The future has come, but it has not been popularized.

The sentence "The future has come, but it has not been popularized" comes from kevin kelly's book Necessity. To be exact, it is a Chinese translation of the book Necessity. This translation is cool and accurate, giving people unlimited imagination and interest to knock on the door of the future.

Everyone has great motivation to explore what the future looks like. Besides knowing the lottery numbers in the future, people's imagination and curiosity are also a great motivation. Kevin kelly is one of the few people who have been told what the future looks like. For example, 1994 predicted the rise of the Internet in his book Out of Control and enjoyed these hot things for free. If a person watched his "Out of Control" at 1994 and kept stepping on a business until now, there might be no Bill Gates' story about the richest man. Of course, this is impossible.

Of course, today I'm talking about the future. I won't talk about flowers like kevin kelly, but I will also be talked about. I can't do it, but I can talk to you about my own understanding and views. Let me talk about some cutting-edge technologies from now on.

A college classmate asked me to play the other day. He is a Ph.D. student majoring in automobile engineering in Jilin University, and his subdivision major is now a hot autonomous driving. So we talked about this topic.

Just a few years ago, some people said that autonomous driving would not be realized because the machine could not imitate the advanced skills of the old driver "seeing all the way and listening all around". But slapping always comes too soon. Last year, Google developed a self-driving car and drove it on the roads in California. I have been in Wan Li for more than ten years now, and nothing has happened.

As far as autonomous driving is concerned, it was developed by Google and ran hundreds of thousands of miles. That thing is just the beginning. Of course, others can't afford it, because this guy spent more than one billion. But now that it has started, it will never stop.

I don't know who I will spend it on in the end, but what will happen next is basically decided. That is, autonomous driving will be integrated into our lives and change our lives. In the end, driving this technical activity may become a sport similar to equestrian. Driving today is like riding a horse, racing today is like horse racing, and the old driver has become an athlete.

So how does autonomous driving integrate into our lives and change our lives? There is only one way, and that is commercialization. What kind of commercialization? Storm-like commercialization, once autonomous driving breaks out, it will not develop piecemeal as before, but like enjoying a bicycle. Overnight, all corners of the world unconsciously became dissatisfied with self-driving cars.

Think about that scene, gongs and drums are loud, red flags are flying, traffic is heavy, mountains and seas are boundless, and it is spectacular to think about it. Today, people will be afraid to see someone driving a car, but in the future, people may be afraid to see someone driving a car. Because as far as the technology of many old drivers is concerned, it can't be compared with the reliability of automatic driving in the future. In fact, it is not a problem of driving skills, but a problem of concept. Just like today, when you see a man riding a horse and walking along the highway with everyone, although his riding skills can ensure that nothing will happen, everyone still feels like walking a tightrope. On the day when autonomous driving was overwhelming, someone was driving on the highway, and people in autonomous vehicles might look at them as if someone were riding a bike on the highway today. Of course, this is only a hypothesis, and you can also understand it as a thought experiment. You should know that the traffic police won't let people ride the highway. Maybe the traffic police will be like this in the future. Don't let people drive on the highway. Which old drivers especially like to play with cars, find their own places to play, and don't make trouble on the expressway.

Autopilot will certainly encounter many problems and controversies in the future, but one thing is certain, that is, you can't stop it.

There is an awesome series of sci-fi movies called "The Matrix", in which there is a setting that human science and technology are developing faster and faster, so one day, this son named "Science and Technology" cherished by human beings becomes a baiwenhang and deceives human beings. I won't describe it in detail here, because if you have seen a movie, you must know it. You haven't seen it. I'm a spoiler. You will definitely hit me. Of course, I suggest you go and have a look.

However, many technologies in the matrix have been used by many top players in the world. Because the space can't be too long, today I will introduce you to three most important technologies, namely: artificial intelligence, virtual reality and brain-computer interface.

Last year, Google's alpha dog abused Li Shishi, the top player of Go, so everyone suddenly exclaimed that artificial intelligence was coming, and humans could not play with it. But artificial intelligence has been happening and growing, just like a thriving baby, but artificial intelligence won't cry, so everyone can't feel it. You know, in 1997, when the Internet was just emerging, IBM's deep blue insulted the most talented chess master at that time.

As the movie star master said, "I'm not talking about someone here, but all of you ..." In the future, artificial intelligence will not abuse human beings in such childish things as playing chess, but everything will abuse human beings.

Many people brag that artificial intelligence can't do what we do, and it's all perceptual creation. In fact, artificial intelligence has done a lot of things that Wen Qing did. For example, the news editors of many news companies are not people, but machines with high efficiency. No problem. The magazine editors of the famous Wendi Deng and her ex-husband Murdoch have been replaced by machines.

Of course, the more advanced technology is an artificial intelligence technology developed by Sony. They input all Bach's songs into this system, and then this system will compose music automatically. Amazingly, those top performers thought it was Bach's music after listening to it. Bach is the founder of the whole western classical music.

Learning casually means sitting at a table with Bach, Beethoven and these top performers. How do you think others play with him?

Artificial intelligence is coming, but it will come in a way we never imagined. People are either stunned or scared to pee. What should we do now? In fact, there is no way. Because I don't know what will happen to him, how do I know what to do? Just like watching your wife keep a straight face, the only thing you can do is to put an "easy kneeling" on your knee and wait.

Virtual reality is an enhanced version of naked-eye 3D technology, but it has a qualitative leap. With 3D technology, you can see both 3D images and real-life images. 3D technology is mainly used to watch movies, as if there are few other applications. However, once the helmet is put on, the virtual reality technology is panoramic, that is, the eyes can't see the world around them, but can only see the world inside the virtual reality, while wearing headphones, you can't hear the sound outside, but can only hear the sound inside the virtual reality, that is, all the two most effective visual senses of human beings are substituted into the virtual reality world.

It is difficult for human beings to be persuaded, but human behavior and mind can be easily changed. You can tell by going to MLM. Even if we all have brains, we still believe what we hear, and it is a letter that we firmly believe and never look back until we hit the wall. Not belittle them, but human nature.

If one day, a poor diaosi lives in ruin, helplessness, hopelessness and helplessness. Suddenly he got a virtual reality helmet. In the virtual world in this helmet, he can be anyone and do anything. There are 3,000 beautiful women in the harem, living freely and profligately, and doing whatever they want. Do you think he can get out of this virtual world?

You know, today, it is very difficult to persuade a child to come out of the Internet cafe. Girlfriend hits her boyfriend's computer, disturbs him to play games and even makes him fly into a rage. I find it difficult for him to get out of the virtual world.

There is another possibility, think carefully and be afraid. If one day, those young people struggle a little in society and encounter setbacks. As long as we drill into virtual reality, what our world will become.

Of course, virtual reality technology has many other magical lessons in social applications. Let me give you some examples.

For example, top doctors guide doctors all over the world to operate through virtual reality technology. For another example, during the Chinese New Year, I will have dinner with my family every 108,000 miles. There will also be a paradigm revolution in the film and entertainment industries.

Helmets with virtual reality technology have been sold in large quantities in the market now. But it is not widely used, and the common reference is various virtual reality movies.

Of course, as in The Matrix, there shouldn't be a situation where everyone is thrown into virtual reality by machines. It depends on how you choose, whether you choose to live a real but hard life in real life. Or go to the virtual world to live a relaxed but unreal life.

Brain-computer interface is a sci-fi technology, but for a long time, many scientists have spent a lot of energy and time on it. Recently, Musk, the best company in the world, set up a company with the goal of realizing this technology. I don't know if I can do it, but across the Pacific Ocean, I want to shout to Musk: "I like you very much."

So what is the brain-computer interface? I don't know how to realize the specific technology. But his method is to connect the brain with machines (including computers, of course).

What's the use of connecting the brain with the machine? Very useful. For example, you want to chase your goddess, but you are a poor diaosi, with low emotional intelligence and poor chasing skills. At this time, if there is brain-computer interface technology, then things may become simpler. For example, you can upload all the love stories, love letters and girls' pick-up skills from all over the world to your mind and make you a lover in a second. What a wonderful world this is. Of course, you can upload the negative content of "diaosi is doomed to be lonely all your life" and "don't chase the goddess if you are poor" to your brain, and dispel your idea of chasing the goddess.

But the sociological significance of brain-computer interface is not only to satisfy people's minds. Once the technology of brain-computer interface is realized, the world will undergo great changes, and two great changes will completely change the course of human beings.

The first is that human beings will achieve "eternal life" and how to achieve eternal life.

For a person, in fact, the subject is not the body, but the memory and social relations. For example, if you are in a place, you don't even remember your mother, and even your mother doesn't remember you. Then at that moment, in fact, you can't be defined as a "person" because the old man Marx said "to know the synthesis of all social relations". If there is no social relationship, you can no longer be defined as a "person".

But for BCI, the body is not unimportant, but can be replaced. Upload all the present memories and social relations to the computer, and then the present body can die. Find a stronger body again and upload your memories and social relationships. You die in this body, you are reborn in another body, and so on, thus achieving eternal life.

You may ask, "Where did these new bodies come from?" In fact, this is a very simple question. Since it can be replaced, there will naturally be a transaction. If there is a deal, someone will naturally produce it.

How to pinch? Today, in vitro fertilization (IVF) is completely possible, and there is a more terrible technology, that is, "human cloning". I just don't know if your three views can withstand such an impact.

The second is the interconnection of everything, including human beings, which will produce things hundreds of millions of times stronger than human beings, but human beings can't understand it. Now people call this thing "super artificial intelligence", which is actually the wishful thinking of human beings, because it is much more powerful than human beings. Just like humans evolved from monkeys, if you hear monkeys say "you are a super monkey", polite people will scoff, rude people will kick his ass, and cruel people may skin him. Do you think that something evolved by human beings will skin people one day?

Why does brain-computer interface technology produce such a thing? If computers and human brains can be connected, then all human brains and computers in the world can be connected. So what is it that all the brains in the world are connected to computers? Humans are beyond understanding. Just like ants can't understand the nest and computers can't understand the Internet. Humans can't understand everything produced by the connection between computers and human brains. This kind of thing is called skynet in the summarizer. Will Skynet have feelings, will Skynet bully human beings, will Skynet destroy human beings, will Skynet think that the human body is a burden and upload all human memories to the machine? If Skynet uploads the human memory to the machine and cleans up all the human bodies, the individual memory of human beings still exists, but the body becomes a body of steel, will human beings still be defined as "people"? "Skynet civilization is bound to stride into the universe. As a continuation of mankind, should we bless them? This series of questions, you can talk about their own views and imagination.

Humans began to explore the universe in the last century, but there has been no substantial development. I'm afraid the biggest application is satellite, but for the exploration of the universe, this application of satellite is just a drop in the ocean for human exploration of the universe.

Up to now, the most widely used space flight beyond satellites is that everyone shows off on it and then tells the world: "Brother, I am here, and I have played several extremely difficult moves. Can you do it? " "。 However, you should know that this kind of fake handle is useless. If you can't transport a lot of things home, everyone's interest is actually not that great. Why is the voyage to Europe so exciting? Zheng he and others couldn't afford it after several times. It is because Europe robbed others of their things after they went to the United States and shipped them home that everyone was in such a hurry to pinch them.

Space flight is actually the same. If you can't get things home, it is estimated that it will be difficult to arouse everyone's interest. At least it will become possible to exercise at home, and people will feel that they should mention it and start doing it quickly.

But it was Musk who gave his family hope, and this guy's company made another big deal. He successfully recovered the launched rocket for the first time. What's the use? In fact, the use is that going to space in the future is not as troublesome as it is now, but like taking a train. Go with a bang, come with a bang, look at the space by the way, and bring something home by the way, so that everyone will be excited. So Amazon's boss also started to set up a company called Blue Origin. His company means a lot. The earth is blue, and the origin of blue means that the earth is an origin, and where to pinch the future makes people daydream infinitely. Their company has also realized rocket recycling technology. He will raise $654.38+0 billion from Amazon to this company every year. He has assets of $80 billion, which can be raised for 80 years at will, and some are fun.

In the future, human beings will inevitably become interstellar species, but it is indeed an embarrassing thing for human beings to become interstellar species. Because flying is to travel to the stars, not to countries, provinces and cities, which is beyond the ordinary people's ability.

Finally, will interstellar colonization evacuate all the human elites and leave a group of scum on the earth? Every time those people return to the earth from space, because it takes a long time, the technology has developed many times than the earth. When they go home, it's like going back to their hometown to visit their poor relatives. At this time, as an earthman, will you feel sour?

In fact, human beings are not only exploring these aspects, but also a large number of people are exploring new frontiers of human beings. For example, the genome project to explore the DNA that controls all life has begun to be applied and developed; Nanotechnology redevelops the world from the perspective of atoms; Precision medicine, where is not willing to cure.

This article will not discuss the series of various technical implementations, because I don't know these details either. This paper discusses some sociological possibilities after the realization of these technologies, which is a higher-level "thought experiment" and a higher-level "brain supplement".

Human nature is complicated. Some people say that it has been thousands of years, but nothing has changed. People's greed and ignorance have not changed, nor have people's stupidity.

However, human nature has changed. For example, when you see a girl being "invaded into a pigsty" today, you will feel stupid and feel pity, but in ancient times, everyone took it for granted.

So how will human nature change in the future? If people in the future see some of our actions today, will they think it's actually stupid? Would you be shocked if you saw the behavior of future people today?

The future has come, but it has not been popularized. I just don't know if it will have a bigger impact than everyone on the street killing Matt.

Americans invented a helmet. Once put on, people will have no distractions and concentrate on doing one thing. What impact will this helmet bring to the world if it becomes popular?

Of course, not only at work, but also professionally, you don't have to think about that night and those nights.

The future has come, but it has not been popularized. As a modern person, we should try our best to knock on the door of the future when we are alive. If the door doesn't open, at least listen to the echo, the echo of the future.