Urgent for an article "XX Stock Securities Investment Analysis"

Of course not. : F04 1 10486 course name: securities investment analysis examination form: essay

Applicable Class: Class 08 International Trade Name: Student ID: Class:

Subject Department: Department of Finance and Economics Major: International Economics and Trade Examination Date: 20 1 1.6.8.

The title number is one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, and the total score is signed.

Topic 60 40 100

score

Note to candidates: 1, this paper has * * * pages. Please check whether there are any missing or damaged pages in the test paper. Raise your hand and report the replacement immediately.

2. After the examination, candidates are not allowed to take the examination paper, answer sheet and draft paper out of the examination room.

Paper requirements are as follows:

1, title: securities investment analysis report

2. Content requirements: the report should involve three parts: fundamental analysis, technical analysis and actual combat experience;

3. Writing requirements: the font is No.5 Song Style, with single line spacing, 0 lines after the first paragraph and 2 words on the left; The number of words should be more than 2500.

4. Other requirements: charts, simulated stock trading accounts, etc. Can be provided in the report; The paper must be completed independently. If plagiarism is found, it will be treated as failing!

Title: Securities Investment Analysis Report

I. Fundamental and technical analysis of securities (60 points)

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Yellow River Cyclone (600 172)

1. fundamental analysis of securities: a comprehensive analysis of economic and political data, with the purpose of judging the future trend of financial markets.

1, macroeconomic situation:

20 1 1 In the first half of the year, the combination of monetary policy tools was flexible, and monetary policy still faced the dilemma of controlling inflation and maintaining growth; Regulation continues to exert strength, and the kinetic energy of house price correction increases; Prices have risen rapidly, inflation has intensified, and financial strength has increased; The internationalization of RMB will accelerate, and the "red currency" will rise in depth; Emerging industries have entered a stage of substantial advancement; Reform the income distribution system, continue to promote the reform of personal income tax, raise the salary level of residents and increase the dividend ratio of central enterprises; The rhythm of policy strength affects the upward rhythm of A-share shocks, and the stock market is in great turmoil. The regulation of the property market will also affect market changes and stock market fluctuations. The deepening of energy conservation, emission reduction and structural adjustment of bulk commodities such as oil and coal will inevitably lead to the increase of energy demand for coal, electricity, steel, cement, copper and aluminum, and their prices will also rise; The growth of the banking industry will return to stability, and its shares will rise well;

Optimize and improve the institutional arrangements for corporate bond market access, bond review, credit rating and investor services, effectively increase the scale of corporate bond financing, continue to promote the participation of listed commercial banks in the pilot work of exchange banks, and gradually explore the establishment of a centralized, unified and interconnected bond market supervision system.

2. Company profile

The company is one of the 50 large-scale enterprises supported by the Henan provincial government, and one of the few private listed companies listed as key high-tech enterprises in the "Torch Plan" by the state. The company has a national enterprise technology center and an enterprise postdoctoral research center. The company mainly produces synthetic diamonds and diamond products. The leading products are UDS series diamond press, artificial diamond, cubic boron nitride, diamond thick film, diamond powder, diamond products, construction machinery and automatic control devices. The company is the largest diamond production base in China, and its output ranks first in the country and in the forefront of the world. "Cyclone" brand products sell well in Japan, America, Europe and other developed countries and Southeast Asian markets. On June 26th, it was listed and traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange as A shares, 1998+065438. The registered capital is 268 million yuan.

Company philosophy: "Quality, price, time and service" is our business purpose.

"Credit, trust, coordination and cooperation" are the foundation of our cause.

"Unity, innovation, truth-seeking and dedication" is our enterprise spirit.

"Create a whirlwind with science and technology, and pursue Excellence with sincerity" is our quality policy.

(1) The company's main business: grinding synthetic diamonds, synthetic diamond abrasives and other diamond products, and grinding machines for building decoration; Technical services related to the above business scope, as well as the import and export business of self-produced products and related technologies of the enterprise; Engaged in the import and export business of raw and auxiliary materials, instruments and meters, mechanical equipment, spare parts and related technologies required for the production and scientific research of this enterprise (except for commodities and technologies restricted and prohibited by the state); Operating processing with supplied materials and "three supplies and one supplement" business.

(2) The competition level of the company's business in the same industry: the scale advantage of the leading synthetic diamond enterprises with global competitiveness, the company's current production capacity has exceeded 1 1 100 million carats, and it is estimated that the output in 2005 will be above 900 million carats, ranking first in the world in both production capacity and output. In contrast, other competitors lag far behind the company. Scale advantage not only brings scale benefits, but also ensures the coverage and quality stability of products. The company is the enterprise that provides the most complete specifications of synthetic diamonds in China. By storing enough basic quantity, the quality fluctuation of different batches of products can be smoothed out, so as to better meet the needs of high-end customers. Technological advantages, the company has the only national enterprise technology center and enterprise postdoctoral research center in the industry, and the annual R&D expenditure accounts for 3%-5% of the income, which is a strong guarantee for long-term domestic leading technology. This company is the first company in China to develop large-tonnage presses and study powder synthesis technology. At present, the maximum tonnage of the cubic press in use reaches 20,000 tons, which is the highest in China. After the company made a breakthrough in powder synthesis technology, the conversion rate of synthetic diamond and the generation rate of medium and high-grade products reached the leading level in the industry. Capital advantage, the synthetic diamond industry is still a capital-intensive industry, with an investment of more than 60 million yuan per 1 100 million carats. As a listed company, compared with other enterprises in the industry, the company has obvious advantages in financing ability.

(3) Internal management level of the company: focus on innovation. In the process of development, enterprises pay attention to cultivating employees' awareness of innovation, development and hardship.

Put forward the eight-character management policy of "quality, price, time and service", and cast a "whirlwind" brand of integrity at home and abroad. The company is implementing the "Ten Million Project" and carrying out in-depth and lasting corporate culture education activities to improve employee loyalty and expand loyal groups. Select "100 role models" every year to build a solid human resource for the grand blueprint of Yellow River Company. Talent strategy: firmly establish the consciousness that "talent resources are the first resource", establish and improve the mechanism of attracting, cultivating and using talents, continuously improve the overall quality and structure of human resources, provide strong talent support and guarantee for the company to achieve comprehensive, sustained, rapid and healthy development, and promote the perfect combination of enterprise value and employee value, personal success and enterprise development.

3. Technical analysis of securities: development trend, support and resistance, line and channel, average line.

(1) stock selection

From the technical analysis chart of Yellow River Cyclone (600 172), we can see that its 60-day moving average is generally rising, with three big rises. In the initial stage, the first big rise, its 5, 20, 30, and 60-day moving averages are arranged from top to bottom and move to the upper right, which is called bulls. It indicates that the stock price will rise sharply. When it rises to a certain trend, the shadow line on the positive line is long, and the upper resistance is large, which has a downward trend. Sure enough, there are three negative lines, and then increase, forming a golden fork here, which has an upward trend. Then, a number of positive lines are arranged from bottom to top, and the price goes to 17. 1 to form a second increase, but the upper resistance increases and then appears. After that, the 10 moving average crossed the 30-day moving average, forming a death cross, and the stock plummeted, but its 60-day moving average still showed an upward trend. After a certain trend of decline, it forms an upward trend, with multiple positive lines arranged from bottom to top, followed by the Golden Triangle. The 60-day moving average rose moderately, and its stock subsequently showed an obvious upward trend. Through the above analysis, I am in 20 165438+.

(2) Understand the business performance of the enterprise.

Its performance is very good. The company is one of the 50 large-scale enterprises supported by the Henan provincial government, and one of the few private listed companies listed as key high-tech enterprises in the "Torch Plan" by the state. The company has a national enterprise technology center and an enterprise postdoctoral research center. The company mainly produces synthetic diamonds and diamond products. The leading products are UDS series diamond press, artificial diamond, cubic boron nitride, diamond thick film, diamond powder, diamond products, construction machinery and automatic control devices. The company is the largest diamond production base in China, with the output ranking first in the country and leading in the world. "Cyclone" brand products sell well in Japan, America, Europe and other developed countries and Southeast Asian markets.

(3) The stock market analysis of this stock.

. 1. The first paragraph

During this period, the stock grew steadily, with little fluctuation. The 60-day moving average tended to be straight, and the 5-day, 10, 20, and 30-day moving averages staggered and rose moderately, so it needs to be held continuously. Now take a wait-and-see attitude. By the close of 5th, the moving averages of 10, 20th, 30th and 60th are arranged from top to bottom, indicating that this stock has an upward trend and needs to be held continuously, and the next step will be an upward trend. This stage is the adjustment stage, paving the way for the rise of the stock, ready to go.

.2. Paragraph 2

At this stage, the daily moving averages of 5th,10th, 20th, 30th and 60th are arranged from top to bottom, and the upward trend is obvious and good, reaching the highest point of 2 1.85 yuan.

.3. Paragraph 3

At this stage, the 5-day moving average crosses the 10, 20th and 30th moving averages from top to bottom. At the same time, the 5-day, 10, 20-day and 30-day moving averages all run downward, so the sharp decline trend is obvious. At this stage, the stock is sold at a good time, but it can still be held because its 60-day moving average is still on the rise and may be adjusted later.