Beijing Disease Control and Prevention: People in the closed and controlled areas cannot leave their homes. When will this wave of epidemic end?

All major media have written about an outbreak in Beijing. I feel like the media are making a bit of a fuss today.

After there were no new social cases in Beijing for three consecutive days, one new confirmed social case and two related cases were added in Fengtai District. I don’t think this is a special incident. After all, epidemics will always recur. Unless society can be completely cleared within 14 days, it will be difficult to guarantee.

Of course, the new socially infected people in Fengtai are not traceable. They are the community next door to the confirmed patient found in Songjiazhuang, Fengtai a few days ago.

Yesterday, I also said that the tens of thousands of people in the Songjiazhuang and Fangzhuang markets and related epidemics have not been infected, which is quite impressive, and then I am afraid of what will come. Yes, I am a crow's mouth.

But why was it not found in the screening in Fengtai a few days ago... There is a bug here. The related case in Songjiazhuang, Fengtai was discovered on the 26th, and the family went to Changping to visit relatives on the 27th. In the middle, I also went back to Fengtai to see a doctor at Tiantan Hospital. This trip was a bit confusing, so I’ll give you a rundown of it.

Let’s take a look at the itinerary of these three people. Case 1 was first diagnosed on the 29th. He developed chills and fever symptoms on the 29th that did not relieve after taking medicine, and then went to Tsinghua Chang Gung Memorial Hospital to develop a fever. The patient was diagnosed in the outpatient clinic, but Case 1 was not the first person to develop the disease.

Case 2 went to Tiantan Hospital for MRI on the 26th.

Case 3 developed fever symptoms on the 26th and took medicine by himself without going to the hospital. In other words, Case 3 was the first person to develop the disease, but was the last to be diagnosed.

At the same time, after the three people went to Changping on the 27th, on the 28th and 29th, Case 2 and Case 3 returned from Changping twice to Tiantan Hospital to obtain results and see a doctor.

When the three confirmed cases were screened in Fengtai, they were all in Changping, so they were missed. This is indeed a bug.

From a trajectory point of view, the risk level of Tiantan Hospital is relatively high. After confirmed case 3 developed symptoms on the 26th, he accompanied confirmed case 2 to Tiantan Hospital twice. According to my chat, the relevant departments of Tiantan Hospital have been closed. .

These things show that the separation and closure of Fengtai No. 26 was not accurate enough.

Here we need to look at Haidian simultaneously. After cases appeared in Sibozi Village, the entire Qinghe area was sealed and controlled. After the lockdown was lifted, the Qinghe area was sealed again because of new cases in Sibozi Village. .

And after Fengtai is diagnosed, it can still allow residents of the next door community to travel long distances to Changping, and then come back, and go back, and come back, and go back... Fengtai's "no movement unless necessary" and "no travel unless necessary" It feels like the requirements of the "District" have not been implemented at all... Of course, Fengtai District once again upgraded the control level today. It depends on the subsequent implementation.

The saddest thing now is Changping. When we were strictly preventing the spread of cases in Haidian, our home was stolen by Fengtai. Judging from the trajectory of confirmed cases, these three days are estimated to be the peak period of detoxification. Changping is likely to have confirmed cases in the next few days, such as relatives of the Fengtai family. At the same time, Changping also reported 2 positive cases from other areas. The trajectory in Changping means that there are still two cases from other districts that have been to Changping and have not been confirmed yet. We may see the corresponding information tomorrow morning. Now we hope that Changping’s flow control will be in place.