future. "It is also the welfare of a Dongguan hukou."

Gu Xin, who is stuck in the online signing process, is almost 30 years old. It has always been her wish to own a set of pre-marital property. In Shenzhen, she couldn't realize this wish, but in Dongguan, she found a house she liked. "If I can buy a house successfully this time, I can get married with confidence."

For young people like Chen Song and Gu Xin who are working hard in Shenzhen, their hometown has developed slowly in the Mainland and they have already started to feel homesick. It is impossible to buy a house in Shenzhen in a short time with your current salary. Between the dilemma, only look at Dongguan.

Fighting in one place after another

On the day of the release of the purchase restriction policy on July 25, a 75-square-meter house in Dongguan Kaixuan International was reduced by 300,000 yuan; Vanke Songhu Legend 97 square meters house, 1.5 million yuan decline. However, according to Xiao Ai, by July 27th, two houses with reduced prices had not been sold.

Just one day ago, the group of buyers in Dongguan regained their former vitality.

"If you need to see the house, please sign me up and see the house at 6: 30 tonight." An owner who is selling a school district is shouting in the group. She sells the subway house in Guancheng School District, and both primary and junior high schools can go to Guancheng Central Primary School and Dongguan Middle School. Because a good school district is still a scarce resource, the impact of purchase restriction on her is almost negligible.

Chen Song also believes that even if the purchase restriction policy is introduced, the house prices in Dongguan will not fall, and may even continue to rise. "The sales restriction has increased from 2 years to 3 years, and the number of houses on the market has decreased. Three years later, the newly registered population will reach another peak, and it is hard to say whether the housing prices in Dongguan will continue to rise. "

According to official data, since 20 10, the permanent population of Dongguan has increased from 8,224,800 to 8,392,200 in 20 18. In 20 19, the resident population of Dongguan reached 8.46 million, ranking first among prefecture-level cities, second only to Guangzhou and Shenzhen, and compared with cities in the Pearl River Delta. This purchase restriction in Dongguan may attract this group of people to enter the household.

"During the epidemic, the public security department has more data on the permanent population. In fact, the resident population of Dongguan has exceeded 6.5438+million. " For example, the image of a staff member of Dongguan Public Security Department said, "Now there are more and more traffic jams. Don't you see more and more Haidilao and tea shops? "

On July 27th, Xiao Ai said that many of her peers began to forward advertisements for Huizhou real estate. These intermediaries invariably update their circle of friends: Shenzhen 7 15 new policy, I will take you on the road, and you will lose the qualification to buy a house; Dongguan has a new strategy on July 25th. I was woken up in the middle of the night to see if you buy Dongguan. Forget it! I'm afraid I'll take you halfway in two days, and there is no room in Huizhou.