Biden called Putin's ceasefire a respite, and NATO Secretary General warned that it was extremely dangerous to underestimate Russia.

Recently, Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed Russian Defense Minister shoigu to implement a ceasefire system throughout the Ukrainian contact line from 12: on January 6th to 24: on January 7th.

You know, on the occasion of the New Year, the Russian Ministry of Defence recently reported that Ukrainian armed forces had attacked the temporary deployment site of Russian troops in the Makeyevka region of Donetsk, resulting in the death of 63 Russian soldiers.

The Ukrainian side even released a message saying that "greetings and congratulations were sent to separatists and conscripts, who were taken to occupied Makeyevka and crowded into the vocational school building, and Santa Claus packed about 4 bodies in bags."

according to common sense, now is the time for Russia to fight back. So, why did Putin give this order?

according to Russian media reports such as tass news agency, Putin called on Ukrainian side to declare a ceasefire and allow them to participate in religious activities during the Orthodox Christmas, because a large number of citizens who believe in the Orthodox Church live in the special military operation zone.

However, in response to Putin's decision, Ukrainian President Zelensky said in a regular video speech that he did not think it was necessary to hold a ceasefire during the traditional holidays.

In addition to Zelensky's disdain, the British Foreign Secretary also ran out to brush the sense of existence, saying that "it is better to withdraw troops than to cease fire in Russia".

In addition, when talking about Putin's proposal to cease fire for 36 hours, US President Biden said, "He is trying to find some breathing space".

It can be seen that the United States and the West have no desire to cease fire.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba believes that Russia is fighting for a breathing space, and Putin's unilateral ceasefire proposal "cannot and should not be taken seriously".

therefore, Russia wants a ceasefire, but Ukraine does not agree.

In fact, according to Russian media reports, it can be confirmed that the news of Patriarch kirill's call for a Christmas truce actually appeared early on January 5th, while Putin and other Russian high-level officials almost "followed closely" and immediately responded to kirill's call. The news of the truce was announced in Russian media on the evening of January 5th, which obviously had some connections.

Some analysts believe that although Russian officials have not explicitly stated it, in fact, ceasefire is the best language. Once Ukrainian troops also take the initiative to cease fire, it shows that Zelensky is willing to talk with Russia. But at present, Zelensky and the United States and the West have made it very clear that they do not want a ceasefire and negotiations.

as a result, it seems that there has been a great change in public opinion.

All along, the propaganda of the United States and the West almost slandered Russia, and some foreign media directly labeled Russia as an "aggressor".

While Russia took the initiative to demand a ceasefire this time, the follow-up effect of Ukraine's failure to take up the offer also came out, that is, to let the whole world see clearly the true face of the Ukrainian and Zelensky regimes and the hypocrisy of the United States and the West.

At present, Zelensky is the worst person, and it is neither retreating nor advancing.

Some analysts say that Putin is a better chess player after all, and this time he directly pushed Zelensky into a dilemma.

At present, NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg has warned that there is no indication that Russia has changed its special military action plan and objectives against Ukraine at this stage, and it is extremely dangerous to underestimate Russia. Stoltenberg reiterated his consistent position that it is necessary for NATO members to further increase their defense spending. On the same day, he once again stressed the importance of increasing investment in the security field.

In fact, it is not good for both sides to continue the stalemate between Russia and Ukraine. At present, Ukraine's losses are incalculable, Kiev is in a mess, and the military aid of the United States and the West will dry up one day. Continuing the conflict also means that Ukraine is accelerating towards the abyss of failure.

Further reading:

Media: Russian soldiers are now disobedient. Putin ordered a ceasefire to give Russian troops a breathing space.

According to Sputnik news agency & radio, Russian President Vladimir Putin suddenly made an abnormal decision and ordered a ceasefire for 36 hours on the entire contact line in Ukraine from 12: Moscow time on January 6.

Putin explained that this move is based on the "Christmas Truce" initiative of Russian Patriarch kirill, so that a large number of Orthodox Christians living in the war zone can participate in Christmas religious and ceremonial activities.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba believes that this is Russia's double-standard behavior. He pointed out that Russian attacks were still launched on Christmas Eve and New Year's Day: shelling Hellson and launching large-scale missile and drone attacks. Therefore, Russia's "unilateral ceasefire" cannot and should not be taken seriously.

Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the Chief of the Office of the President of Ukraine, believes that if Russia can withdraw from the occupied Ukraine, Ukraine can consider the Russian proposal of a temporary truce. But obviously, once the Russian army withdraws, it is equivalent to all previous efforts being wasted, which is also a huge blow to the morale of the Russian army.

Ukrainian President Zelensky said in a regular video address that there is no need to accept the Russian ceasefire initiative. He believes that Putin's ceasefire order is only to block Ukraine's advancing speed in the direction of Donbass, and to replenish weapons and equipment during this period. This shows that Uzbekistan believes that it is Russia that is currently losing at the front.

Indeed, the Russian army suffered heavy losses a few days ago. A temporary deployment site of the Russian army was attacked by Ukrainian rockets due to the illegal operation of Russian soldiers, and 89 Russian soldiers were killed. This is the most tragic attack on the Russian army since the war between Russia and Ukraine.

The outside world thinks that the reason why the Russian army suffered such losses is that the illegal use of mobile phones is only an appearance, which reflects that the Russian army has begun to disobey the orders of its superiors. This is probably due to the fact that some soldiers are tired of the prolongation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict front, especially at the New Year node, which should have been celebrated. This sense of contrast has intensified their dislike of war.

Then it is reasonable that Putin will order a ceasefire. On the one hand, it can give the Russian army a breathing space and stabilize its mood. On the other hand, it can redraw the battlefield strategy and mobilize combat readiness materials during this period.

Experts believe that the Russian military's next tactic is to launch an endless attack on Ukrainian energy facilities with missiles and drones. Although this is a long-term consumption tactic, and it is not conducive to Russia in the context of the continuous assistance of the United States and Western countries to Ukraine, it may be the best tactic that Russia can adopt under the huge energy dependence.

This tactic also has a fatal weakness, that is, it needs a large number of missiles and drones. Once the supply of weapons is cut off, the battlefield situation will be reversed instantly. It has been reported by many parties that a large number of drones used by the Russian army are supplied by Iran. At present, the United States is cooperating with some countries to implement new restrictions on Iran, including restricting Iran's access to raw materials for manufacturing drones.

In other words, if the Russian-Ukrainian conflict front continues to be stretched until the Russian side runs out of ammunition and food, Iran will also be in trouble. Of course, it is indeed an exaggeration to run out of ammunition. After all, Putin only recently approved giving the Russian army "unlimited funds", and the Russian military production line is stepping up the production of weapons and equipment, including a series of the most advanced weapons.

As long as Russia can maintain its dominant position in air strikes, it is not impossible to buy UAV technology from Iran, which is obviously on the opposite side of the United States and the West, and will help Russia without hesitation if the United States tightens sanctions.

Obviously, if both Russia and Ukraine refuse to make concessions, this conflict will not only be difficult to end, but will continue to expand into a worldwide waste of resources. Peace talks are the obvious optimal solution, but they are not the optimal solution for some countries to seek geopolitical interests.