Trump SMS

According to the report, earlier, Trump claimed on his social media platform that "if I were the president, the Russian/Ukrainian war would never happen". He believes that even if the war has broken out and he is still the president of the United States, he "can end this terrible and rapidly escalating war through negotiations within 24 hours."

Trump data map

The report also said that peskov commented on this remark at the media briefing on 27th that Trump was "not far from the truth in theory". He said, "In fact, if the President of the United States wants to end this conflict, he can act quickly and use this opportunity to send instructions to the Kiev regime." He also said that such a result cannot be achieved "overnight or in a few days", but in many ways, the fate of the Kiev regime is in the hands of Washington. Peskov went on to say that, however, US President Joe Biden seemed unwilling to accept such a policy and chose to "further supply weapons to Ukraine".

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According to media reports, on October 25th, local time, 65438/kloc-0, US President Biden made a speech at the White House, saying that he would continue to support Ukraine, and announced that he planned to provide Ukraine with 3 1 M 1 abrams main battle tank. When many western countries successively announced the supply of main battle tanks to Ukraine, the Russian side reacted strongly. According to the Russian newspaper Izvestia on the 26th, Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov said on the same day that Russia believed that NATO countries directly participated in the conflict by providing Ukrainian tanks and other weapons, and the degree was increasing. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Zacharova said on the 27th that the supply of tanks by the West to Ukraine will not help Kiev to change the war situation, but will bring the confrontation between western countries and Russia to a new height.

Extended reading:

Media: The success or failure of Russia in 2023 is not sensational.

Direct news: The United States and Germany announced that they would provide Ukraine with main battle tanks almost at the same time. What impact will this move have on the situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war?

Special commentator Sun Xingjie: The United States and the European Union had a long discussion on whether to provide tanks to Ukraine. Since last year, Ukraine has repeatedly called on the United States and the European Union to provide tanks, artillery, fighter jets, air defense systems and other weapons and equipment. With the progress of the war, Ukraine acquired artillery, air defense systems and other equipment. The recent fighting between Russian and Ukrainian armed forces in Soledad shows that the Russian and Ukrainian armed forces are in a stalemate. Generally speaking, the offensive and defensive situation between Russia and Ukraine has changed, but in local battles or campaigns, the trench warfare between Soledade and Bakhmut is ominous. If it continues, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will be prolonged. The Ukrainian army plans to carry out a strategic counterattack in the spring and needs new weapons and equipment, especially main battle tanks, long-range artillery and even fighter planes. Therefore, from the tactical level, or the battlefield situation, the Leopard tanks and Abrams tanks provided by the United States and Germany marked Ukraine's acquisition of world-class main battle tanks and broke the battlefield deadlock; From a strategic point of view, Ukraine can form a tank corps. If a spring counterattack is launched, there may be scenes in tank battle, where NATO tanks confront Russian tanks.

American "abrams" main battle tank. Source: theguardian

The course of the war does not depend on weapons, but weapons and equipment such as main battle tanks represent the change of attitudes of the United States and NATO, and the goal of assisting the Ukrainian alliance has undergone a major and substantial change, that is, from helping Ukraine defend itself to helping Ukraine fight back. Ukrainian President Zelensky said that this is an important step towards victory. In other words, the goal of the United States and NATO is victory. Of course, if Ukraine's counterattack crosses the Russian-Ukrainian border, the nature of the war will change and the confrontation between NATO and Russia will further escalate.

From the process of providing tanks from the United States and Germany, we can see several phenomena worthy of attention: First, Britain and Poland are the most active in providing main battle tanks, especially Poland has repeatedly released the news of providing leopard tanks. If Poland wants to provide tanks to Ukraine, it needs Germany's consent and puts pressure on Germany in disguise. If Germany wants to play a leading role in the EU, it must do something. Many European members of NATO are equipped with German tanks if Germany refuses. Secondly, the United States and Germany announced at the same time to provide their own advanced tanks, which is actually a deepening and deep binding of the US-Germany alliance. Third, Russia admits that NATO tanks are only verbal warnings. With the prolongation of the war, the battlefield in Ukraine consumes not only Russia's military strength and weapons, but also Russia's strategic position and reputation. The red line drawn by Russia was ignored by the United States and NATO, and Russia's strategic deterrence was greatly weakened.

Direct news: Russian scholar Trenin believes that 2023 is a crucial year for Russia. What's your comment on this view?

Special commentator Sun Xingjie: Trenin published a series of articles after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out. Many viewpoints can stand the test of time. As he himself said, predicting the trend of political events is a thankless and meaningless effort. However, in this era, we not only need but also have the opportunity to have a deeper understanding of the major trends affecting the world. I think this is a way and perspective for Trenin to observe the international situation. Observers are not prophets, let alone fortune tellers, but they should perceive the direction of future trends from the changes of some basic factors. Trenin's previous views on Russia's diplomatic fragility and the end of Russian Federation 1.0 are still worthy of attention.

Whether the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will end in 2023, I'm afraid no one can say for sure now, but the basic situation of Russian and Ukrainian troops on the battlefield will be presented, which is the question of success or failure mentioned by Trenin. Any conflict will eventually end through peaceful negotiations, but the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has become a "patriotic war" between Russia and Ukraine. Needless to say, President Zelensky has become the president to defend the country. By September last year, after Russia merged four eastern Ukraine States into Russia, President Putin pointed his finger at NATO and the West. This special military action turned into a "patriotic war" or even a "patriotic war". Under such a narrative of the "Great Patriotic War", the possibility of a compromise truce is slim. We must distinguish between success and failure on the battlefield, and finally end the war with success or failure. Trenin put forward that 2023 is a matter of success or failure, and actually expressed deep concern. Can Russia win? He believes that this conflict is not only related to Russia's external security and its position in the world, but also related to internal stability, including the cohesion of the regime and Russia's future as a country. This shows that Trenin raised the Russian-Ukrainian conflict to the height of the First World War, and even to the height of the national destiny discussed by Berdyaev in his book The Destiny of Russia after World War I. ..

Judging from the progress of the war, Russia has stepped into the quagmire of the Ukrainian battlefield. It is very difficult for Russia to win under the continuous consumption. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is not only a war between Russia and Ukraine, but also a confrontation between NATO and Russia. The Soviet Union did not have such a fierce conflict with NATO during the Cold War. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine can be regarded as the real end of the Cold War. The goal of assisting the Ukrainian alliance has become to defeat Russia. From the logic of world history, a series of wars in Europe since18th century can be regarded as wars between the sea power state system centered on Britain and the European empire. France and Germany have been defeated, and now it's Russia's turn. From this perspective, it is not sensational for Trenin to say that 2023 is related to the future of Russia as a country.